{"id":1243354944549331000,"conversation_id":"1243347447537115136","created_at":1585273893000,"date":"2020-03-27","time":"01:51:33","timezone":"UTC","user_id":75937326,"username":"mlipsitch","name":"Marc Lipsitch","place":"","tweet":"We should work our hardest to create the conditions to make the scenarios being described here (one bad wave, contained by social distancing, and we're down to a point of controllable spread) a reality. Doing so will make us better prepared, even if they don't come to pass.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":13,"retweets_count":376,"likes_count":2530,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/mlipsitch/status/1243354944549330944","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"75937326","username":"mlipsitch"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1243354564855816200,"conversation_id":"1243347447537115136","created_at":1585273803000,"date":"2020-03-27","time":"01:50:03","timezone":"UTC","user_id":75937326,"username":"mlipsitch","name":"Marc Lipsitch","place":"","tweet":"For the 12-18 months (best case under current models) till a vaccine. I desperately hope she is right, because much suffering will be avoided. But reassurance that this is likely, or even plausible, with the disorganized track record of the US response, is false reassurance.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":30,"retweets_count":820,"likes_count":4335,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/mlipsitch/status/1243354564855816198","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"75937326","username":"mlipsitch"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1243354179374063600,"conversation_id":"1243347447537115136","created_at":1585273711000,"date":"2020-03-27","time":"01:48:31","timezone":"UTC","user_id":75937326,"username":"mlipsitch","name":"Marc Lipsitch","place":"","tweet":"That is unlikely. Then the rosy scenario assumes we get to minimal numbers of cases everywhere, develop and maintain testing and tracing capacity, execute well on it, don't miss imported cases that spark new chains of transmission, and somehow maintain this delicate balance...","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":16,"retweets_count":493,"likes_count":2850,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/mlipsitch/status/1243354179374063618","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"75937326","username":"mlipsitch"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1243351925229224000,"conversation_id":"1243347447537115136","created_at":1585273173000,"date":"2020-03-27","time":"01:39:33","timezone":"UTC","user_id":75937326,"username":"mlipsitch","name":"Marc Lipsitch","place":"","tweet":"3) We have never accomplished contact tracing on the scale that will be necessary -- and again, to keep cases low, we will have to accomplish that everywhere, not just some places.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":26,"retweets_count":603,"likes_count":3462,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/mlipsitch/status/1243351925229223937","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"75937326","username":"mlipsitch"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1243351685487112200,"conversation_id":"1243347447537115136","created_at":1585273116000,"date":"2020-03-27","time":"01:38:36","timezone":"UTC","user_id":75937326,"username":"mlipsitch","name":"Marc Lipsitch","place":"","tweet":"Solving the testing problems will not be easy, despite heroic local and state efforts to make up for the feckless federal efforts on this front. Supply chains are delicate and it may not be possible to come from behind and establish Korea-level testing capacity.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":27,"retweets_count":778,"likes_count":3984,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/mlipsitch/status/1243351685487112192","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"75937326","username":"mlipsitch"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1243351430154588200,"conversation_id":"1243347447537115136","created_at":1585273055000,"date":"2020-03-27","time":"01:37:35","timezone":"UTC","user_id":75937326,"username":"mlipsitch","name":"Marc Lipsitch","place":"","tweet":"2) we remain woefully behind on testing capacity, especially in many parts of the country. Like a forest fire, intense control in one place fails if there are sparks from other places. We must strengthen the weak links. But test reagents, swabs, PPE remain in short supply.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":32,"retweets_count":1126,"likes_count":5030,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/mlipsitch/status/1243351430154588169","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"75937326","username":"mlipsitch"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1243351149123698700,"conversation_id":"1243347447537115136","created_at":1585272988000,"date":"2020-03-27","time":"01:36:28","timezone":"UTC","user_id":75937326,"username":"mlipsitch","name":"Marc Lipsitch","place":"","tweet":"But here's why it is a best-case, likely unattainable scenario. 1) We have not proven that US-style social distancing can produce R_effective<1 (declining case numbers). On this I'm hopeful, but it's a hope not a fact.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":31,"retweets_count":672,"likes_count":3874,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/mlipsitch/status/1243351149123698688","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"75937326","username":"mlipsitch"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1243350540056133600,"conversation_id":"1243347447537115136","created_at":1585272843000,"date":"2020-03-27","time":"01:34:03","timezone":"UTC","user_id":75937326,"username":"mlipsitch","name":"Marc Lipsitch","place":"","tweet":"If at the same time we ramp up testing capacity and the ability to trace contacts, in a very best-case scenario, we might conceivably be able to turn to a Korea- or Singapore-style mix of less intense distancing combined with super-intense contact tracing, isolation, quarantine","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":34,"retweets_count":721,"likes_count":4405,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/mlipsitch/status/1243350540056133632","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"75937326","username":"mlipsitch"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1243350200820936700,"conversation_id":"1243347447537115136","created_at":1585272762000,"date":"2020-03-27","time":"01:32:42","timezone":"UTC","user_id":75937326,"username":"mlipsitch","name":"Marc Lipsitch","place":"","tweet":"If our social distancing works it is possible we will not just flatten the curve, but get a decline in cases. Under a best-case scenario, we will keep that policy in place long enough to get down to very, very few cases domestically.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":19,"retweets_count":637,"likes_count":4138,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/mlipsitch/status/1243350200820936707","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"75937326","username":"mlipsitch"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1243348438529556500,"conversation_id":"1243347447537115136","created_at":1585272342000,"date":"2020-03-27","time":"01:25:42","timezone":"UTC","user_id":75937326,"username":"mlipsitch","name":"Marc Lipsitch","place":"","tweet":"Modeling the scenario of intense social distancing for a temporary period, followed by a letup, produces predictions of resurgent transmission and large epidemics, with the exact consequences depending on the degree and duration of reduced transmission during social distancing.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":22,"retweets_count":955,"likes_count":4322,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/mlipsitch/status/1243348438529556481","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"75937326","username":"mlipsitch"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1242178982814113800,"conversation_id":"1242178291328528386","created_at":1584993522000,"date":"2020-03-23","time":"19:58:42","timezone":"UTC","user_id":75937326,"username":"mlipsitch","name":"Marc Lipsitch","place":"","tweet":"We can only hope the proportion of unobserved cases is large, because then we are closer to achieving herd immunity, and each bad outcome brings with it a larger number of mild outcomes that contribute to herd immunity. The math of epidemics is weird.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":29,"retweets_count":114,"likes_count":488,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/mlipsitch/status/1242178982814113793","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"75937326","username":"mlipsitch"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1242178752714547200,"conversation_id":"1242178291328528386","created_at":1584993467000,"date":"2020-03-23","time":"19:57:47","timezone":"UTC","user_id":75937326,"username":"mlipsitch","name":"Marc Lipsitch","place":"","tweet":"And paradoxically, given the level of distress we are seeing in the health care system, it is good not bad that we have many more cases. That means that the horrible outcomes we are seeing (because they are getting tested) are the tip of a bigger iceberg of milder cases.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":5,"retweets_count":44,"likes_count":266,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/mlipsitch/status/1242178752714547205","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"75937326","username":"mlipsitch"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1241780973915775000,"conversation_id":"1241780973915774977","created_at":1584898630000,"date":"2020-03-22","time":"17:37:10","timezone":"UTC","user_id":75937326,"username":"mlipsitch","name":"Marc Lipsitch","place":"","tweet":"Lots of places are closing outdoor spaces, which seems terrible for mental health and fitness, and not obviously helpful for COVID blocking. I was all for cancelling large parades (St P's) where people stay in close proximity for hours outdoors, then have house parties etc.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":93,"retweets_count":292,"likes_count":1135,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/mlipsitch/status/1241780973915774977","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"75937326","username":"mlipsitch"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1241444928842010600,"conversation_id":"1241444928842010625","created_at":1584818510000,"date":"2020-03-21","time":"19:21:50","timezone":"UTC","user_id":75937326,"username":"mlipsitch","name":"Marc Lipsitch","place":"","tweet":"Verified At last. I feel like a whole new person.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":70,"retweets_count":59,"likes_count":2216,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/mlipsitch/status/1241444928842010625","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"75937326","username":"mlipsitch"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1240848329573044200,"conversation_id":"1240848329573044226","created_at":1584676270000,"date":"2020-03-20","time":"03:51:10","timezone":"UTC","user_id":75937326,"username":"mlipsitch","name":"Marc Lipsitch","place":"","tweet":"Not because they don't know anything, but because these are specialized subjects, and specialists in the right area know more than specialists in adjacent areas. Nutritional epidemiology is an adjacent area to infectious disease epidemiology, with differt methods and knowledge","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":16,"retweets_count":21,"likes_count":258,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/mlipsitch/status/1240848329573044226","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"75937326","username":"mlipsitch"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1240848008201359400,"conversation_id":"1240837169591320577","created_at":1584676193000,"date":"2020-03-20","time":"03:49:53","timezone":"UTC","user_id":75937326,"username":"mlipsitch","name":"Marc Lipsitch","place":"","tweet":"You could go to a veterinarian to get your neurological exam, but unless you are a cat an MD neurologist would be better choice of doctor. You could put an ex-ambassador to Saudi Arabia on to talk about Myanmar as an \"Asia expert\" but that would be dumb.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":5,"retweets_count":11,"likes_count":93,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/mlipsitch/status/1240848008201359361","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"75937326","username":"mlipsitch"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1240847621788504000,"conversation_id":"1240837169591320577","created_at":1584676101000,"date":"2020-03-20","time":"03:48:21","timezone":"UTC","user_id":75937326,"username":"mlipsitch","name":"Marc Lipsitch","place":"","tweet":"There are dozens of good lists of actual experts in some relevant topic out there to listen to on COVID. Eric is an expert on nutrition. Eric does have training in epidemiology, but it's a big field.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":12,"retweets_count":11,"likes_count":143,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/mlipsitch/status/1240847621788504064","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"75937326","username":"mlipsitch"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1240847186247798800,"conversation_id":"1240837169591320577","created_at":1584675997000,"date":"2020-03-20","time":"03:46:37","timezone":"UTC","user_id":75937326,"username":"mlipsitch","name":"Marc Lipsitch","place":"","tweet":"To be fair, given % above, most of what he says is not wrong. But he gets something spectacularly wrong sufficiently often that you just should find other parts of the firehose of info to drink from, and you will get better water.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":7,"retweets_count":18,"likes_count":220,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/mlipsitch/status/1240847186247798784","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"75937326","username":"mlipsitch"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1240621990446272500,"conversation_id":"1240618788330110977","created_at":1584622306000,"date":"2020-03-19","time":"12:51:46","timezone":"UTC","user_id":75937326,"username":"mlipsitch","name":"Marc Lipsitch","place":"","tweet":"Best scientists work hard to find the flaws in their reasoning before anyone else does and before publication. Peer review is a backstop. In this case both failed.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":3,"retweets_count":16,"likes_count":118,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/mlipsitch/status/1240621990446272513","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"75937326","username":"mlipsitch"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1240621626200338400,"conversation_id":"1240618788330110977","created_at":1584622219000,"date":"2020-03-19","time":"12:50:19","timezone":"UTC","user_id":75937326,"username":"mlipsitch","name":"Marc Lipsitch","place":"","tweet":"We are all working fast and making some errors no doubt. But a basic rule in science is \"If I just found something no one else has, good chance I am wrong and they are right. My job is to make the case water tight, including by reading papers in the field.\"","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":2,"retweets_count":36,"likes_count":184,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/mlipsitch/status/1240621626200338433","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"75937326","username":"mlipsitch"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1240027944845705200,"conversation_id":"1240027944845705217","created_at":1584480675000,"date":"2020-03-17","time":"21:31:15","timezone":"UTC","user_id":75937326,"username":"mlipsitch","name":"Marc Lipsitch","place":"","tweet":"Apologies to the hundreds who have emailed (journalists et al) and I have ignored. I fear those numbers will grow. I am prioritizing trying to do science, keep some time aside to think out of the box about ways out of our distancing vs ICU dilemma, sleep, & see family.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":20,"retweets_count":50,"likes_count":1049,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/mlipsitch/status/1240027944845705217","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"75937326","username":"mlipsitch"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1239240242944671700,"conversation_id":"1239209724836446210","created_at":1584292872000,"date":"2020-03-15","time":"17:21:12","timezone":"UTC","user_id":75937326,"username":"mlipsitch","name":"Marc Lipsitch","place":"","tweet":"And a key conclusion from this analysis is that we are still within the historical norm for this time of year for ILI that is not flu (by inference, since the NREVSS and ILI systems are separate). Still suggestive that HHS region with WA is the hottest","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":5,"retweets_count":16,"likes_count":88,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/mlipsitch/status/1239240242944671745","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"75937326","username":"mlipsitch"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1239234653699088400,"conversation_id":"1239209724836446210","created_at":1584291539000,"date":"2020-03-15","time":"16:58:59","timezone":"UTC","user_id":75937326,"username":"mlipsitch","name":"Marc Lipsitch","place":"","tweet":"Regions 2, 4, 7, and 8 (esp. 2) seem concerning based on this same measure - increased ILI and (apart from 7) declining flu. Others still flat or declining on ILI for now. This may be best indicator we have until testing ramps up","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":11,"retweets_count":16,"likes_count":91,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/mlipsitch/status/1239234653699088388","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"75937326","username":"mlipsitch"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1239221813567201300,"conversation_id":"1239221053848727553","created_at":1584288478000,"date":"2020-03-15","time":"16:07:58","timezone":"UTC","user_id":75937326,"username":"mlipsitch","name":"Marc Lipsitch","place":"","tweet":"So the number infected in Wuhan to date (more than confirmed, but still small relative to size of the city) is nowhere near the ultimate number that must be infected to achieve herd immunity so that infection can't transmit readily even with normal social interaction","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":27,"retweets_count":95,"likes_count":358,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/mlipsitch/status/1239221813567201281","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"75937326","username":"mlipsitch"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1239221395546136600,"conversation_id":"1239221053848727553","created_at":1584288378000,"date":"2020-03-15","time":"16:06:18","timezone":"UTC","user_id":75937326,"username":"mlipsitch","name":"Marc Lipsitch","place":"","tweet":"and if not, will be reintroduced. China's crackdown remarkably effective but people are still susceptible. Viral spread resumes when social contact does. Virus doesn't remember the social distancing of the past. 1918 showed this and so does basic logic.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":19,"retweets_count":105,"likes_count":431,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/mlipsitch/status/1239221395546136577","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"75937326","username":"mlipsitch"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1239221053848727600,"conversation_id":"1239221053848727553","created_at":1584288297000,"date":"2020-03-15","time":"16:04:57","timezone":"UTC","user_id":75937326,"username":"mlipsitch","name":"Marc Lipsitch","place":"","tweet":"Another myth to bust: Wuhan stopped short of 20% of the population being infected -- how can you say it will be 20-60% who will get it? FACT: yes Wuhan is short of that. The epidemic is not over. China is restricting travel from outside (irony!) but COVID certainly still there...","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":40,"retweets_count":332,"likes_count":821,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/mlipsitch/status/1239221053848727553","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"75937326","username":"mlipsitch"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1239174069980971000,"conversation_id":"1239173318638534657","created_at":1584277095000,"date":"2020-03-15","time":"12:58:15","timezone":"UTC","user_id":75937326,"username":"mlipsitch","name":"Marc Lipsitch","place":"","tweet":"Much worse. Most cases every day are untested","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":5,"retweets_count":10,"likes_count":127,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/mlipsitch/status/1239174069980971009","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"75937326","username":"mlipsitch"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1239173640656167000,"conversation_id":"1239173318638534657","created_at":1584276993000,"date":"2020-03-15","time":"12:56:33","timezone":"UTC","user_id":75937326,"username":"mlipsitch","name":"Marc Lipsitch","place":"","tweet":"Same applies for some other countries, but US is among rich countries perhaps the champion of undertesting. Kudos to many colleagues for racing to fix that, but for now the numbers are wildly underestimated.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":14,"retweets_count":146,"likes_count":857,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/mlipsitch/status/1239173640656166912","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"75937326","username":"mlipsitch"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1239173318638534700,"conversation_id":"1239173318638534657","created_at":1584276916000,"date":"2020-03-15","time":"12:55:16","timezone":"UTC","user_id":75937326,"username":"mlipsitch","name":"Marc Lipsitch","place":"","tweet":"Repeating my plea to media: PLEASE stop saying \"there are now X number of cases in the US\" and start saying \"as of today X cases have been reported in the US. Because of limited testing, experts agree the real number is far higher.\" We don't know how much higher but many times","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":273,"retweets_count":6622,"likes_count":25838,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/mlipsitch/status/1239173318638534657","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"75937326","username":"mlipsitch"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1238996861140295700,"conversation_id":"1238995410225696768","created_at":1584234845000,"date":"2020-03-15","time":"01:14:05","timezone":"UTC","user_id":75937326,"username":"mlipsitch","name":"Marc Lipsitch","place":"","tweet":"Again I am not an MD and am just sharing the expert views that are informing my own thinking.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":5,"retweets_count":1,"likes_count":52,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/mlipsitch/status/1238996861140295680","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"75937326","username":"mlipsitch"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1238995549816270800,"conversation_id":"1238995410225696768","created_at":1584234533000,"date":"2020-03-15","time":"01:08:53","timezone":"UTC","user_id":75937326,"username":"mlipsitch","name":"Marc Lipsitch","place":"","tweet":"You can of course get vitamin D from sunlight, and being outdoors in fresh air has many other benefits besides.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":8,"retweets_count":16,"likes_count":109,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/mlipsitch/status/1238995549816270848","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"75937326","username":"mlipsitch"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1238263192599638000,"conversation_id":"1238263192599638016","created_at":1584059925000,"date":"2020-03-13","time":"00:38:45","timezone":"UTC","user_id":75937326,"username":"mlipsitch","name":"Marc Lipsitch","place":"","tweet":"I'm taking a break from talking to the press for a few days. I'm planning to spend the next several days, at least through the weekend, resting, exercising, and focusing on scientific work.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":106,"retweets_count":62,"likes_count":2227,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/mlipsitch/status/1238263192599638016","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"75937326","username":"mlipsitch"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1237550291316125700,"conversation_id":"1237548582623821826","created_at":1583889956000,"date":"2020-03-11","time":"01:25:56","timezone":"UTC","user_id":75937326,"username":"mlipsitch","name":"Marc Lipsitch","place":"","tweet":"And how to maintain education if they do close","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":3,"retweets_count":2,"likes_count":15,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/mlipsitch/status/1237550291316125701","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"75937326","username":"mlipsitch"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1237413608172159000,"conversation_id":"1237413608172158979","created_at":1583857368000,"date":"2020-03-10","time":"16:22:48","timezone":"UTC","user_id":75937326,"username":"mlipsitch","name":"Marc Lipsitch","place":"","tweet":"The numbers of \"new\" cases reported daily in the US are not new. They are newly discovered as we start to test more. Testing is still completely inadequate, and actual case numbers are much larger than the numbers we're hearing because most cases never get tested.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":52,"retweets_count":736,"likes_count":2024,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/mlipsitch/status/1237413608172158979","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"75937326","username":"mlipsitch"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1237354546764091400,"conversation_id":"1237347774951305216","created_at":1583843287000,"date":"2020-03-10","time":"12:28:07","timezone":"UTC","user_id":75937326,"username":"mlipsitch","name":"Marc Lipsitch","place":"","tweet":"3) We will not intervene as intensely as China, making speed even nore important. \n4) Slowing transmission did not immediately relieve health care burden. People take a long time (weeks) to get really sick, so the peak burden trailed peak transmission by weeks esp in Wuhan","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":12,"retweets_count":245,"likes_count":762,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/mlipsitch/status/1237354546764091393","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"75937326","username":"mlipsitch"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1237354257000607700,"conversation_id":"1237347774951305216","created_at":1583843218000,"date":"2020-03-10","time":"12:26:58","timezone":"UTC","user_id":75937326,"username":"mlipsitch","name":"Marc Lipsitch","place":"","tweet":"My takeaways: 1) early intervention spares the health system from intense stress -- like Philly vs. St. Louis.\n2) Early intervention means before it feels bad. Guangzho intervened when they had 7 confirmed cases & 0 deaths. Wuhan's came when they had 495 confirmed cases, 23 dead","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":23,"retweets_count":507,"likes_count":1186,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/mlipsitch/status/1237354257000607744","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"75937326","username":"mlipsitch"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1237352858380632000,"conversation_id":"1237347774951305216","created_at":1583842884000,"date":"2020-03-10","time":"12:21:24","timezone":"UTC","user_id":75937326,"username":"mlipsitch","name":"Marc Lipsitch","place":"","tweet":"We looked at the epidemics in Wuhan and Guangzho and their ICU and hospital bed use vs US capacity. Summary: Wuhan's peak critical case load per capita was equal to the total number of ICU beds per capita in the US -- a similar experience to Wuhan would fill our ICU with COVID","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":14,"retweets_count":345,"likes_count":743,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/mlipsitch/status/1237352858380632064","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"75937326","username":"mlipsitch"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1237348902204051500,"conversation_id":"1237347774951305216","created_at":1583841941000,"date":"2020-03-10","time":"12:05:41","timezone":"UTC","user_id":75937326,"username":"mlipsitch","name":"Marc Lipsitch","place":"","tweet":"And we need to stop feeling sheepish about it and just realize that some places (Italy, Iran) are in crisis, and some are very likely in the days before crisis, a crisis that will be less bad if we slow down the virus. #flattenthecurve to reduce peak demand on health care","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":18,"retweets_count":369,"likes_count":1364,"hashtags":["#flattenthecurve"],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/mlipsitch/status/1237348902204051458","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"75937326","username":"mlipsitch"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1237348575010586600,"conversation_id":"1237347774951305216","created_at":1583841863000,"date":"2020-03-10","time":"12:04:23","timezone":"UTC","user_id":75937326,"username":"mlipsitch","name":"Marc Lipsitch","place":"","tweet":"It is unsustainable (effort grows with epidemic size). We need measures that while painful for all will slow social contact - cancelling public gatherings, paid sick leave, working from home, and the like. Social distancing is the general name for these interventions.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":19,"retweets_count":469,"likes_count":1393,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/mlipsitch/status/1237348575010586624","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"75937326","username":"mlipsitch"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1236707226380841000,"conversation_id":"1236707226380840960","created_at":1583688954000,"date":"2020-03-08","time":"17:35:54","timezone":"UTC","user_id":75937326,"username":"mlipsitch","name":"Marc Lipsitch","place":"","tweet":"Media: you need to stop reporting on new cases in the US. They are newly discovered. I know you don't mean to but by saying the literal case numbers you are playing into the false narrative that things are under control in the US.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":81,"retweets_count":329,"likes_count":1182,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/mlipsitch/status/1236707226380840960","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"75937326","username":"mlipsitch"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1232821531929186300,"conversation_id":"1232821531929186307","created_at":1582762532000,"date":"2020-02-27","time":"00:15:32","timezone":"UTC","user_id":75937326,"username":"mlipsitch","name":"Marc Lipsitch","place":"","tweet":"It is discouraging during a presser about coronavirus to hear 1/3 of the questions about $dow","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":33,"retweets_count":72,"likes_count":478,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":["$dow"],"link":"https://twitter.com/mlipsitch/status/1232821531929186307","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"75937326","username":"mlipsitch"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1231428496561463300,"conversation_id":"1231425805898657795","created_at":1582430407000,"date":"2020-02-23","time":"04:00:07","timezone":"UTC","user_id":75937326,"username":"mlipsitch","name":"Marc Lipsitch","place":"","tweet":"The key question -- for which we _desperately_ need good data, is whether this is common or rare. Some circumstantial evidence (eg the similar means of the incubation period and serial interval) suggests it could be common.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":3,"retweets_count":4,"likes_count":44,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/mlipsitch/status/1231428496561463296","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"75937326","username":"mlipsitch"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1231428177790226400,"conversation_id":"1231425805898657795","created_at":1582430331000,"date":"2020-02-23","time":"03:58:51","timezone":"UTC","user_id":75937326,"username":"mlipsitch","name":"Marc Lipsitch","place":"","tweet":"For SARS-CoV-2 (#COVID19) it seems clear from  individual well-documented cases that people can transmit before symptoms (or before they are distinctive enough to prompt suspicion of CoV infection) and that pre-symptomatic people shed virus (evidence from evacuation flights)","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":2,"retweets_count":15,"likes_count":55,"hashtags":["#covid19"],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/mlipsitch/status/1231428177790226432","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"75937326","username":"mlipsitch"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1231427715909197800,"conversation_id":"1231425805898657795","created_at":1582430220000,"date":"2020-02-23","time":"03:57:00","timezone":"UTC","user_id":75937326,"username":"mlipsitch","name":"Marc Lipsitch","place":"","tweet":"Case-based interventions work best if the identifiably sick people are also the only or the main transmitters. They worked really well in SARS (2003), we think, b/c infectious people were all or almost all sick enough to be identifiable as cases.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":5,"likes_count":34,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/mlipsitch/status/1231427715909197824","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"75937326","username":"mlipsitch"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1231427438200131600,"conversation_id":"1231425805898657795","created_at":1582430154000,"date":"2020-02-23","time":"03:55:54","timezone":"UTC","user_id":75937326,"username":"mlipsitch","name":"Marc Lipsitch","place":"","tweet":"2. Among the temporary countermeasures, some (case-based) depend on identifying cases and reducing their transmission (treatment, isolation, quarantine) and some don't (general social distancing, cancelling gatherings, encouraging cough hygiene/handwashing, etc.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":9,"likes_count":33,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/mlipsitch/status/1231427438200131584","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"75937326","username":"mlipsitch"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1231427026877395000,"conversation_id":"1231425805898657795","created_at":1582430056000,"date":"2020-02-23","time":"03:54:16","timezone":"UTC","user_id":75937326,"username":"mlipsitch","name":"Marc Lipsitch","place":"","tweet":"to be relatively short-lived. But maybe vaccines can do better. So one category (long-term) is vaccines; the other is everything else.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":12,"retweets_count":13,"likes_count":70,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/mlipsitch/status/1231427026877394945","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"75937326","username":"mlipsitch"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1231426873663611000,"conversation_id":"1231425805898657795","created_at":1582430020000,"date":"2020-02-23","time":"03:53:40","timezone":"UTC","user_id":75937326,"username":"mlipsitch","name":"Marc Lipsitch","place":"","tweet":"On the other hand, vaccines if and when they become available could be a long-term solution. I hesitate to say permanent because we don't know what duration of immunity will be if vaccines are feasible at all. Can't know until we try. Immunity from natural CoV infection seems","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":6,"retweets_count":23,"likes_count":85,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/mlipsitch/status/1231426873663610880","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"75937326","username":"mlipsitch"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1231426534927478800,"conversation_id":"1231425805898657795","created_at":1582429939000,"date":"2020-02-23","time":"03:52:19","timezone":"UTC","user_id":75937326,"username":"mlipsitch","name":"Marc Lipsitch","place":"","tweet":"1. Temporary vs. long-term/permanent. Most things we can do to slow the virus's spread -- isolation, quarantine, social distancing, canceling public gatherings, treating cases with antivirals if these are proven -- are temporary -- once let up, transmission can resurge.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":3,"retweets_count":38,"likes_count":114,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/mlipsitch/status/1231426534927478784","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"75937326","username":"mlipsitch"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1231426205322301400,"conversation_id":"1231425805898657795","created_at":1582429860000,"date":"2020-02-23","time":"03:51:00","timezone":"UTC","user_id":75937326,"username":"mlipsitch","name":"Marc Lipsitch","place":"","tweet":"As the world's view of the #COVID19 spread turns from containable outbreak to pandemic, the clear next question is what countermeasures can be used. Categorizing these can be helpful.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":11,"retweets_count":90,"likes_count":130,"hashtags":["#covid19"],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/mlipsitch/status/1231426205322301447","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"75937326","username":"mlipsitch"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1231425805898657800,"conversation_id":"1231425805898657795","created_at":1582429765000,"date":"2020-02-23","time":"03:49:25","timezone":"UTC","user_id":75937326,"username":"mlipsitch","name":"Marc Lipsitch","place":"","tweet":"A short (I hope) thread about countermeasures","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":5,"retweets_count":146,"likes_count":252,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/mlipsitch/status/1231425805898657795","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"75937326","username":"mlipsitch"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1228377218109149200,"conversation_id":"1228373884027592704","created_at":1581702925000,"date":"2020-02-14","time":"17:55:25","timezone":"UTC","user_id":75937326,"username":"mlipsitch","name":"Marc Lipsitch","place":"","tweet":"3) Control measures could be extremely effective in locations that have had time to prepare. Maybe in a few, but seems unlikely that is the case in all, especially countries with stretched health systems.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":2,"retweets_count":38,"likes_count":154,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/mlipsitch/status/1228377218109149184","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"75937326","username":"mlipsitch"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1228374615501574100,"conversation_id":"1228373884027592704","created_at":1581702305000,"date":"2020-02-14","time":"17:45:05","timezone":"UTC","user_id":75937326,"username":"mlipsitch","name":"Marc Lipsitch","place":"","tweet":"Why do I think 40-70% infected? Simple math models with oversimple assumptions would predict far more than that given the R0 estimates in the 2-3 range (80-90%). Making more realistic assumptions about mixing, perhaps a little help from seasonality, brings the numbers down","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":13,"retweets_count":123,"likes_count":308,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/mlipsitch/status/1228374615501574146","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"75937326","username":"mlipsitch"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1228374291802017800,"conversation_id":"1228373884027592704","created_at":1581702227000,"date":"2020-02-14","time":"17:43:47","timezone":"UTC","user_id":75937326,"username":"mlipsitch","name":"Marc Lipsitch","place":"","tweet":"Why do I think a pandemic is likely? The infection is in many parts of China and many countries in the world, with meaningful numbers of secondary transmissions. The scale is much larger than SARS for example (where the US had many introductions and no known onward transmission)","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":14,"retweets_count":172,"likes_count":392,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/mlipsitch/status/1228374291802017793","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"75937326","username":"mlipsitch"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1225187530804355000,"conversation_id":"1225186673836707840","created_at":1580942444000,"date":"2020-02-05","time":"22:40:44","timezone":"UTC","user_id":75937326,"username":"mlipsitch","name":"Marc Lipsitch","place":"","tweet":"Is there some way to accomplish that shared goal consistent with what seems to be a holdover from investigative or other genres of not checking quotes and paraphrases? Some other approach? Trying to be constructive here","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":4,"retweets_count":0,"likes_count":7,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/mlipsitch/status/1225187530804355072","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"75937326","username":"mlipsitch"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1225187097645990000,"conversation_id":"1225186673836707840","created_at":1580942341000,"date":"2020-02-05","time":"22:39:01","timezone":"UTC","user_id":75937326,"username":"mlipsitch","name":"Marc Lipsitch","place":"","tweet":"My perspective is that in general science journos and I have a common goal in trying to explain what I believe to be true (when it's that kind of article, as most nCoV articles have been). But few are willing to check quotes even if deadline permits.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":2,"retweets_count":0,"likes_count":8,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/mlipsitch/status/1225187097645989889","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"75937326","username":"mlipsitch"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1225186673836707800,"conversation_id":"1225186673836707840","created_at":1580942240000,"date":"2020-02-05","time":"22:37:20","timezone":"UTC","user_id":75937326,"username":"mlipsitch","name":"Marc Lipsitch","place":"","tweet":"Journalist tweeps: What's the best approach. Reporters I talk to about nCoV vary widely in their knowledge and in the degree to which they have a particular view they are trying to push in their story. After some convos I worry that my viewpoint may be misrepresented.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":3,"retweets_count":0,"likes_count":9,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/mlipsitch/status/1225186673836707840","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"75937326","username":"mlipsitch"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1224673748168646700,"conversation_id":"1224673520044662784","created_at":1580819949000,"date":"2020-02-04","time":"12:39:09","timezone":"UTC","user_id":75937326,"username":"mlipsitch","name":"Marc Lipsitch","place":"","tweet":"Evidence as a whole not single data points. Extra hard when data trickle in","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":2,"likes_count":10,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/mlipsitch/status/1224673748168646657","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"75937326","username":"mlipsitch"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1223221269098893300,"conversation_id":"1223220224301944832","created_at":1580473651000,"date":"2020-01-31","time":"12:27:31","timezone":"UTC","user_id":75937326,"username":"mlipsitch","name":"Marc Lipsitch","place":"","tweet":"To be clear since this is twitter. Both Abx in animals and Wuhan CoV are problems, but Abx in animals does not cause the CoV problem.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":2,"likes_count":32,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/mlipsitch/status/1223221269098893314","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"75937326","username":"mlipsitch"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1223221016098373600,"conversation_id":"1223220224301944832","created_at":1580473591000,"date":"2020-01-31","time":"12:26:31","timezone":"UTC","user_id":75937326,"username":"mlipsitch","name":"Marc Lipsitch","place":"","tweet":"Use of the term \"superbug\" is a different kind of problem. Let's stop using \"superbug\" which patronizes readers and adds to confusion. They can handle \"bacteria\" and \"viruses\"","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":7,"retweets_count":22,"likes_count":123,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/mlipsitch/status/1223221016098373633","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"75937326","username":"mlipsitch"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1223220774955208700,"conversation_id":"1223220224301944832","created_at":1580473533000,"date":"2020-01-31","time":"12:25:33","timezone":"UTC","user_id":75937326,"username":"mlipsitch","name":"Marc Lipsitch","place":"","tweet":"interesting but far-fetched connection. Instead I found myself teaching him the difference between viruses and bacteria. Never liked or used the term \"superbug\" but this is example of why it really confuses. Abx in agriculture are a problem, Wuhan nCoV is a problem.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":3,"likes_count":30,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/mlipsitch/status/1223220774955208704","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"75937326","username":"mlipsitch"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1223220224301944800,"conversation_id":"1223220224301944832","created_at":1580473402000,"date":"2020-01-31","time":"12:23:22","timezone":"UTC","user_id":75937326,"username":"mlipsitch","name":"Marc Lipsitch","place":"","tweet":"Just off the phone w reporter for major global newspaper whom I had to talk down from a story on \"I've read that use of antibiotics in agriculture can select for superbugs, you know, really bad viruses that can infect people.\" Glad I took the call as I assumed it was some...[1/n]","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":2,"retweets_count":17,"likes_count":83,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/mlipsitch/status/1223220224301944832","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"75937326","username":"mlipsitch"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1222654129757134800,"conversation_id":"1222654129757134848","created_at":1580338435000,"date":"2020-01-29","time":"22:53:55","timezone":"UTC","user_id":75937326,"username":"mlipsitch","name":"Marc Lipsitch","place":"","tweet":"Apologies I tweeted earlier this afternoon that there had been one death outside China. I misread an email from a colleague, completely my fault. No known deaths from novel CoV outside China. Mea culpa.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":2,"retweets_count":3,"likes_count":29,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/mlipsitch/status/1222654129757134848","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"75937326","username":"mlipsitch"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1221286117808451600,"conversation_id":"1221191542079197184","created_at":1580012275000,"date":"2020-01-26","time":"04:17:55","timezone":"UTC","user_id":75937326,"username":"mlipsitch","name":"Marc Lipsitch","place":"","tweet":"On the other hand as a colleague pointed out the bulk of SARS in 2003 was late winter and spring","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":0,"retweets_count":0,"likes_count":1,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/mlipsitch/status/1221286117808451584","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"75937326","username":"mlipsitch"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1219366109549416400,"conversation_id":"1219366109549416449","created_at":1579554509000,"date":"2020-01-20","time":"21:08:29","timezone":"UTC","user_id":75937326,"username":"mlipsitch","name":"Marc Lipsitch","place":"","tweet":"A current high school student friend of my daughter told me you don't have to memorize the Krebs Cycle any more for #APBiology. I'm fighting mad. If I had to do it in 1985, everyone should, by golly! #hazing #oldschoolschool #weakmillenials","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":4,"retweets_count":0,"likes_count":36,"hashtags":["#apbiology","#hazing","#oldschoolschool","#weakmillenials"],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/mlipsitch/status/1219366109549416449","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"75937326","username":"mlipsitch"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1218304337589325800,"conversation_id":"1218304337589325825","created_at":1579301363000,"date":"2020-01-17","time":"22:49:23","timezone":"UTC","user_id":75937326,"username":"mlipsitch","name":"Marc Lipsitch","place":"","tweet":"Hi #epitwitter what is our field's standard for the precision  reported in say an odds ratio, given the precision of the inputs? Say you calculate OR = 21 /624 /(657 / 2238910)=114.68.... (95%CI is say 153.3312, 349.123 -- these numbers made up). How many decimal places","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":3,"retweets_count":3,"likes_count":2,"hashtags":["#epitwitter"],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/mlipsitch/status/1218304337589325825","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"75937326","username":"mlipsitch"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1271819823706779600,"conversation_id":"1270742868093808648","created_at":1592060449000,"date":"2020-06-13","time":"15:00:49","timezone":"UTC","user_id":67069351,"username":"mugecevik","name":"Dr Muge Cevik","place":"","tweet":"A second important issue: cross-sectional studies (with no follow up) cannot determine who will remain symptom-free throughout their infection. Oran and Topal include 9/16 cross-sectional reports, so it is unclear whether some patients might have developed symptoms later on.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":0,"likes_count":5,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/mugecevik/status/1271819823706779648","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"67069351","username":"mugecevik"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1271819819659202600,"conversation_id":"1270742868093808648","created_at":1592060448000,"date":"2020-06-13","time":"15:00:48","timezone":"UTC","user_id":67069351,"username":"mugecevik","name":"Dr Muge Cevik","place":"","tweet":"A major problem with the current literature is that many studies reporting \"asymptomatic\" infections did not consider any symptom beyond cough and fever. Respiratory symptoms or fever do not cover the spectrum of COVID-19 presentations. What about other symptoms?","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":1,"likes_count":11,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/mugecevik/status/1271819819659202563","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"67069351","username":"mugecevik"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1271090359129555000,"conversation_id":"1271090347356098562","created_at":1591886531000,"date":"2020-06-11","time":"14:42:11","timezone":"UTC","user_id":67069351,"username":"mugecevik","name":"Dr Muge Cevik","place":"","tweet":"8/ So, in this argument, asymptomatic spread, esp if contributing very little, may have a minimal influence driving the pandemic. We may be able to avert the majority of infections by finding and isolating those with mild symptoms who otherwise feel well & avoiding indoor crowds.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":14,"likes_count":82,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/mugecevik/status/1271090359129554944","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"67069351","username":"mugecevik"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1271090349239349200,"conversation_id":"1271090347356098562","created_at":1591886529000,"date":"2020-06-11","time":"14:42:09","timezone":"UTC","user_id":67069351,"username":"mugecevik","name":"Dr Muge Cevik","place":"","tweet":"2/ We need to find out where the majority of transmission is occurring & who transmits the most so that we can strategically direct our control measures, and this could also inform contact tracing and testing efforts.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":5,"retweets_count":13,"likes_count":78,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/mugecevik/status/1271090349239349251","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"67069351","username":"mugecevik"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1270742962566246400,"conversation_id":"1270742868093808648","created_at":1591803706000,"date":"2020-06-10","time":"15:41:46","timezone":"UTC","user_id":67069351,"username":"mugecevik","name":"Dr Muge Cevik","place":"","tweet":"There remains an immediate need to fill knowledge gaps on COVID-19; however, efforts must coalesce to conducting systematic reviews using robust and transparent methodologies, to avoid selective reporting and to provide a balanced synthesis of evidence to inform policy & practice","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":4,"retweets_count":14,"likes_count":71,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/mugecevik/status/1270742962566246400","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"67069351","username":"mugecevik"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1264525524799492000,"conversation_id":"1264521844624949248","created_at":1590321353000,"date":"2020-05-24","time":"11:55:53","timezone":"UTC","user_id":67069351,"username":"mugecevik","name":"Dr Muge Cevik","place":"","tweet":"That’s why we need to think of risk in terms of many dimensions: so we can each think critically and not fall back on rules that are too simplified.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":17,"retweets_count":32,"likes_count":207,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/mugecevik/status/1264525524799492097","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"67069351","username":"mugecevik"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1264525522845008000,"conversation_id":"1264521844624949248","created_at":1590321353000,"date":"2020-05-24","time":"11:55:53","timezone":"UTC","user_id":67069351,"username":"mugecevik","name":"Dr Muge Cevik","place":"","tweet":"The convergence of many risk factors: singing, the time spent together (the practice was 2.5 hours), and the interaction between the choir members in an enclosed space (not only did they all practice together, they also split up into smaller groups and shared cookies and tea).","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":2,"retweets_count":31,"likes_count":143,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/mugecevik/status/1264525522845007872","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"67069351","username":"mugecevik"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1264525521255379000,"conversation_id":"1264521844624949248","created_at":1590321352000,"date":"2020-05-24","time":"11:55:52","timezone":"UTC","user_id":67069351,"username":"mugecevik","name":"Dr Muge Cevik","place":"","tweet":"In Washington state, a person with the virus attended a choir practice, and more than half of the other singers subsequently got sick. This was labeled a “superspreading” event, as one infection led to 32 others. Why was this so risky?","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":3,"retweets_count":34,"likes_count":122,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/mugecevik/status/1264525521255378944","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"67069351","username":"mugecevik"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1264525519720243200,"conversation_id":"1264521844624949248","created_at":1590321352000,"date":"2020-05-24","time":"11:55:52","timezone":"UTC","user_id":67069351,"username":"mugecevik","name":"Dr Muge Cevik","place":"","tweet":"And it’s not just the location or the time spent together: The activity people are engaged in matters, too.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":27,"likes_count":105,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/mugecevik/status/1264525519720243200","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"67069351","username":"mugecevik"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1264525518113734700,"conversation_id":"1264521844624949248","created_at":1590321351000,"date":"2020-05-24","time":"11:55:51","timezone":"UTC","user_id":67069351,"username":"mugecevik","name":"Dr Muge Cevik","place":"","tweet":"On the other end of the spectrum running quickly past another jogger outside is minimal risk. There are many scenarios in between. In general, outdoors is lower risk. But if you have a gathering outside, and you spent all day together with your friends, risk is still higher.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":3,"retweets_count":49,"likes_count":150,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/mugecevik/status/1264525518113734656","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"67069351","username":"mugecevik"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1264525516352209000,"conversation_id":"1264521844624949248","created_at":1590321351000,"date":"2020-05-24","time":"11:55:51","timezone":"UTC","user_id":67069351,"username":"mugecevik","name":"Dr Muge Cevik","place":"","tweet":"A crowded indoor place, with poor ventilation, filled with people talking, shouting, or singing for hours on end will be the riskiest scenario. A sparsely populated indoor space with open windows is less risky (but not completely safe).","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":14,"retweets_count":91,"likes_count":214,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/mugecevik/status/1264525516352208896","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"67069351","username":"mugecevik"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1264525477869478000,"conversation_id":"1264521844624949248","created_at":1590321342000,"date":"2020-05-24","time":"11:55:42","timezone":"UTC","user_id":67069351,"username":"mugecevik","name":"Dr Muge Cevik","place":"","tweet":"We need to think about risk in four dimensions: distance to other people, environment, activity, and time spent together.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":7,"retweets_count":122,"likes_count":270,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/mugecevik/status/1264525477869477893","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"67069351","username":"mugecevik"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1257443170083897300,"conversation_id":"1257392347010215947","created_at":1588632788000,"date":"2020-05-04","time":"22:53:08","timezone":"UTC","user_id":67069351,"username":"mugecevik","name":"Dr Muge Cevik","place":"","tweet":"Conclusion 2: (a) we need to redesign our living/working spaces & rethink how to provide better, ventilated living/working environment for those who live in deprived & cramped areas; (b) avoid close, sustained contact indoors & in public transport, & maintain personal hygiene.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":187,"retweets_count":743,"likes_count":2385,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/mugecevik/status/1257443170083897346","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"67069351","username":"mugecevik"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1257443150022553600,"conversation_id":"1257392347010215947","created_at":1588632783000,"date":"2020-05-04","time":"22:53:03","timezone":"UTC","user_id":67069351,"username":"mugecevik","name":"Dr Muge Cevik","place":"","tweet":"Addendum: While we have limited data, similar high risk transmission pattern could be seen in other crowded & connected indoor environments such as crowded office spaces, other workplace environment, packed restaurants/cafes, cramped apartment buildings etc.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":36,"retweets_count":383,"likes_count":1226,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/mugecevik/status/1257443150022553602","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"67069351","username":"mugecevik"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1257393267903205400,"conversation_id":"1257392347010215947","created_at":1588620890000,"date":"2020-05-04","time":"19:34:50","timezone":"UTC","user_id":67069351,"username":"mugecevik","name":"Dr Muge Cevik","place":"","tweet":"20/ In conclusion, contact tracing data is crucial to understand real transmission dynamics. Cautionary note: This data & interpretation is based on the available evidence as of May 4th. Our understanding might change based on community testing/lifting lockdown measures. END","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":28,"retweets_count":346,"likes_count":1593,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/mugecevik/status/1257393267903205376","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"67069351","username":"mugecevik"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1257393264967274500,"conversation_id":"1257392347010215947","created_at":1588620890000,"date":"2020-05-04","time":"19:34:50","timezone":"UTC","user_id":67069351,"username":"mugecevik","name":"Dr Muge Cevik","place":"","tweet":"18/ Although limited, these studies so far indicate that susceptibility to infection increases with age (highest >60y) and growing evidence suggests children are less susceptible, are infrequently responsible for household transmission, are not the main drivers of this epidemic.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":20,"retweets_count":455,"likes_count":1321,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/mugecevik/status/1257393264967274497","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"67069351","username":"mugecevik"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1257393261540520000,"conversation_id":"1257392347010215947","created_at":1588620889000,"date":"2020-05-04","time":"19:34:49","timezone":"UTC","user_id":67069351,"username":"mugecevik","name":"Dr Muge Cevik","place":"","tweet":"16/ High infection rates seen in household, friend & family gatherings, transport suggest that closed contacts in congregation is likely the key driver of productive transmission. Casual, short interactions are not the main driver of the epidemic though keep social distancing!","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":25,"retweets_count":923,"likes_count":2349,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/mugecevik/status/1257393261540519936","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"67069351","username":"mugecevik"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1257393259929915400,"conversation_id":"1257392347010215947","created_at":1588620889000,"date":"2020-05-04","time":"19:34:49","timezone":"UTC","user_id":67069351,"username":"mugecevik","name":"Dr Muge Cevik","place":"","tweet":"15/ In summary:\nWhile the infectious inoculum required for infection is unknown, these studies indicate that close & prolonged contact is required for #COVID19 transmission. The risk is highest in enclosed environments; household, long-term care facilities and public transport.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":83,"retweets_count":1933,"likes_count":3796,"hashtags":["#covid19"],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/mugecevik/status/1257393259929915393","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"67069351","username":"mugecevik"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1257392347010216000,"conversation_id":"1257392347010215947","created_at":1588620671000,"date":"2020-05-04","time":"19:31:11","timezone":"UTC","user_id":67069351,"username":"mugecevik","name":"Dr Muge Cevik","place":"","tweet":"A lot of discussion recently about transmission dynamics, most of which are extrapolated from viral loads & estimates. What does contact tracing/community testing data tell us about actual probability of #COVID19 transmission(infection rate), high risk environments/age? \n[thread]","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":293,"retweets_count":4605,"likes_count":8648,"hashtags":["#covid19"],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/mugecevik/status/1257392347010215947","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"67069351","username":"mugecevik"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1251803254436040700,"conversation_id":"1251799729052291073","created_at":1587288127000,"date":"2020-04-19","time":"09:22:07","timezone":"UTC","user_id":67069351,"username":"mugecevik","name":"Dr Muge Cevik","place":"","tweet":"Bilim sınıfta kalmadı, bilimin öngördüğünü dinlemeyen politikalar ve uzmanlığı dışında yorum yapan bilim insanları/ hekimler sınıfta kaldı.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":20,"retweets_count":120,"likes_count":1038,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/mugecevik/status/1251803254436040710","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"67069351","username":"mugecevik"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1248680727870406700,"conversation_id":"1248680727870406657","created_at":1586543659000,"date":"2020-04-10","time":"18:34:19","timezone":"UTC","user_id":67069351,"username":"mugecevik","name":"Dr Muge Cevik","place":"","tweet":"Word of the year 2020:\n\nultracrepidarianism = the habit of giving opinions and advice on matters outside of one's knowledge.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":71,"retweets_count":783,"likes_count":2273,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/mugecevik/status/1248680727870406657","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"67069351","username":"mugecevik"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1247540389088616400,"conversation_id":"1247518699235332097","created_at":1586271781000,"date":"2020-04-07","time":"15:03:01","timezone":"UTC","user_id":67069351,"username":"mugecevik","name":"Dr Muge Cevik","place":"","tweet":"Social media can be an effective conduit of correcting misinformation. A corrective approach by expert organizations, experts, or platforms using journalist fact-checkers and users can lead to a 10-25% reduction in misinformation on social media! #infodemicCOVID19 \n(Relieved!)","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":2,"retweets_count":3,"likes_count":40,"hashtags":["#infodemiccovid19"],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/mugecevik/status/1247540389088616448","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"67069351","username":"mugecevik"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1247537931058733000,"conversation_id":"1247518699235332097","created_at":1586271195000,"date":"2020-04-07","time":"14:53:15","timezone":"UTC","user_id":67069351,"username":"mugecevik","name":"Dr Muge Cevik","place":"","tweet":"How can we manage infodemic?\n- We need to make good information as attractive as fake news!\n- Drown bad information with good information\n- Provide counter information that is equally or better evidenced & more persuasive\n- Labelling reliability of the provider\n#infodemicCOVID19","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":7,"retweets_count":15,"likes_count":67,"hashtags":["#infodemiccovid19"],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/mugecevik/status/1247537931058733056","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"67069351","username":"mugecevik"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1247525002733211600,"conversation_id":"1247518699235332097","created_at":1586268113000,"date":"2020-04-07","time":"14:01:53","timezone":"UTC","user_id":67069351,"username":"mugecevik","name":"Dr Muge Cevik","place":"","tweet":"Most of these messages shared on private messaging apps are usually amplified by well-intended people, directly comes from a caring family member or a friend, but often the source of the information is not able to be tracked back. #infodemicCOVID19","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":3,"retweets_count":0,"likes_count":32,"hashtags":["#infodemiccovid19"],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/mugecevik/status/1247525002733211650","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"67069351","username":"mugecevik"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1247520754142302200,"conversation_id":"1247518699235332097","created_at":1586267100000,"date":"2020-04-07","time":"13:45:00","timezone":"UTC","user_id":67069351,"username":"mugecevik","name":"Dr Muge Cevik","place":"","tweet":"We are seeing a change in main tactics to spread disinformation on #COVID19. Heavy use of private messaging apps (WhatsApp, Messenger) to spread disinformation. Anonymous channels on Telegram spreading fake news, videos, fake official documents, fake audios #infodemicCOVID19","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":3,"retweets_count":7,"likes_count":52,"hashtags":["#covid19","#infodemiccovid19"],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/mugecevik/status/1247520754142302209","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"67069351","username":"mugecevik"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1247518704398524400,"conversation_id":"1247518699235332097","created_at":1586266611000,"date":"2020-04-07","time":"13:36:51","timezone":"UTC","user_id":67069351,"username":"mugecevik","name":"Dr Muge Cevik","place":"","tweet":"This cognitive manipulation does not only imply exposure to unreliable information but also make people more prone to have a cognitive frame to interpret it. #infodemicCOVID19","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":5,"likes_count":53,"hashtags":["#infodemiccovid19"],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/mugecevik/status/1247518704398524417","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"67069351","username":"mugecevik"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1247518702972440600,"conversation_id":"1247518699235332097","created_at":1586266611000,"date":"2020-04-07","time":"13:36:51","timezone":"UTC","user_id":67069351,"username":"mugecevik","name":"Dr Muge Cevik","place":"","tweet":"Junk science and conspiracy theories are the most manipulative and most dangerous form of contents. Because the level of infodemic risk increases with the level of cognitive manipulation that is implied. #infodemicCOVID19","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":5,"likes_count":56,"hashtags":["#infodemiccovid19"],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/mugecevik/status/1247518702972440577","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"67069351","username":"mugecevik"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1247518701147943000,"conversation_id":"1247518699235332097","created_at":1586266610000,"date":"2020-04-07","time":"13:36:50","timezone":"UTC","user_id":67069351,"username":"mugecevik","name":"Dr Muge Cevik","place":"","tweet":"Infodemic is not a new phenomenon. During H1N1 outbreak, 23% of the Twitter posts included personal experience, 14% personal opinion, 8% jokes, 2% spam, 1% marketing and 53% included some resources but contents were not always factual ie \"ways to prevent flu\" #infodemicCOVID19","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":4,"likes_count":42,"hashtags":["#infodemiccovid19"],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/mugecevik/status/1247518701147942912","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"67069351","username":"mugecevik"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1247518699235332000,"conversation_id":"1247518699235332097","created_at":1586266610000,"date":"2020-04-07","time":"13:36:50","timezone":"UTC","user_id":67069351,"username":"mugecevik","name":"Dr Muge Cevik","place":"","tweet":"There is an unprecedented increase in fake news and conspiracy theories, impossible to debunk on a one-on-one basis. This rapidly shared false information is not only misleading but also harmful. We have seen people die following this misinformation.  #infodemicCOVID19","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":13,"retweets_count":120,"likes_count":321,"hashtags":["#infodemiccovid19"],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/mugecevik/status/1247518699235332097","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"67069351","username":"mugecevik"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1246467481104978000,"conversation_id":"1246467457398816771","created_at":1586015980000,"date":"2020-04-04","time":"15:59:40","timezone":"UTC","user_id":67069351,"username":"mugecevik","name":"Dr Muge Cevik","place":"","tweet":"Summary:\n1- The majority of patients admitted to ICU with COVID19 were >60y, male, had a BMI >25\n2- 1 in 5 was BAME, 1 in 4 was <60y\n3- Higher critical care mortality in COVID19 in comparison to non-COVID viral pneumonia (50% vs 23%)\n \nLink to the full report > in the first tweet","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":6,"retweets_count":31,"likes_count":61,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/mugecevik/status/1246467481104977920","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"67069351","username":"mugecevik"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1245410636974219300,"conversation_id":"1245410636974219264","created_at":1585764009000,"date":"2020-04-01","time":"18:00:09","timezone":"UTC","user_id":67069351,"username":"mugecevik","name":"Dr Muge Cevik","place":"","tweet":"Koronavirüsün ne kadar hızlı yayıldığını anladığımız üzerinden 11 hafta, Türkiye’nin en riskli ülkelerden biri olduğunu bildiğimiz üzerinden ise 6 hafta geçti.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":98,"retweets_count":1792,"likes_count":12745,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/mugecevik/status/1245410636974219264","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"67069351","username":"mugecevik"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1243492398338134000,"conversation_id":"1243492398338134016","created_at":1585306665000,"date":"2020-03-27","time":"10:57:45","timezone":"UTC","user_id":67069351,"username":"mugecevik","name":"Dr Muge Cevik","place":"","tweet":"Putting my replies upfront \n📍RNA detection ≠ infectious virus\n📍NEJM paper is not a piece of evidence for \"natural\" airborne transmission, it shows bronchoscopy conditions\n📍No treatment has been proven to be effective against #COVID19, yet\n\nRead the details, not the headlines","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":16,"retweets_count":245,"likes_count":771,"hashtags":["#covid19"],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/mugecevik/status/1243492398338134016","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"67069351","username":"mugecevik"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1242401584501477400,"conversation_id":"1242394286383079424","created_at":1585046595000,"date":"2020-03-24","time":"10:43:15","timezone":"UTC","user_id":67069351,"username":"mugecevik","name":"Dr Muge Cevik","place":"","tweet":"* I am aware that we are missing the denominator as not all cases are tested, this is the main problem with all the data coming through now. But the main message is the same, COVID19 can cause severe disease in young adults.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":6,"retweets_count":17,"likes_count":98,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/mugecevik/status/1242401584501477376","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"67069351","username":"mugecevik"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1240583046182645800,"conversation_id":"1240582418211508225","created_at":1584613021000,"date":"2020-03-19","time":"10:17:01","timezone":"UTC","user_id":67069351,"username":"mugecevik","name":"Dr Muge Cevik","place":"","tweet":"Bu salgından en fazla etkilenecek olan ve çok zor koşullarda salgının ön cephesinde mücadele veren sağlık çalışanlarının haklarını savunmak ve korumak önceliğimiz olmalı. \n\n#DrGüleÇınarınYanındayız","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":5,"retweets_count":67,"likes_count":414,"hashtags":["#drgüleçınarınyanındayız"],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/mugecevik/status/1240583046182645761","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"67069351","username":"mugecevik"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1239138495089782800,"conversation_id":"1238857584204972032","created_at":1584268613000,"date":"2020-03-15","time":"10:36:53","timezone":"UTC","user_id":67069351,"username":"mugecevik","name":"Dr Muge Cevik","place":"","tweet":"Closing this discussion. Based on all messages, this tweet is solely based on anecdotes (only a few (4) pts out of >4000 #COVID19 cases in FR), currently no data to suggest correlation or causal relationship. Until there is more evidence, we need to keep a close eye on this.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":6,"retweets_count":14,"likes_count":90,"hashtags":["#covid19"],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/mugecevik/status/1239138495089782785","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"67069351","username":"mugecevik"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
