{"id":1240941522817822700,"conversation_id":"1240941329540055046","created_at":1584698489000,"date":"2020-03-20","time":"10:01:29","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"Demand to know why this isn’t being communicated with the public in a transparent way so people can protect themselves.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":8,"retweets_count":24,"likes_count":134,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1240941522817822720","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1240941329540055000,"conversation_id":"1240941329540055046","created_at":1584698443000,"date":"2020-03-20","time":"10:00:43","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"I deleted what I just tweeted as partner suggests I could be sanctioned for sharing that info\n\nBut: there IS community transmission widespread in Toronto.  Docs and rn’s around the city are caring for people with community acquired infection in icu’s","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":13,"retweets_count":111,"likes_count":297,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1240941329540055046","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1240681092425879600,"conversation_id":"1240677691801645056","created_at":1584636397000,"date":"2020-03-19","time":"16:46:37","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"For one death on March 15, today's estimated epidemic size (50% credible interval) is 158 to 1274.  So 214 from last night is plausible.  But we could also be missing 5/6 of the COVID-19 around (it's probably somewhere in between).\nThere are a number of folks on vents in Ontario","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":1,"likes_count":5,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1240681092425879553","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1240679081798242300,"conversation_id":"1240677691801645056","created_at":1584635918000,"date":"2020-03-19","time":"16:38:38","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"Run the model forward for 14 days (probably the minimum  time it'll take for us to see an impact of this week's more stringent disease control measures on severely/critically ill individuals in Ontario (i.e., what you do today doesn't affect transmissions that already occurred).","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":2,"retweets_count":1,"likes_count":5,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1240679081798242305","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1240450547397902300,"conversation_id":"1240445360419540994","created_at":1584581431000,"date":"2020-03-19","time":"01:30:31","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"I have screen-grabbed all the maps for this year back to September, and through to last week.  If any of you techie genius types want to DM me, I can send you the screen grabs which I think could be made into a movie.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":2,"retweets_count":2,"likes_count":4,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1240450547397902337","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1240450273467936800,"conversation_id":"1240445360419540994","created_at":1584581366000,"date":"2020-03-19","time":"01:29:26","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"Again, that wee bump to the left was our entire flu season.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":0,"likes_count":5,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1240450273467936769","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1240446966582120400,"conversation_id":"1240445360419540994","created_at":1584580577000,"date":"2020-03-19","time":"01:16:17","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"Now I have to retract my retraction, because they did take it down.  I hadn't closed my window from yesterday, and the site worked.  But if you try to open in a new window: it is down.  What utter garbage.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":6,"retweets_count":1,"likes_count":21,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1240446966582120450","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1240308286433431600,"conversation_id":"1240307996456091650","created_at":1584547513000,"date":"2020-03-18","time":"16:05:13","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"Can use google translate if your italian needs work!\n\nI tend to be sceptical about PCR specificity, especially in highly contaminated environments, but this seems like it may be a real thing (the Diamond Princess fraction of minimally symptomatic folks was similar).","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":4,"retweets_count":4,"likes_count":20,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1240308286433431552","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1240255069595066400,"conversation_id":"1240254649388732417","created_at":1584534826000,"date":"2020-03-18","time":"12:33:46","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"(b) tees up the \"but that would never be me, I'm fine\" cognitive responses in the population.  The latter are understandable as coping mechanisms but really undermine attempts to get people to change behavior.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":3,"retweets_count":5,"likes_count":47,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1240255069595066369","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1240254214921691100,"conversation_id":"1240254214921691137","created_at":1584534622000,"date":"2020-03-18","time":"12:30:22","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"My 8 year old daughter's school has started doing Zoom hangouts so the kids can connect; plan is to scale up to online lessons over time.  So much innovation right now.  It's inspiring.  We can do this.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":10,"retweets_count":17,"likes_count":223,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1240254214921691137","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1240012690044657700,"conversation_id":"1240012690044657667","created_at":1584477038000,"date":"2020-03-17","time":"20:30:38","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"First professional experience with COVID-19 disease today.\n\nThe patient’s virus apparently read some of the papers out of China, and was able to behave exactly as these papers would have predicted.\n\nEncouraging that our models are parameterized right \n\nBut also very disheartening","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":4,"retweets_count":24,"likes_count":168,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1240012690044657667","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1240006416582291500,"conversation_id":"1240006108015624197","created_at":1584475542000,"date":"2020-03-17","time":"20:05:42","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"US peeps: please apply these methods for outbreak estimation in quiet states.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":0,"retweets_count":2,"likes_count":11,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1240006416582291456","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1239838345049538600,"conversation_id":"1239837177284091905","created_at":1584435471000,"date":"2020-03-17","time":"08:57:51","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"Again, this could be driven by people being sent to ED’s for covid testing due to mounting concerns","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":7,"retweets_count":3,"likes_count":14,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1239838345049538560","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1239837853770756000,"conversation_id":"1239837177284091905","created_at":1584435354000,"date":"2020-03-17","time":"08:55:54","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"I assume some of this could be driven by people being directed to ED’s for covid testing","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":1,"likes_count":3,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1239837853770756097","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1239837702754795500,"conversation_id":"1239837177284091905","created_at":1584435318000,"date":"2020-03-17","time":"08:55:18","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"The smaller spike on the left was our influenza season.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":6,"likes_count":16,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1239837702754795520","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1239815192801837000,"conversation_id":"1239814598246764544","created_at":1584429951000,"date":"2020-03-17","time":"07:25:51","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"As she notes, if this is COVID, it’s a\nLOT of COVID","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":0,"retweets_count":3,"likes_count":14,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1239815192801837056","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1239814598246764500,"conversation_id":"1239814598246764544","created_at":1584429809000,"date":"2020-03-17","time":"07:23:29","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"Jon Yazer is a journalist at NOW magazine.  He is not on twitter.  He is the one who noticed ILI surveillance signal.  His story will be running in NOW shortly and will link to it ASAP.  He has asked me to add his contact info (jyazer@gmail.com), and cell (647-567-9297).","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":4,"retweets_count":11,"likes_count":25,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1239814598246764544","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1239745109094281200,"conversation_id":"1239741331108507648","created_at":1584413242000,"date":"2020-03-17","time":"02:47:22","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"but I really do think the die is cast.\n\nWill be stoked to be wrong about this.  I am often wrong.\n\nAlso: have screen grabbed some of those ILI shots in case that web link mysteriously stops working when people start re-tweeting this and Jon's story goes live.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":3,"retweets_count":4,"likes_count":21,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1239745109094281216","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1239744880106254300,"conversation_id":"1239741331108507648","created_at":1584413187000,"date":"2020-03-17","time":"02:46:27","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"Babak Pourbohloul at UBC says \"we model to understand, because when we understand we can predict and control\".  The frustrating part of this epidemic is that I think I can predict, but control is in other hands.  I don't think we needed to go this route...","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":4,"likes_count":29,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1239744880106254336","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1239744575020961800,"conversation_id":"1239741331108507648","created_at":1584413114000,"date":"2020-03-17","time":"02:45:14","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"But I think we know this beast now.  I think we understand it well enough to predict.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":3,"likes_count":20,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1239744575020961796","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1239744465725685800,"conversation_id":"1239741331108507648","created_at":1584413088000,"date":"2020-03-17","time":"02:44:48","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"Nor will it impact the (2 x as many) cases they infected or the (4 x as many) cases the secondary cases infected.  It will only impact cases moving forward (hopefully).\n\nWe shall see.  Sticking a pin in this knowing and hoping I may very well be wrong.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":2,"likes_count":11,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1239744465725685765","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1239744141703155700,"conversation_id":"1239741331108507648","created_at":1584413011000,"date":"2020-03-17","time":"02:43:31","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"Time to ICU after presentation to hospital with severe pneumonia = 3 days, so that's March 20 or so, March 21.\n\nSo (broken record) stuff we do next week when we see ICU cases isn't going to do anything to the transmissions that occurred at the mining convention 2 weeks ago","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":8,"likes_count":24,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1239744141703155717","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1239743790384062500,"conversation_id":"1239741331108507648","created_at":1584412927000,"date":"2020-03-17","time":"02:42:07","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"To have enough COVID to make an ILI signal with all that background noise...well, you'd need a lot of COVID.\n\nIf that's what this is, then we know what's coming.  Time to symptoms is 5-6 days.  Time from symptoms to severe pneumonia is around 7 days (March 17, tomorrow).","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":11,"likes_count":42,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1239743790384062464","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1239743383066771500,"conversation_id":"1239741331108507648","created_at":1584412830000,"date":"2020-03-17","time":"02:40:30","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"(And note, the prior week the province looks green as a fresh cut lawn...no ILI to speak for).","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":3,"likes_count":15,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1239743383066771456","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1239743209909166000,"conversation_id":"1239741331108507648","created_at":1584412789000,"date":"2020-03-17","time":"02:39:49","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"So incubation of 5-6 days would have people presenting to clinic with the mild early stages of COVID March 9 or 10, which is the week that's represented.  That would get billed for as ILI, and show up on the map.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":2,"retweets_count":6,"likes_count":15,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1239743209909166081","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1239742706542424000,"conversation_id":"1239741331108507648","created_at":1584412669000,"date":"2020-03-17","time":"02:37:49","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"A sudden surge of ILI in Algoma after a large number of folks travelled to Toronto and back for their industry's convention sure sounds like a potential superspreader event.  That event ended (I believe) March 4.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":2,"retweets_count":15,"likes_count":50,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1239742706542424074","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1239742415872950300,"conversation_id":"1239741331108507648","created_at":1584412599000,"date":"2020-03-17","time":"02:36:39","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"I suspect this map represents COVID emergence in the province.  Both Toronto and Ottawa have confirmed community spread.  Algoma is a hub of the Canadian mining industry, and we know a COVID case acquired in Toronto, at a large mining convention, was identified there last week","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":4,"retweets_count":11,"likes_count":42,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1239742415872950273","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1239742059734618000,"conversation_id":"1239741331108507648","created_at":1584412514000,"date":"2020-03-17","time":"02:35:14","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"Now go all the way to the right; this past week.  The map has bright red patches in Toronto (center), Ottawa (right) and Algoma (left).  Why does ILI activity spike all of a sudden after flu season has ended?","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":2,"retweets_count":5,"likes_count":16,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1239742059734618113","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1239741808390873000,"conversation_id":"1239741331108507648","created_at":1584412455000,"date":"2020-03-17","time":"02:34:15","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"This is the density of people visiting offices for \"influenza-like illness\"\n\nClick on the map, and turn the clock back to late December/early January; there's a lot of red, because it's flu season.  After that the map turns green, as it should, because flu season is over.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":5,"retweets_count":11,"likes_count":23,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1239741808390873089","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1239527988531732500,"conversation_id":"1239527919065718784","created_at":1584361476000,"date":"2020-03-16","time":"12:24:36","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"We all have other things to focus on.\n\nK thx bye","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":0,"retweets_count":0,"likes_count":9,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1239527988531732480","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1239527919065718800,"conversation_id":"1239527919065718784","created_at":1584361459000,"date":"2020-03-16","time":"12:24:19","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"Yo, Egypt peeps.  Your country is awesome.  There are reasons why it may be harder to identify covid in Egypt: especially age distribution.\n\nThat said: stop shooting the messengers.  It is implausible that Egypt has few cases except among those leaving the country.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":4,"retweets_count":12,"likes_count":90,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1239527919065718784","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1239493547394510800,"conversation_id":"1239490076591165441","created_at":1584353265000,"date":"2020-03-16","time":"10:07:45","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"Please help me.  Please amplify this message.  Please send these pictures to your MP, your MOH, to your MPP, to Doug Ford, to Justin Trudeau, to Patty Hadju.  Please demand to know why we aren't following the lead of Taiwan, Singapore and Hong Kong.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":2,"retweets_count":3,"likes_count":9,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1239493547394510850","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1239493287716753400,"conversation_id":"1239490076591165441","created_at":1584353203000,"date":"2020-03-16","time":"10:06:43","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"Other strategies are helpful, but this model has them instituted BEFORE things get bad, proactively, not as reactive strategies.   (We'll get to reactive outputs soon, but the TLDR on those is the same...earlier >>> later, population interventions >>> case-based interventions","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":3,"likes_count":3,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1239493287716753408","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1239492894232383500,"conversation_id":"1239490076591165441","created_at":1584353109000,"date":"2020-03-16","time":"10:05:09","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"(sorry about the change in colours).\n\nwhat we see now is that even Korea-level social distancing isn't enough to keep ICU's from drowning.  I have also added a second more realistic representation of current ICU cap, which takes into account 90% occupancy.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":4,"retweets_count":11,"likes_count":26,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1239492894232383488","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1239492372213481500,"conversation_id":"1239490076591165441","created_at":1584352984000,"date":"2020-03-16","time":"10:03:04","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"We will get to the point where we embrace social distancing and maybe even quarantines.  The idea is to do that proactively and not reactively, so people don't die unnecessarily.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":11,"likes_count":44,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1239492372213481472","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1239491377798549500,"conversation_id":"1239490076591165441","created_at":1584352747000,"date":"2020-03-16","time":"09:59:07","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"The TLDR is this:\n\n1. Our ICU's drown with any approach that doesn't involve large scale social disruption.  That means people die unnecessarily.\n\n2. The point of these strategies isn't just to save lives; it's to buy time so we can build capacity.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":5,"retweets_count":52,"likes_count":89,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1239491377798549504","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1239491087359783000,"conversation_id":"1239490076591165441","created_at":1584352678000,"date":"2020-03-16","time":"09:57:58","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"Pale blue curve is invisible because the cases are very low.  That's prolonged school closure PLUS Korea-style case finding and isolation.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":7,"likes_count":18,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1239491087359782913","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1239490906245533700,"conversation_id":"1239490076591165441","created_at":1584352635000,"date":"2020-03-16","time":"09:57:15","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"Green is aggressive social distancing, all ages.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":5,"likes_count":12,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1239490906245533697","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1239490847395250200,"conversation_id":"1239490076591165441","created_at":1584352621000,"date":"2020-03-16","time":"09:57:01","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"Orange is case finding that looks more like Korea.  Find cases and isolate them with high efficiency.  Our ICU capacity still drowns, though this does buy us time.\n\nThe other curves represent different kinds of social distancing.  Red curve is prolonged school closure, buys time","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":6,"likes_count":17,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1239490847395250176","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1239484862303801300,"conversation_id":"1239484525744402432","created_at":1584351194000,"date":"2020-03-16","time":"09:33:14","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"This may be a seasonal disease in future.  With pandemics seasonality is attenuated because R maintained above 1 by high levels of susceptibility in the population.  (Hence the out-of-season \"herald waves\" that characterize pandemics...cholera in the winter, influenza in summer.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":0,"likes_count":5,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1239484862303801344","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1239360477693689900,"conversation_id":"1239360477693689856","created_at":1584321538000,"date":"2020-03-16","time":"01:18:58","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"Crude global CFR for COVID is approaching 4%.  Yes, we are missing the mild cases.  That is still astounding.  What a terrible disease.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":6,"retweets_count":46,"likes_count":89,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1239360477693689856","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1239234931521278000,"conversation_id":"1239234931521277952","created_at":1584291606000,"date":"2020-03-15","time":"17:00:06","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"Hey Ontario.\n\nThe golden time is over.\n\nYour leaders knew, and they dithered.  You have a right to be angry.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":18,"retweets_count":61,"likes_count":174,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1239234931521277952","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1239216886031634400,"conversation_id":"1239216340642066432","created_at":1584287303000,"date":"2020-03-15","time":"15:48:23","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"Inasmuch as serial interval = 7 d would require a lower R0 to get to where we are currently.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":2,"retweets_count":2,"likes_count":8,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1239216886031634432","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1239176572978049000,"conversation_id":"1239175441589698566","created_at":1584277692000,"date":"2020-03-15","time":"13:08:12","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"If we start hard, and realize it's overkill, we can scale back.  \n\nWe do not need to eat this whole thing in one bite...4-6 week time horizons, keep it simple, keep maintenance of ICU resources and protection of the elderly front and center.  \n\nDon't overthink it.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":4,"retweets_count":22,"likes_count":103,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1239176572978049026","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1239176307038175200,"conversation_id":"1239175441589698566","created_at":1584277629000,"date":"2020-03-15","time":"13:07:09","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"Ironically, many in public health are stuck in their offices because of lack of current IT to allow work from home.\n\nThere will be a learning curve but humans are smart.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":9,"likes_count":57,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1239176307038175235","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1239176150481612800,"conversation_id":"1239175441589698566","created_at":1584277591000,"date":"2020-03-15","time":"13:06:31","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"I think we need excellent surveillance tools to know when to turn the tap on and off on PH interventions.  \n\nI think this is doable...our financial sector in Toronto will largely have gone on home work next week, and they can do much of what they do virtually.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":5,"likes_count":35,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1239176150481612800","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1239175885724541000,"conversation_id":"1239175441589698566","created_at":1584277528000,"date":"2020-03-15","time":"13:05:28","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"There are many choke points (work from home, video education and medical consultation, different approaches to schooling, virtual conferences) that can be highly impactful.  \n\nI think these are going to have to be dialed up and down as things get better and worse.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":11,"likes_count":36,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1239175885724540928","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1239175691633123300,"conversation_id":"1239175441589698566","created_at":1584277482000,"date":"2020-03-15","time":"13:04:42","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"We have to think about muddling through for 18 months, with a reasonable likelihood of seasonal attenuation.\n\nThis is, ultimately, not that transmissible a virus.  R0 2.5, let's say.  That's pretty close to 1.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":2,"retweets_count":9,"likes_count":36,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1239175691633123328","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1239175441589698600,"conversation_id":"1239175441589698566","created_at":1584277422000,"date":"2020-03-15","time":"13:03:42","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"One more thread then time to hit the wards:\n\nSocial distancing is highly impactful, but more impactful early\n\nIt needs to be early.  That is more important than having it be comprehensive or strict.  This disease is sensitive to social distancing.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":8,"retweets_count":183,"likes_count":382,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1239175441589698566","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1239138131468791800,"conversation_id":"1239134892975427586","created_at":1584268527000,"date":"2020-03-15","time":"10:35:27","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"Again, this is a choice we make.  We act early, proactively, or we act late, reactively.\n\nThe golden time.  It is ending in Canada.  We need to act.\n\n/Finito","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":20,"retweets_count":160,"likes_count":520,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1239138131468791809","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1239137775103991800,"conversation_id":"1239134892975427586","created_at":1584268442000,"date":"2020-03-15","time":"10:34:02","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"Public health authorities cannot keep up.  Modest control efforts are no longer meaningful so extreme quarantines and lockdowns are necessary.  Emergency measures statutes are invoked.\n\nPeople comply.  They are terrified\n\n10/n","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":83,"likes_count":254,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1239137775103991808","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1239137409020854300,"conversation_id":"1239134892975427586","created_at":1584268355000,"date":"2020-03-15","time":"10:32:35","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"Your overwhelmed healthcare workers, the tip of the spear in this fight, can’t work safely and get infected.  Some of them start to die.\n\nThis is not hyperbole.  We have seen this in China, we are seeing this in Italy, we are about to see this in Spain and France.\n\n9/n","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":2,"retweets_count":136,"likes_count":292,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1239137409020854273","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1239137019059675100,"conversation_id":"1239134892975427586","created_at":1584268262000,"date":"2020-03-15","time":"10:31:02","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"You get hit by a blizzard of respiratory failure.  Your ventilators and icus are full but desperate people who can’t breathe keep coming.\n\nThey die because you can’t help them\n\n8/n","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":97,"likes_count":237,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1239137019059675136","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1239136706680537000,"conversation_id":"1239134892975427586","created_at":1584268187000,"date":"2020-03-15","time":"10:29:47","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"This chain of events, from Wuhan data, takes about 16 days.  All those infections are in the pipeline, and have doubled and quadrupled in numbers, by the time you react to the crisis.\n\n7/n","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":2,"retweets_count":123,"likes_count":289,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1239136706680537089","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1239136270707720200,"conversation_id":"1239134892975427586","created_at":1584268083000,"date":"2020-03-15","time":"10:28:03","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"Intervening today does nothing to reverse the transmission events from 2 weeks ago, or last week, or yesterday.  \n\nThose infections have yet to incubate, become ill, be hospitalized, require ventilators.\n\n6/n","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":5,"retweets_count":126,"likes_count":321,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1239136270707720192","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1239135922177933300,"conversation_id":"1239134892975427586","created_at":1584268000000,"date":"2020-03-15","time":"10:26:40","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"To the crisis you are already too late.\n\nThose who are sick were infected 2-3 weeks ago.  They are a lagging indicator for exponentially increasing infections THAT HAVE ALREADY HAPPENED\n\n5/n","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":8,"retweets_count":200,"likes_count":466,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1239135922177933314","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1239135643080499200,"conversation_id":"1239134892975427586","created_at":1584267933000,"date":"2020-03-15","time":"10:25:33","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"“...  to hit the most vulnerable group of people, including the elderly and those with the existing medical conditions.”\n\n“The golden time”.  That is perfect.\n\nThe golden time for wide scale social distancing is before you have a crisis.  If you are reacting\n\n4/n","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":3,"retweets_count":123,"likes_count":330,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1239135643080499200","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1239135310333849600,"conversation_id":"1239134892975427586","created_at":1584267854000,"date":"2020-03-15","time":"10:24:14","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"“When each county misses the golden time, - Washington, London, and Rome have all missed it and they are paying the terrible price - this C19 thing is rapidly moving...\n\n3/n","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":94,"likes_count":255,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1239135310333849602","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1239135114828939300,"conversation_id":"1239134892975427586","created_at":1584267808000,"date":"2020-03-15","time":"10:23:28","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"“In the meantime, I advise top policymakers here in Korea and elsewhere to make data-informed mitigation at a national scale in a highly effective manner.”","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":2,"retweets_count":62,"likes_count":220,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1239135114828939265","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1239134892975427600,"conversation_id":"1239134892975427586","created_at":1584267755000,"date":"2020-03-15","time":"10:22:35","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"Thread:\n\nWisdom from a friend in Korea.  They have just been through hell with the Daegu/Gyunbook outbreak and come out the other side.\n\nHe starts by talking about rapidly moving work on the drug and vaccine front, but then goes on:\n\n1/n","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":15,"retweets_count":595,"likes_count":802,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1239134892975427586","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1238997586197065700,"conversation_id":"1238992071958069249","created_at":1584235018000,"date":"2020-03-15","time":"01:16:58","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"Sorry, Italy overall is 40%.  It’s 51% in Lombardy.  Is this scaled up testing?","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":5,"likes_count":44,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1238997586197065733","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1238992071958069200,"conversation_id":"1238992071958069249","created_at":1584233703000,"date":"2020-03-15","time":"00:55:03","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"Italy with a 51% day on day increase in cases.  I thought there must have been an explosion in a new region, but no, it's all Lombardy.  7732 yesterday-->11685 today.  You can't model this...it's just a crazy increase.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":11,"retweets_count":89,"likes_count":237,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1238992071958069249","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1273037850808811500,"conversation_id":"1273037411635912707","created_at":1592350850000,"date":"2020-06-16","time":"23:40:50","timezone":"UTC","user_id":17393219,"username":"dereklowe","name":"Derek Lowe","place":"","tweet":"As a completely trivial aside, the font used in this figure reminds me very much of the Latin-alphabet fonts used for so long in Japanese and Chinese typography (as in old Japanese chemistry journals and patents). A distinctive tall-and-narrow look.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":2,"retweets_count":0,"likes_count":12,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/Dereklowe/status/1273037850808811520","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"17393219","username":"Dereklowe"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1268718301049434000,"conversation_id":"1268718301049434118","created_at":1591320989000,"date":"2020-06-05","time":"01:36:29","timezone":"UTC","user_id":17393219,"username":"dereklowe","name":"Derek Lowe","place":"","tweet":"My posts on the Lancet study and Surgisphere have been updated now that the idea of an independent audit of their data has collapsed. None of their papers can be regarded as valid - this has been a real debacle, and I look forward to what must be quite a backstory. . .","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":7,"retweets_count":37,"likes_count":166,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/Dereklowe/status/1268718301049434118","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"17393219","username":"Dereklowe"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1267818127837917200,"conversation_id":"1267818127837917186","created_at":1591106371000,"date":"2020-06-02","time":"13:59:31","timezone":"UTC","user_id":17393219,"username":"dereklowe","name":"Derek Lowe","place":"","tweet":"Quite an accomplishment: after nights of rioting across the country, I’ve ended up *less* sympathetic to the police and law enforcement than I’ve ever been in my life.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":11,"retweets_count":44,"likes_count":271,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/Dereklowe/status/1267818127837917186","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"17393219","username":"Dereklowe"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1266905191938474000,"conversation_id":"1266902001381769219","created_at":1590888710000,"date":"2020-05-31","time":"01:31:50","timezone":"UTC","user_id":17393219,"username":"dereklowe","name":"Derek Lowe","place":"","tweet":"And yeah, days like today I use these walks to try to clear my head a bit. Tonight, I'm worried about what I'll see on my Twitter feed, worried about what happens next, and worried about my country.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":4,"retweets_count":0,"likes_count":33,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/Dereklowe/status/1266905191938473985","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"17393219","username":"Dereklowe"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1265281887242772500,"conversation_id":"1265281887242772480","created_at":1590501684000,"date":"2020-05-26","time":"14:01:24","timezone":"UTC","user_id":17393219,"username":"dereklowe","name":"Derek Lowe","place":"","tweet":"I feel a bit like an Onion-style headline: \"Area Man Realizes That He's Paid For Worse Haircuts Than the Ones He's Been Giving Himself\"","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":8,"retweets_count":4,"likes_count":107,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/Dereklowe/status/1265281887242772480","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"17393219","username":"Dereklowe"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1263995595733250000,"conversation_id":"1263995595733250054","created_at":1590195008000,"date":"2020-05-23","time":"00:50:08","timezone":"UTC","user_id":17393219,"username":"dereklowe","name":"Derek Lowe","place":"","tweet":"Nature: if you can see bright Venus low in the West as it’s getting dark, try looking through binoculars. It’s actually a thin crescent right now! And to its left, up a bit, is the planet Mercury, which most people have never seen.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":10,"retweets_count":8,"likes_count":61,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/Dereklowe/status/1263995595733250054","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"17393219","username":"Dereklowe"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1263824438925107200,"conversation_id":"1263823758436990978","created_at":1590154201000,"date":"2020-05-22","time":"13:30:01","timezone":"UTC","user_id":17393219,"username":"dereklowe","name":"Derek Lowe","place":"","tweet":"It's also key to note (as the paper does) that we don't yet know the correlates for human immunity: what titer of neutralizing antibodies and what T-cell response will be needed for protection. Phase II trials during the summer should tell us that.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":2,"retweets_count":10,"likes_count":28,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/Dereklowe/status/1263824438925107201","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"17393219","username":"Dereklowe"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1262499687615078400,"conversation_id":"1262499687615078400","created_at":1589838356000,"date":"2020-05-18","time":"21:45:56","timezone":"UTC","user_id":17393219,"username":"dereklowe","name":"Derek Lowe","place":"","tweet":"Always love posting a bunch of stuff in the morning, being out of touch during the day, and coming back to fix all the typos, etc. that have been hanging out there in the breeze!","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":0,"likes_count":23,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/Dereklowe/status/1262499687615078400","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"17393219","username":"Dereklowe"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1258420239349489700,"conversation_id":"1258420235687858176","created_at":1588865740000,"date":"2020-05-07","time":"15:35:40","timezone":"UTC","user_id":17393219,"username":"dereklowe","name":"Derek Lowe","place":"","tweet":"There is no evidence as yet that hydroxychloroquine prevents anyone from becoming infected with the coronavirus. Anyone citing the Italian numbers is either deliberately or unknowing spreading false information. (5/5)","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":7,"retweets_count":14,"likes_count":59,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/Dereklowe/status/1258420239349489665","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"17393219","username":"Dereklowe"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1258420236514144300,"conversation_id":"1258420235687858176","created_at":1588865739000,"date":"2020-05-07","time":"15:35:39","timezone":"UTC","user_id":17393219,"username":"dereklowe","name":"Derek Lowe","place":"","tweet":"There are at least two mentions in media sources (one from an Italian newspaper, one from an interview in the Israeli press) about the Italian Rheumatology Society monitoring their patients who are taking HCQ for coronavirus cases. (2/5)","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":2,"retweets_count":4,"likes_count":16,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/Dereklowe/status/1258420236514144258","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"17393219","username":"Dereklowe"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1258420235687858200,"conversation_id":"1258420235687858176","created_at":1588865739000,"date":"2020-05-07","time":"15:35:39","timezone":"UTC","user_id":17393219,"username":"dereklowe","name":"Derek Lowe","place":"","tweet":"You may have seen claims from people promoting hydroxychloroquine that there are numbers from Italy that prove that it's a prophylactic treatment against COVID-19. These numbers are complete fiction. (1/5","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":6,"retweets_count":78,"likes_count":165,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/Dereklowe/status/1258420235687858176","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"17393219","username":"Dereklowe"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1257828684670656500,"conversation_id":"1257828682254737408","created_at":1588724702000,"date":"2020-05-06","time":"00:25:02","timezone":"UTC","user_id":17393219,"username":"dereklowe","name":"Derek Lowe","place":"","tweet":"Moreover, the manuscript lists several funding agencies, but the trial registry says that this trial was funded by \"Harbin Pharmaceutical Group Sanjing Pharmaceutical Holding Co., Ltd\" which is mentioned nowhere. What's the story with this paper? (3/3)","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":3,"retweets_count":2,"likes_count":23,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/Dereklowe/status/1257828684670656513","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"17393219","username":"Dereklowe"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1256294884513808400,"conversation_id":"1256294884513808384","created_at":1588359015000,"date":"2020-05-01","time":"18:50:15","timezone":"UTC","user_id":17393219,"username":"dereklowe","name":"Derek Lowe","place":"","tweet":"Our metal bird feeder pole this morning was bent about 70 degrees off vertical, with the sunflower seed feeder broken to pieces and the suet feeder cleaned out.\n\nI conclude that black bears are getting a bit further into the Boston suburbs than usual these days!","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":12,"retweets_count":3,"likes_count":70,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/Dereklowe/status/1256294884513808384","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"17393219","username":"Dereklowe"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1252625910983000000,"conversation_id":"1252625910983000064","created_at":1587484264000,"date":"2020-04-21","time":"15:51:04","timezone":"UTC","user_id":17393219,"username":"dereklowe","name":"Derek Lowe","place":"","tweet":"Lost a post briefly this morning - we're getting the angiotensin one from yesterday back up in just a bit.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":0,"likes_count":9,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/Dereklowe/status/1252625910983000064","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"17393219","username":"Dereklowe"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1251528502827942000,"conversation_id":"1251528502827941898","created_at":1587222622000,"date":"2020-04-18","time":"15:10:22","timezone":"UTC","user_id":17393219,"username":"dereklowe","name":"Derek Lowe","place":"","tweet":"I had basically never used Twitter’s “Mute” or “Block” functions in maintaining this account. That is no longer the case. Aggressive, willful, performative ignorance gets the button.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":17,"retweets_count":8,"likes_count":325,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/Dereklowe/status/1251528502827941898","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"17393219","username":"Dereklowe"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1250125901959958500,"conversation_id":"1250125901959958528","created_at":1586888215000,"date":"2020-04-14","time":"18:16:55","timezone":"UTC","user_id":17393219,"username":"dereklowe","name":"Derek Lowe","place":"","tweet":"Working on a big long Covid-19 vaccine post for the blog, but there's a lot of stuff going on today. It'll be up eventually!","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":4,"retweets_count":2,"likes_count":107,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/Dereklowe/status/1250125901959958528","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"17393219","username":"Dereklowe"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1248367594400362500,"conversation_id":"1248367594400362496","created_at":1586469002000,"date":"2020-04-09","time":"21:50:02","timezone":"UTC","user_id":17393219,"username":"dereklowe","name":"Derek Lowe","place":"","tweet":"Wisdom from Fran Lebowitz on the epidemic:\n\n\"And I’ve spent a lot of time thinking about how to think about this, because it is a very startling thing to be my age—I’m sixty-nine—and to have something happen that doesn’t remind you of anything else.\"","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":2,"retweets_count":5,"likes_count":44,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/Dereklowe/status/1248367594400362496","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"17393219","username":"Dereklowe"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1246844429446590500,"conversation_id":"1246844429446590465","created_at":1586105851000,"date":"2020-04-05","time":"16:57:31","timezone":"UTC","user_id":17393219,"username":"dereklowe","name":"Derek Lowe","place":"","tweet":"It's occurred to me (and others) that if the controlled trials of hydroxychloroquine don't show efficacy against the coronavirus, that many of its partisans just won't accept the data. It'll be a conspiracy. A plot. A cover, a false flag, a something or other. That's my fear.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":89,"retweets_count":135,"likes_count":810,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/Dereklowe/status/1246844429446590465","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"17393219","username":"Dereklowe"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1246557959737540600,"conversation_id":"1246557959737540608","created_at":1586037552000,"date":"2020-04-04","time":"21:59:12","timezone":"UTC","user_id":17393219,"username":"dereklowe","name":"Derek Lowe","place":"","tweet":"President Trump's repeated fixation on hydroxychloroquine as some sort of miracle cure is weird and dangerous. This is obvious to many people, but I feel as if I should say it plainly in so many words.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":31,"retweets_count":117,"likes_count":407,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/Dereklowe/status/1246557959737540608","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"17393219","username":"Dereklowe"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1246526316217843700,"conversation_id":"1246520107590967296","created_at":1586030007000,"date":"2020-04-04","time":"19:53:27","timezone":"UTC","user_id":17393219,"username":"dereklowe","name":"Derek Lowe","place":"","tweet":"For those who care, so it was - I had the right family, but the yellow plant is an Adonis sp., (either amurensis or ramosa?) Not exactly a Massachusetts native (northern China!) but a nice plant","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":0,"retweets_count":0,"likes_count":2,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/Dereklowe/status/1246526316217843714","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"17393219","username":"Dereklowe"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1244970382966370300,"conversation_id":"1244970382966370304","created_at":1585659044000,"date":"2020-03-31","time":"12:50:44","timezone":"UTC","user_id":17393219,"username":"dereklowe","name":"Derek Lowe","place":"","tweet":"I’ll be comparing chloroquine clinical data on the blog later today. But first, my wife and I are planning out a minimal-exposure run to the grocery store. Inventory of what we have, what we plan to make, aisle-by-aisle of what we’re buying. Back later.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":12,"retweets_count":4,"likes_count":66,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/Dereklowe/status/1244970382966370304","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"17393219","username":"Dereklowe"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1244373467539091500,"conversation_id":"1244373467539091457","created_at":1585516728000,"date":"2020-03-29","time":"21:18:48","timezone":"UTC","user_id":17393219,"username":"dereklowe","name":"Derek Lowe","place":"","tweet":"Looking at the latest US numbers, it appears that by the time we get Wednesday's data, we will be at well over 5,000 dead and heading into more than 1,000 deaths/day. If we aren't hitting that, then good news. Because that's the line we're on now.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":7,"retweets_count":8,"likes_count":55,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/Dereklowe/status/1244373467539091457","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"17393219","username":"Dereklowe"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1243627334583947300,"conversation_id":"1243622996742475782","created_at":1585338836000,"date":"2020-03-27","time":"19:53:56","timezone":"UTC","user_id":17393219,"username":"dereklowe","name":"Derek Lowe","place":"","tweet":"And tonight, since it's clear, out comes the telescope again. I always enjoy a night of astronomy, but now more than ever, since nothing could possibly be further away from my other concerns than some distant galaxies and supernova remnants. . .","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":0,"likes_count":18,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/Dereklowe/status/1243627334583947268","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"17393219","username":"Dereklowe"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1243285021286334500,"conversation_id":"1243229997361397766","created_at":1585257222000,"date":"2020-03-26","time":"21:13:42","timezone":"UTC","user_id":17393219,"username":"dereklowe","name":"Derek Lowe","place":"","tweet":"Hey pharma isn’t just making no money off hydroxychloroquine: they’re donating the stocks of it that they have. Oh, and drugs that are off patent are still (under normal circumstances) sold for money.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":0,"likes_count":1,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/Dereklowe/status/1243285021286334467","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"17393219","username":"Dereklowe"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1243230416515055600,"conversation_id":"1243229997361397766","created_at":1585244204000,"date":"2020-03-26","time":"17:36:44","timezone":"UTC","user_id":17393219,"username":"dereklowe","name":"Derek Lowe","place":"","tweet":"(2/2) And here's a thought, one that I wish I didn't have. I am told (and have little doubt) that this combination is being *widely* administered off-label to coronavirus patients. But the ICUs are still filling and people are still dying: not a wonder cure, in other words?","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":8,"retweets_count":8,"likes_count":30,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/Dereklowe/status/1243230416515055618","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"17393219","username":"Dereklowe"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1242113756194357200,"conversation_id":"1242113756194357248","created_at":1584977971000,"date":"2020-03-23","time":"15:39:31","timezone":"UTC","user_id":17393219,"username":"dereklowe","name":"Derek Lowe","place":"","tweet":"OK, now I'm getting PR from Dr. Oz's people that he's got an interview with Didier Raoult, of Marseilles hydroxychloroquine/azithromycin fame.\n\nIf that's supposed to make me more confident in the study and its results, it's failing miserably.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":11,"retweets_count":21,"likes_count":120,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/Dereklowe/status/1242113756194357248","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"17393219","username":"Dereklowe"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1241514237320745000,"conversation_id":"1241514237320744960","created_at":1584835035000,"date":"2020-03-21","time":"23:57:15","timezone":"UTC","user_id":17393219,"username":"dereklowe","name":"Derek Lowe","place":"","tweet":"So let me tell you, you don’t get much more socially distanced than out in the middle of a dark empty field with a telescope.\n\nGot to get in some observing before typical MA spring weather this coming week: solid cloud deck and constant chilly drizzle.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":0,"retweets_count":0,"likes_count":27,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/Dereklowe/status/1241514237320744960","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"17393219","username":"Dereklowe"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1240808039499866000,"conversation_id":"1240808039499866113","created_at":1584666664000,"date":"2020-03-20","time":"01:11:04","timezone":"UTC","user_id":17393219,"username":"dereklowe","name":"Derek Lowe","place":"","tweet":"Well, I hope that dark chocolate turns out to be an antiviral, because consumption around here has definitely increased.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":7,"retweets_count":4,"likes_count":124,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/Dereklowe/status/1240808039499866113","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"17393219","username":"Dereklowe"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1240697390148939800,"conversation_id":"1240693222151581696","created_at":1584640283000,"date":"2020-03-19","time":"17:51:23","timezone":"UTC","user_id":17393219,"username":"dereklowe","name":"Derek Lowe","place":"","tweet":"The change in the case numbers appears to be related to a new rise in screening capacity, from what I'm now told. Not good, but God only knows what the US numbers would look like if we were testing at Italian levels.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":0,"likes_count":4,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/Dereklowe/status/1240697390148939782","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"17393219","username":"Dereklowe"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1239551185473978400,"conversation_id":"1239549956744187904","created_at":1584367007000,"date":"2020-03-16","time":"13:56:47","timezone":"UTC","user_id":17393219,"username":"dereklowe","name":"Derek Lowe","place":"","tweet":"Trump said yesterday that people should be \"thrilled\" that the Fed cut rates to zero, but somehow the thrills don't seem to be kicking in.\n\nAs others have said, I don't think he's going to be sending out any autographed copies of this chart, as he fatuously did on Friday.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":4,"retweets_count":0,"likes_count":18,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/Dereklowe/status/1239551185473978375","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"17393219","username":"Dereklowe"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1239549956744188000,"conversation_id":"1239549956744187904","created_at":1584366714000,"date":"2020-03-16","time":"13:51:54","timezone":"UTC","user_id":17393219,"username":"dereklowe","name":"Derek Lowe","place":"","tweet":"Closest the US markets have ever come to triggering the -13% circuit breaking trading halt. Down around 11.7% at the moment, and it's not even 10 AM of what are some pretty long days these days.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":2,"retweets_count":6,"likes_count":34,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/Dereklowe/status/1239549956744187904","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"17393219","username":"Dereklowe"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1237934306561011700,"conversation_id":"1237934306561011712","created_at":1583981513000,"date":"2020-03-12","time":"02:51:53","timezone":"UTC","user_id":17393219,"username":"dereklowe","name":"Derek Lowe","place":"","tweet":"OK, so all of us with red-hot takes on the Europe travel and cargo ban, Trump's announcement on health insurance, etc. in his speech tonight can hold off. Turns out he got most major details garbled, and DHS is walking it back.\n\nCannot read a Teleprompter. Here we are.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":6,"retweets_count":35,"likes_count":149,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/Dereklowe/status/1237934306561011712","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"17393219","username":"Dereklowe"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1237386272018235400,"conversation_id":"1237027503119765506","created_at":1583850851000,"date":"2020-03-10","time":"14:34:11","timezone":"UTC","user_id":17393219,"username":"dereklowe","name":"Derek Lowe","place":"","tweet":"You should expect a scientist to go where the evidence leads. Good day to you as well.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":0,"retweets_count":0,"likes_count":3,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/Dereklowe/status/1237386272018235393","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"17393219","username":"Dereklowe"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1237380135973785600,"conversation_id":"1237027503119765506","created_at":1583849388000,"date":"2020-03-10","time":"14:09:48","timezone":"UTC","user_id":17393219,"username":"dereklowe","name":"Derek Lowe","place":"","tweet":"So saying that you found Trump's tweet \"interesting and helpful\" is (I fear) a sign that you have not thought about these issues hard enough. Trump has been saying since February that we had this controlled; that is totally false. \"Helpful\" does not apply. (2/2)","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":0,"retweets_count":0,"likes_count":0,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/Dereklowe/status/1237380135973785603","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"17393219","username":"Dereklowe"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1237379651179339800,"conversation_id":"1237027503119765506","created_at":1583849272000,"date":"2020-03-10","time":"14:07:52","timezone":"UTC","user_id":17393219,"username":"dereklowe","name":"Derek Lowe","place":"","tweet":"Very briefly. We have no vaccine for the coronavirus; we do for the flu. The fatality rate for the coronovirus is higher. The number of cases cited by the President is a dramatic underestimate, because our testing rate here has been totally inadequate. (1/2)","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":3,"retweets_count":0,"likes_count":0,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/Dereklowe/status/1237379651179339776","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"17393219","username":"Dereklowe"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1237049624629821400,"conversation_id":"1237049624629821441","created_at":1583770588000,"date":"2020-03-09","time":"16:16:28","timezone":"UTC","user_id":17393219,"username":"dereklowe","name":"Derek Lowe","place":"","tweet":"So do I have this right? The President of the United States, after hitting the golf course Sunday, is spending the day shitposting on Twitter and doing campaign fundraising events in Florida?","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":12,"retweets_count":11,"likes_count":94,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/Dereklowe/status/1237049624629821441","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"17393219","username":"Dereklowe"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1237009593190035500,"conversation_id":"1237009593190035463","created_at":1583761044000,"date":"2020-03-09","time":"13:37:24","timezone":"UTC","user_id":17393219,"username":"dereklowe","name":"Derek Lowe","place":"","tweet":"Looks like the first S&P circuit breaker (15-minute trading halt) must have triggered basically at the opening bell?","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":7,"likes_count":23,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/Dereklowe/status/1237009593190035463","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"17393219","username":"Dereklowe"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1236992586243616800,"conversation_id":"1236992586243616769","created_at":1583756989000,"date":"2020-03-09","time":"12:29:49","timezone":"UTC","user_id":17393219,"username":"dereklowe","name":"Derek Lowe","place":"","tweet":"The ads in the Porter Square station (Boston/Cambridge) for events that happened in December do not seem like signs of a strong economy, FWIW.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":1,"likes_count":9,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/Dereklowe/status/1236992586243616769","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"17393219","username":"Dereklowe"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
