{"id":1247275997818507300,"conversation_id":"1247275721606733824","created_at":1586208745000,"date":"2020-04-06","time":"21:32:25","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"In other family news, 8 year old daughter rolled her eyes and said \"this is the worst pandemic EVER!\"","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":17,"retweets_count":13,"likes_count":239,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1247275997818507270","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1246947926632472600,"conversation_id":"1246944326778667013","created_at":1586130527000,"date":"2020-04-05","time":"23:48:47","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"Thanks Adam","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":0,"retweets_count":0,"likes_count":1,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1246947926632472589","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1246855687025709000,"conversation_id":"1246855687025709059","created_at":1586108535000,"date":"2020-04-05","time":"17:42:15","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"Ontario's test positivity is at 10% now.  This is some Iran-level stuff we've got going on here.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":47,"retweets_count":95,"likes_count":288,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1246855687025709059","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1246227220282200000,"conversation_id":"1246227220282200066","created_at":1585958697000,"date":"2020-04-04","time":"00:04:57","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"Long day of!rage-tweeting has me tuckered out.  \n\nGonna get rested up and then this weekend’s tweetorial will be on standardized morbidity ratios (smr) and what they tell us about the covid cases we’re missing.\n\n🤬📱😴. Gnite.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":14,"retweets_count":9,"likes_count":222,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1246227220282200066","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1246212855210401800,"conversation_id":"1246212639962861569","created_at":1585955272000,"date":"2020-04-03","time":"23:07:52","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"Related: if people in 3-and-done tested nursing homes die without a covid test, are they included in the death tally?","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":2,"likes_count":19,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1246212855210401798","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1246188125648490500,"conversation_id":"1246188125648490499","created_at":1585949376000,"date":"2020-04-03","time":"21:29:36","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"Thank you to the many kind journalists and colleagues who shared the briefing slides with me.  Apologies if I haven’t yet sent you a thank you...I will!","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":2,"likes_count":61,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1246188125648490499","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1246132932328198100,"conversation_id":"1246132932328198147","created_at":1585936217000,"date":"2020-04-03","time":"17:50:17","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"If we're doing dumb back of the envelope models:\n\n14.5 million x 70% x 1% CFR is 100,000 deaths\n\nBut of course if you had that attack rate, the ICU would be full, so it'd be a lot more than that.  Likely not 11% (Italy) as CFR is not IFR, but it's easy to see how silly that is.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":12,"retweets_count":15,"likes_count":61,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1246132932328198147","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1246128780143480800,"conversation_id":"1246128522814513152","created_at":1585935227000,"date":"2020-04-03","time":"17:33:47","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"And in fact it's not complicated.  We protect LTCF and hospitals throughout.  We relax social distancing as ICU capacity rises, and strengthen when it decreases.\n\nEasy to do that surveillance.  But need to ramp up surveillance anyway to know what's going on.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":3,"retweets_count":31,"likes_count":95,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1246128780143480833","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1246127388452442000,"conversation_id":"1246127388452442113","created_at":1585934895000,"date":"2020-04-03","time":"17:28:15","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"If this goes sideways it's all your fault, ontario people.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":11,"retweets_count":11,"likes_count":69,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1246127388452442113","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1246126875539357700,"conversation_id":"1246126875539357696","created_at":1585934773000,"date":"2020-04-03","time":"17:26:13","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"I have NO idea where these numbers come from","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":6,"retweets_count":4,"likes_count":61,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1246126875539357696","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1246125641717743600,"conversation_id":"1246125641717743618","created_at":1585934479000,"date":"2020-04-03","time":"17:21:19","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"yeah man, especially if you don't release data","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":0,"retweets_count":2,"likes_count":10,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1246125641717743618","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1246125172588937200,"conversation_id":"1246125172588937219","created_at":1585934367000,"date":"2020-04-03","time":"17:19:27","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"If Donnelly is advocating deaths for estimation of epidemic size then as of 3 weeks ago we would have said Ontario missed >90% of cases.  See my pinned tweet.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":0,"retweets_count":11,"likes_count":33,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1246125172588937219","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1246124982633103400,"conversation_id":"1246124982633103361","created_at":1585934322000,"date":"2020-04-03","time":"17:18:42","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"Journos: the fact that 6% of Ont cases are in ICU and 2% of PQ cases are in ICU tells you that we're under-testing relative to PQ by something like 3-fold.  So if we're around 4k today we should be at 12k","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":16,"retweets_count":107,"likes_count":242,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1246124982633103361","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1246123789445980200,"conversation_id":"1246123789445980166","created_at":1585934037000,"date":"2020-04-03","time":"17:13:57","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"what deep dark place did he pull 15,000 out of?","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":3,"retweets_count":2,"likes_count":20,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1246123789445980166","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1246123641429020700,"conversation_id":"1246123641429020674","created_at":1585934002000,"date":"2020-04-03","time":"17:13:22","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"ah jaysus he's doing the flu thing","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":5,"retweets_count":1,"likes_count":54,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1246123641429020674","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1246123546318909400,"conversation_id":"1246123546318909440","created_at":1585933979000,"date":"2020-04-03","time":"17:12:59","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"Note the base case in our model is just running out a model with R0 2.3 and letting it grow.  Credit where do: we're doing better than we would have without social distancing.  That's a political call that came from the Premier.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":7,"likes_count":50,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1246123546318909440","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1246123107942830000,"conversation_id":"1246123107942830081","created_at":1585933875000,"date":"2020-04-03","time":"17:11:15","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"The mortality stuff just involves me switching out Ontario's d value (0.0018) to that of BC/AB/PQ = 0.01.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":4,"likes_count":7,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1246123107942830081","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1246122851402465300,"conversation_id":"1246122851402465286","created_at":1585933814000,"date":"2020-04-03","time":"17:10:14","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"Do tell.\n\nWhich data have they decided to release?  I've had portal access to iphis since 10 pm Wednesday.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":2,"retweets_count":1,"likes_count":16,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1246122851402465286","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1246121978744000500,"conversation_id":"1246121978744000512","created_at":1585933606000,"date":"2020-04-03","time":"17:06:46","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"The mortality stuff on his slide is what I made yesterday.\nAnd yeah, it's based on public test data because that's what we've had.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":2,"retweets_count":3,"likes_count":38,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1246121978744000512","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1246120542291333000,"conversation_id":"1246120399437533185","created_at":1585933263000,"date":"2020-04-03","time":"17:01:03","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"And to be clear: the complaint to my dean came from Donnellly, when I pushed for modeling in collaboration with PHO in February.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":3,"retweets_count":10,"likes_count":50,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1246120542291333121","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1246120054195982300,"conversation_id":"1246120054195982336","created_at":1585933147000,"date":"2020-04-03","time":"16:59:07","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"Yeah, our stuff is #11-13, and we fed the ICU slide.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":2,"retweets_count":3,"likes_count":34,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1246120054195982336","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1246119726826377200,"conversation_id":"1246119726826377218","created_at":1585933069000,"date":"2020-04-03","time":"16:57:49","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"ooh.  Thanks PD.  Very complex concept and you make it sound easy.\n\n*shot*","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":2,"retweets_count":2,"likes_count":9,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1246119726826377218","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1246119387289051100,"conversation_id":"1246119387289051136","created_at":1585932988000,"date":"2020-04-03","time":"16:56:28","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"I think their sophisticated internal modeling is multiplying 14.5 million people x 70% attack rate x 1% CFR.\n\nThat's 100,000 deaths.  Wow.  The science.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":12,"retweets_count":20,"likes_count":94,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1246119387289051136","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1246117808448176000,"conversation_id":"1246117808448176133","created_at":1585932611000,"date":"2020-04-03","time":"16:50:11","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"Especially inexact if you don't use data.\n\n*shot*\n\nDude talking now is the guy who complained about me because I pushed to start modeling in February.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":5,"retweets_count":8,"likes_count":108,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1246117808448176133","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1246116553671745500,"conversation_id":"1246116021326557184","created_at":1585932312000,"date":"2020-04-03","time":"16:45:12","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"I'll post the ones we made after the presser","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":2,"likes_count":34,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1246116553671745536","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1246116412516597800,"conversation_id":"1246116412516597762","created_at":1585932279000,"date":"2020-04-03","time":"16:44:39","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"*shot*","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":1,"likes_count":8,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1246116412516597762","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1246116171071598600,"conversation_id":"1246114512660545536","created_at":1585932221000,"date":"2020-04-03","time":"16:43:41","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"drinking game: shot every time Donnelly touches his face.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":4,"retweets_count":5,"likes_count":57,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1246116171071598592","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1246116021326557200,"conversation_id":"1246116021326557184","created_at":1585932185000,"date":"2020-04-03","time":"16:43:05","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"Journo with access to these slides please share with me.  I want to see which slides are ours.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":12,"retweets_count":10,"likes_count":68,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1246116021326557184","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1246114780416553000,"conversation_id":"1246114780416552962","created_at":1585931890000,"date":"2020-04-03","time":"16:38:10","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"\"our public health measures have made a significant difference\".  Slide will compare to doing nothing whatsoever.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":2,"retweets_count":5,"likes_count":25,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1246114780416552962","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1246114512660545500,"conversation_id":"1246114512660545536","created_at":1585931826000,"date":"2020-04-03","time":"16:37:06","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"Donnelly: \"transparency\"...bro, talk to us about how you dropped the ball so badly on testing.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":2,"retweets_count":13,"likes_count":69,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1246114512660545536","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1246114393391317000,"conversation_id":"1246114393391316992","created_at":1585931797000,"date":"2020-04-03","time":"16:36:37","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"Donnelly: \"all of this led by the COVID-19 command table\".\n\nSee if you can actually measure how much his nose lengthens during this presser.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":4,"likes_count":22,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1246114393391316992","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1246088429856870400,"conversation_id":"1245874997136183297","created_at":1585925607000,"date":"2020-04-03","time":"14:53:27","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"i am so sorry.  God I hate that song.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":0,"retweets_count":0,"likes_count":1,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1246088429856870400","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1245716121375985700,"conversation_id":"1245715526950760448","created_at":1585836842000,"date":"2020-04-02","time":"14:14:02","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"Thanks so much Ian","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":0,"retweets_count":0,"likes_count":0,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1245716121375985669","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1245706161149612000,"conversation_id":"1245706161149612032","created_at":1585834467000,"date":"2020-04-02","time":"13:34:27","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"ok, bye twitter\n\ntime to write","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":8,"retweets_count":0,"likes_count":49,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1245706161149612032","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1245700245830459400,"conversation_id":"1245689562208382979","created_at":1585833057000,"date":"2020-04-02","time":"13:10:57","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"I'm going to put the spreadsheet up on figshare if any under-employed quants want to take this and make a nice app...you can choose your own adventure wrt which survival time function you choose.  But the tldr is: don't believe the RHS of epi curves.  They're trying to trick you.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":6,"retweets_count":2,"likes_count":49,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1245700245830459394","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1245699948626227200,"conversation_id":"1245689562208382979","created_at":1585832986000,"date":"2020-04-02","time":"13:09:46","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"Thus endeth ye epi tweetorial.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":8,"retweets_count":0,"likes_count":61,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1245699948626227202","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1245699892632223700,"conversation_id":"1245689562208382979","created_at":1585832973000,"date":"2020-04-02","time":"13:09:33","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"Kudos to our amazing Dr. de Villa and Mayor Tory for doubling down physical/social distancing.  We are not out of the soup yet.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":2,"retweets_count":6,"likes_count":88,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1245699892632223744","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1245699748830621700,"conversation_id":"1245689562208382979","created_at":1585832938000,"date":"2020-04-02","time":"13:08:58","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"So sadly we must now retract our high-fives.  But it's important to actually know where we're at.\n\nI'm going to spare you all my grumbling about the March break travellers, but I ain't seeing a whole lot of the ol' flattenin' happening here.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":5,"retweets_count":21,"likes_count":79,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1245699748830621696","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1245697153663742000,"conversation_id":"1245689562208382979","created_at":1585832320000,"date":"2020-04-02","time":"12:58:40","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"If we assume average time from onset to reporting is 5 days that's just 1/5.  6 day average TAT and it's 1/6 and so on.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":0,"likes_count":20,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1245697153663741953","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1245697028363034600,"conversation_id":"1245689562208382979","created_at":1585832290000,"date":"2020-04-02","time":"12:58:10","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"Sorry, math and now some will flee.  But this isn't that big a deal...exp just means exponent.  On your calculator that's the e^x thing.\n\nr is the daily reporting rate, and the beauty of exponential hazards is that r is equal to 1/(average time from onset to reporting)","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":2,"retweets_count":2,"likes_count":29,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1245697028363034631","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1245696770975445000,"conversation_id":"1245689562208382979","created_at":1585832228000,"date":"2020-04-02","time":"12:57:08","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"If we assume that there's an exponential hazard here for reporting, completeness of test reporting by some time \"t\" is going to be:\n\nCompleteness = 1-exp(-r t)","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":4,"retweets_count":2,"likes_count":24,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1245696770975444992","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1245696552770945000,"conversation_id":"1245689562208382979","created_at":1585832176000,"date":"2020-04-02","time":"12:56:16","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"so I can't.  But we can also do this just based on varying assumptions around the average lag between onset and report in Ontario.  Our tests are coming back slowly, so let's say we have an average time from onset to report of 5 days (I know, I know, it's longer).","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":2,"likes_count":21,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1245696552770945024","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1245696144803496000,"conversation_id":"1245689562208382979","created_at":1585832079000,"date":"2020-04-02","time":"12:54:39","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"If you have delays between onset and case report, you can create a table of \"failure times\" using survival analytic methods, and do this with actual data.  We did (late last night) get access to the good stuff (the real iphis data), but I will be executed or something if we share","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":3,"retweets_count":4,"likes_count":57,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1245696144803495936","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1245695763025408000,"conversation_id":"1245689562208382979","created_at":1585831988000,"date":"2020-04-02","time":"12:53:08","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"Simplistic to make the math easier, and oh that our lags were that short, but you get the idea.\n\nIf this is consistent, then we can look at the count from April 1 (today) and say: divide by 0.25 to inflate.  March 31 is 2 days ago so divide by 0.75.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":1,"likes_count":22,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1245695763025408001","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1245695443364954000,"conversation_id":"1245689562208382979","created_at":1585831912000,"date":"2020-04-02","time":"12:51:52","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"Today is April 2.  We have 32 cases (I think) for April 1.  If by tomorrow (April 3) the April 1 count goes to 96, then goes to 128 on April 4, then stops increasing, we know that we have 25% of cases reported with a 1 day lag, 75% of cases reported with 2 day lag, 100% at d 3.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":5,"likes_count":39,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1245695443364954114","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1245694690353123300,"conversation_id":"1245689562208382979","created_at":1585831732000,"date":"2020-04-02","time":"12:48:52","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"So what do we do about that?  How do we know whether we're flattening this mofo or not?\n\nWe treat this as a time-to-event or survival analysis problem.  We can impute lags between case onset and reporting by comparing epi curves released on different days.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":3,"retweets_count":7,"likes_count":57,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1245694690353123328","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1245693392568361000,"conversation_id":"1245689562208382979","created_at":1585831423000,"date":"2020-04-02","time":"12:43:43","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"But of course, we EXPECT the cases to trail off on the right hand side of the curve, because of lags between onset and reporting.  In other words, we expect April 1 cases to be an under-count, because most of those cases have yet to be reported.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":7,"likes_count":63,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1245693392568360960","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1245690779730878500,"conversation_id":"1245689562208382979","created_at":1585830800000,"date":"2020-04-02","time":"12:33:20","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"Epi nerds reading this will know there are probably better ways to do this, but whatevs, that's what people do.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":2,"retweets_count":1,"likes_count":32,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1245690779730878465","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1245690672226631700,"conversation_id":"1245689562208382979","created_at":1585830774000,"date":"2020-04-02","time":"12:32:54","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"\"accurate case date\" signifies an approach used by epidemiologists to fill onset dates when they're sometimes missing.  They will use onset date if available, replace with test submission date if that's missing, and replace with test-received-by-lab date if THAT's missing.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":2,"retweets_count":1,"likes_count":32,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1245690672226631681","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1245689823949729800,"conversation_id":"1245689562208382979","created_at":1585830572000,"date":"2020-04-02","time":"12:29:32","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"I want to do a tweetorial about epidemic curves, lags and the genesis of epidemiological optimism.  As some Canadians noticed, Ontario made partial data from the provincial line list available public yesterday.  A big deal, given the culture around data in this province.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":3,"retweets_count":107,"likes_count":225,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1245689823949729792","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1245689562208383000,"conversation_id":"1245689562208382979","created_at":1585830510000,"date":"2020-04-02","time":"12:28:30","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"I'm going to get back to writing this morning...working on some stuff about age distributions and invisibility of epidemics in \"young\" countries.  But first...","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":13,"retweets_count":63,"likes_count":199,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1245689562208382979","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1245448631815221200,"conversation_id":"1245448470523150339","created_at":1585773067000,"date":"2020-04-01","time":"20:31:07","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"It's something like onset date preferred to date tested preferred to date test received by lab.  Something like that.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":2,"retweets_count":0,"likes_count":8,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1245448631815221251","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1245391300461047800,"conversation_id":"1245390540872482817","created_at":1585759398000,"date":"2020-04-01","time":"16:43:18","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"My first twitter poll!\n\nOntario’s provincial COVID-19 response is best described as:","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":8,"retweets_count":7,"likes_count":11,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1245391300461047809","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1245334817731985400,"conversation_id":"1245334817731985411","created_at":1585745932000,"date":"2020-04-01","time":"12:58:52","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"To all the people who want a world without vaccines... this is a world without just ONE vaccine.\n\n--Prof. Anne Caumartin","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":16,"retweets_count":1434,"likes_count":3463,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1245334817731985411","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1245026078068015000,"conversation_id":"1245026078068015104","created_at":1585672323000,"date":"2020-03-31","time":"16:32:03","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"Italy > 800 deaths/day\nSpain > 900 deaths/day\nUSA > 500 deaths/day (NYC > 200)\nFrance > 400 deaths/day\n\nyeah, just like flu season.  Please do go on.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":32,"retweets_count":330,"likes_count":906,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1245026078068015104","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1244428119504715800,"conversation_id":"1244428119504715776","created_at":1585529758000,"date":"2020-03-30","time":"00:55:58","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"Fisman COVID-19 challenge, March 29: \n\nif you were writing COVID-19 as a sci-fi disaster movie, and you wanted to have the most disastrous (fictional) leader possible in the United States, how would your fictional character differ from Donald Trump?","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":69,"retweets_count":32,"likes_count":214,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1244428119504715776","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1243987667815186400,"conversation_id":"1243977675611549696","created_at":1585424746000,"date":"2020-03-28","time":"19:45:46","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"Unfollow me?","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":3,"retweets_count":1,"likes_count":10,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1243987667815186432","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1243581672286716000,"conversation_id":"1243580213017092099","created_at":1585327949000,"date":"2020-03-27","time":"16:52:29","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"*uninfected not I infected\n\n(Stupid autocorrect)","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":2,"retweets_count":3,"likes_count":27,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1243581672286715907","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1243581454740787200,"conversation_id":"1243580213017092099","created_at":1585327898000,"date":"2020-03-27","time":"16:51:38","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"Enough.\n\nThis isn’t just bad and wrong disease control policy, it’s a red, flashing warning light telling us that people high up in PH leadership can’t abandon their pre-covid mental models\n\nThis is not flu.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":5,"retweets_count":19,"likes_count":117,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1243581454740787204","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1243581160246194200,"conversation_id":"1243580213017092099","created_at":1585327827000,"date":"2020-03-27","time":"16:50:27","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"If my 85 year old relative has covid, I want to make sure affairs are in order, advanced directives are understood and known to carers.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":3,"retweets_count":8,"likes_count":58,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1243581160246194177","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1243580980142604300,"conversation_id":"1243580213017092099","created_at":1585327784000,"date":"2020-03-27","time":"16:49:44","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"Covid has sky high mortality in this pop.  Surely you would want to identify infected and I infected individuals so their loved ones could be informed (to their relief, or to their horror, but can at least plan)","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":2,"retweets_count":10,"likes_count":48,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1243580980142604288","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1243580678706520000,"conversation_id":"1243580213017092099","created_at":1585327713000,"date":"2020-03-27","time":"16:48:33","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"3. Covid has sky high mortality in this pop.  Surely you’d want to identify test negative and test positive individuals so you can cohort not-yet infected residents and try to keep them safe?","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":3,"retweets_count":19,"likes_count":95,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1243580678706520074","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1243580416776384500,"conversation_id":"1243580213017092099","created_at":1585327650000,"date":"2020-03-27","time":"16:47:30","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"2. With flu, you could put residents and staff on antivirals to protect them, remove unvaccinated staff.  Don’t have a covid vaccine, don’t have antivirals","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":9,"likes_count":46,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1243580416776384513","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1243580213017092000,"conversation_id":"1243580213017092099","created_at":1585327602000,"date":"2020-03-27","time":"16:46:42","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"I would like to unpack Dr Yaffe’s comments (?) that once 3 people in a ltcf test positive for covid an outbreak is presumed and no further testing is required.\n\n1. This is guidance that you’d use for a flu outbreak in ltcf","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":11,"retweets_count":53,"likes_count":117,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1243580213017092099","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1243503253524004900,"conversation_id":"1243501097689460736","created_at":1585309253000,"date":"2020-03-27","time":"11:40:53","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"Spoiler alert: the story ended badly for Semmelweis (fired, disgraced) and for patients he wanted to protect, because his tone undermined the messaging.\n\nEnd mea culpa.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":7,"retweets_count":1,"likes_count":58,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1243503253524004864","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1243501987645329400,"conversation_id":"1243501097689460736","created_at":1585308951000,"date":"2020-03-27","time":"11:35:51","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"Not sure if folks know the story of Ignatz Semmelweis (originator of hand hygiene) calling obstetricians “murderers” during rounds.  He had a point, but the messaging was bad.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":5,"likes_count":42,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1243501987645329411","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1243501656433741800,"conversation_id":"1243501097689460736","created_at":1585308872000,"date":"2020-03-27","time":"11:34:32","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"outstanding folks working within provincial agencies who are not doing what they might because PH leadership isn’t up to snuff.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":1,"likes_count":24,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1243501656433741824","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1243501097689460700,"conversation_id":"1243501097689460736","created_at":1585308739000,"date":"2020-03-27","time":"11:32:19","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"I want to apologize for the intemperate tone of my tweets last evening.  I am dissatisfied with the response of provincial PH officials to covid here in Ontario (no secret).  We can do better and need change (no secret).","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":30,"retweets_count":18,"likes_count":225,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1243501097689460736","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1243350727650693000,"conversation_id":"1243348958048591877","created_at":1585272888000,"date":"2020-03-27","time":"01:34:48","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"Question would be how many were free, how many occupied at baseline.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":0,"retweets_count":0,"likes_count":3,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1243350727650693122","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1242991837251604500,"conversation_id":"1242991273998454786","created_at":1585187322000,"date":"2020-03-26","time":"01:48:42","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"Let's see how this evolves.  We are not out of the woods.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":3,"retweets_count":2,"likes_count":29,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1242991837251604481","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1242991632393343000,"conversation_id":"1242991273998454786","created_at":1585187273000,"date":"2020-03-26","time":"01:47:53","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"Just assuming a 7 day serial interval the ratio of this week's total cases to last week's cases is around 4.4...that's a very crude approximation of a reproduction number.\n\nWe also probably have quite a large number of infections reimported with returning snowbirds.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":2,"retweets_count":1,"likes_count":24,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1242991632393342976","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1242770054636359700,"conversation_id":"1242770054636359682","created_at":1585134445000,"date":"2020-03-25","time":"11:07:25","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"As we move forward defining population level immunity is going to be key:\n\n-allows us to calibrate models, and consequently forecast better\n-allows us to identify “safe to work” cohorts, esp in healthcare \n-allows us to get a handle on true “infection fatality ratio”","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":2,"retweets_count":33,"likes_count":96,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1242770054636359682","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1242465185278779400,"conversation_id":"1242465131285512192","created_at":1585061758000,"date":"2020-03-24","time":"14:55:58","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"\"When putting out a house that is on fire, it is important to consider that rebuilding the house will also need to happen.  Rather than waiting to put the fire out, we suggest that spraying water and reconstructing the house happen at the same time.\"","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":2,"retweets_count":25,"likes_count":131,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1242465185278779394","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1242465131285512200,"conversation_id":"1242465131285512192","created_at":1585061745000,"date":"2020-03-24","time":"14:55:45","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"If Thomas Friedman wants another idea for an outstanding editorial in the NY Times, I have some opening text for a thing he can write about house fires:","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":2,"retweets_count":14,"likes_count":54,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1242465131285512192","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1242250888623816700,"conversation_id":"1242250405196726274","created_at":1585010666000,"date":"2020-03-24","time":"00:44:26","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"This absurd messaging from public health officials who should (and I assume, do) know better is literally killing our elders.  It is shameful.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":3,"retweets_count":35,"likes_count":145,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1242250888623816712","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1242250852661973000,"conversation_id":"1242250405196726274","created_at":1585010657000,"date":"2020-03-24","time":"00:44:17","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"Of course, they thought that was silly, since senior public health officials have declined to affirm community transmission of COVID-19, and the province's computer self-screen would have emphasized travel.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":15,"likes_count":61,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1242250852661972992","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1242250405196726300,"conversation_id":"1242250405196726274","created_at":1585010551000,"date":"2020-03-24","time":"00:42:31","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"I have heard reports of an outbreak in a long-term care facility in Ontario where staff with mild symptoms continued to work for a week, joking with each other about having COVID-19.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":9,"retweets_count":40,"likes_count":110,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1242250405196726274","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1242094336856260600,"conversation_id":"1242094172347289603","created_at":1584973341000,"date":"2020-03-23","time":"14:22:21","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"Downside for tech: they'd be disclosing just how much surveillance they were doing long before COVID-19.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":5,"retweets_count":6,"likes_count":45,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1242094336856260619","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1242059204933881900,"conversation_id":"1242058449078431744","created_at":1584964965000,"date":"2020-03-23","time":"12:02:45","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"I am just gobsmacked at what is going on.  Pho labs are logjammed and out of supplies.  Without surveillance data we are flying blind through this shit-storm.\n\nWe have abundant non-pho lab resources in the province.  Why are they not being brought online?","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":6,"retweets_count":18,"likes_count":60,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1242059204933881862","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1242058830055452700,"conversation_id":"1242058449078431744","created_at":1584964876000,"date":"2020-03-23","time":"12:01:16","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"Test results will be reported back to provider with a disclaimer, because tests aren’t validated for this purpose.\n\nMy question would be: are these test positives going to be reported out as positive with surveillance numbers.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":0,"likes_count":6,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1242058830055452673","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1241522656853229600,"conversation_id":"1241522656853229568","created_at":1584837042000,"date":"2020-03-22","time":"00:30:42","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"Noteable crude CFR this evening: Italy 9%, Spain 5.4%, Iran 7.5%, France 3.9%.  Of course need to acknowledge under-counting of mild cases.  But this is a vicious disease.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":13,"retweets_count":89,"likes_count":199,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1241522656853229568","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1241521750363508700,"conversation_id":"1241521420477378560","created_at":1584836826000,"date":"2020-03-22","time":"00:27:06","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"it's less bad than it might be.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":3,"retweets_count":0,"likes_count":2,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1241521750363508736","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1241178469809168400,"conversation_id":"1241176257561313280","created_at":1584754981000,"date":"2020-03-21","time":"01:43:01","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"Also: call your MPP and your MP.\n\nThis is nonsense and it needs to stop.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":4,"retweets_count":29,"likes_count":202,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1241178469809168384","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1241178385994432500,"conversation_id":"1241176257561313280","created_at":1584754961000,"date":"2020-03-21","time":"01:42:41","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"Let local public health personnel explain to the patient and family why diagnostic studies aren't indicated when a licensed practitioner has made a clinical diagnosis, and reported this case of a notifiable disease, which is communicable and virulent.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":25,"likes_count":141,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1241178385994432522","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1241178121849770000,"conversation_id":"1241176257561313280","created_at":1584754898000,"date":"2020-03-21","time":"01:41:38","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"What I advised my colleague, and what I'd advise you, is if you are making a clinical diagnosis of COVID, report it to your health unit.  \n\nJust as you would (or should) report disseminated gonococcal infection even if labs were negative, if you diagnosed it.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":4,"retweets_count":34,"likes_count":160,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1241178121849769985","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1241177820430295000,"conversation_id":"1241176257561313280","created_at":1584754827000,"date":"2020-03-21","time":"01:40:27","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"in which the professional services are provided.  R.S.O. 1990, c. H.7, s. 26; 2007, c. 10, Sched. F, s. 4.”\n\nNote that this says NOTHING about lab testing.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":2,"retweets_count":12,"likes_count":75,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1241177820430295043","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1241177744764833800,"conversation_id":"1241176257561313280","created_at":1584754808000,"date":"2020-03-21","time":"01:40:08","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"“A physician or registered nurse in the extended class who…forms the opinion that the person is or may be infected with an agent of a communicable disease shall [ASAP] report thereon to the medical officer of health of the health unit...","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":19,"likes_count":117,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1241177744764833793","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1241177663634575400,"conversation_id":"1241176257561313280","created_at":1584754789000,"date":"2020-03-21","time":"01:39:49","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"Clinicians: please note.  COVID-19 is a notifiable disease.  The text of the Ontario Health Protection and Promotion Act states:","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":3,"retweets_count":26,"likes_count":126,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1241177663634575361","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1241176257561313300,"conversation_id":"1241176257561313280","created_at":1584754454000,"date":"2020-03-21","time":"01:34:14","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"Colleague from Ontario, outside GTA, messaged me that she had a patient today with travel to USA, worsening dyspnea x 8 days and an X-ray report that (literally) said: \"bilateral pneumonia consistent w COVID-19\".\n\nPer local guidelines: no swab.\n\nThis is madness.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":51,"retweets_count":444,"likes_count":955,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1241176257561313280","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1241102202883788800,"conversation_id":"1241101355001040903","created_at":1584736798000,"date":"2020-03-20","time":"20:39:58","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"|-----------|\n| YOU          |\n| KNOW      |\n| YOU         |\n| CAN         |\n| DOWN     |\n| LOAD       |\n| GAMES    |\n| FROM      |\n| THE          |\n| WEB?        |\n|-----------|\n(\\__/) ||\n(•ㅅ•) ||\n/ 　 づ","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":5,"retweets_count":9,"likes_count":96,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1241102202883788801","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1241091523808317400,"conversation_id":"1241088506874732548","created_at":1584734252000,"date":"2020-03-20","time":"19:57:32","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"we're grown ups.  We pay our taxes, we do our jobs, we look after our families.  Give us enough credit to be honest and transparent with us about where we're at in this epidemic, and tell us what we need to know to manage risk, and to contribute to disease control\n\n/end","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":4,"retweets_count":24,"likes_count":102,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1241091523808317440","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1241091141287714800,"conversation_id":"1241088506874732548","created_at":1584734161000,"date":"2020-03-20","time":"19:56:01","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"That lets us all buy in, do our part, and understand why we're doing it.\n\nIt's not a time for politics.  It's not a time for games.  It's not a time for high-handedness or paternalism (\"but we might frighten them\").","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":12,"likes_count":63,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1241091141287714816","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1241090858608443400,"conversation_id":"1241088506874732548","created_at":1584734093000,"date":"2020-03-20","time":"19:54:53","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"tamping COVID down repeatedly as it rears its ugly head.\n\nSo whatever happens in the weeks to come, we need to up our surveillance game.  And Ontario PH authorities need to build trust with our communities, and get much better at communicating risk transparently and honestly","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":11,"likes_count":56,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1241090858608443394","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1241090470865973200,"conversation_id":"1241088506874732548","created_at":1584734001000,"date":"2020-03-20","time":"19:53:21","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"Looking ahead, though, this is going to be something that's with us for a while.  We can't maintain intense social distancing until there's a vaccine.\n\nBy improving testing and surveillance (hey, folks, get that ILI system back on line, k?) we are going to do a better job of","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":5,"retweets_count":10,"likes_count":55,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1241090470865973253","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1241090070129586200,"conversation_id":"1241088506874732548","created_at":1584733905000,"date":"2020-03-20","time":"19:51:45","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"and control disease better.\n\nI am hopeful that we will bend the curve here in Ontario.  I think we started social distancing later than we might have, but we did it earlier than some and I'm hopeful it will protect our vulnerable populations.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":9,"likes_count":59,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1241090070129586176","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1241089836733341700,"conversation_id":"1241088506874732548","created_at":1584733850000,"date":"2020-03-20","time":"19:50:50","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"Case fatality = deaths/cases.  As you test more, the denominator grows, and CF goes down.\n\nBut I suspect there's a second thing going on.  Because places that test at high volumes have more situational awareness (Korea, Germany), they are able to react to emerging flare ups.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":7,"retweets_count":28,"likes_count":116,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1241089836733341697","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1241089472986525700,"conversation_id":"1241088506874732548","created_at":1584733763000,"date":"2020-03-20","time":"19:49:23","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"These are not mutually exclusive, and all of these applications in parallel act together to protect our community and keep risk as low as we can keep it.\n\nWhen you see high test numbers, and low case fatality, that likely represents 2 different things:","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":10,"likes_count":40,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1241089472986525700","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1241089179959865300,"conversation_id":"1241088506874732548","created_at":1584733693000,"date":"2020-03-20","time":"19:48:13","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"3. Control of disease spread: isolating cases, and quarantining those exposed to them.\n\n4. Situational awareness.  Testing constitutes the basis of surveillance, it's our eyes and ears.  It lets us identify hotspots, see trouble before it explodes, and respond to bend the curve.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":2,"retweets_count":37,"likes_count":99,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1241089179959865346","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1241088506874732500,"conversation_id":"1241088506874732548","created_at":1584733533000,"date":"2020-03-20","time":"19:45:33","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"Why is covid testing a big deal when the majority of cases are mild?\n\n1. For therapeutics; this can be a deadly disease, and therapies are emerging (and need to be evaluated) rapidly.\n\n2. Infection prevention and control in those caring for you.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":13,"retweets_count":155,"likes_count":312,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1241088506874732548","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1241078258508103700,"conversation_id":"1241078119722868737","created_at":1584731089000,"date":"2020-03-20","time":"19:04:49","timezone":"UTC","user_id":1096205507348623400,"username":"dfisman","name":"David Fisman","place":"","tweet":"(By being top of my med school class, being one of the greatest immunologists in history, and running NIAID since basically forever.  So now I get to explain to Donald that a virus isn't just a thing on your computer).","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":3,"likes_count":34,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1241078258508103680","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"1096205507348623360","username":"DFisman"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
