{"id":1219916629678493700,"conversation_id":"1219916625375219712","created_at":1579685764000,"date":"2020-01-22","time":"09:36:04","timezone":"UTC","user_id":3238448948,"username":"ct_bergstrom","name":"Carl T. Bergstrom","place":"","tweet":"6. These are (1) value of basic of research is difficult to forecast or even measure (2) property rights are difficult to establish and thus rents difficult to collect, and (3) as a result, the market may substantially under-allocate resources in this direction.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":0,"likes_count":7,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1219916629678493697","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"3238448948","username":"CT_Bergstrom"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1219916628994838500,"conversation_id":"1219916625375219712","created_at":1579685763000,"date":"2020-01-22","time":"09:36:03","timezone":"UTC","user_id":3238448948,"username":"ct_bergstrom","name":"Carl T. Bergstrom","place":"","tweet":"5. So what is the \"new economics of science\" circa 1994? Let's start with the old economics of science. Dasgupta and David (D&D hereafter) describe this work dating to about 1960 and pioneered by R.R. Nelson, Ken Arrow, and others, as centered around three observations.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":0,"likes_count":5,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1219916628994838532","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"3238448948","username":"CT_Bergstrom"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1219916628281872400,"conversation_id":"1219916625375219712","created_at":1579685763000,"date":"2020-01-22","time":"09:36:03","timezone":"UTC","user_id":3238448948,"username":"ct_bergstrom","name":"Carl T. Bergstrom","place":"","tweet":"4. (Of course, the authors did the field a unique disservice with the name they chose. It was all good and well in 1994, but in 2020 the New Economics of Science is as new as Next-Generation Sequencing is next-generation. But I don't think this explains the lack of attention.)","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":0,"likes_count":3,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1219916628281872386","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"3238448948","username":"CT_Bergstrom"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1219916627573035000,"conversation_id":"1219916625375219712","created_at":1579685763000,"date":"2020-01-22","time":"09:36:03","timezone":"UTC","user_id":3238448948,"username":"ct_bergstrom","name":"Carl T. Bergstrom","place":"","tweet":"3. Rereading after 6 years or so, I'm struck by what a rich paper this is, and how influential it has been on my thinking. I feel that the research program laid out in this paper has been only partially explored, and I don't understand why it has not received more attention.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":0,"likes_count":9,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1219916627573035009","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"3238448948","username":"CT_Bergstrom"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1219916626830561300,"conversation_id":"1219916625375219712","created_at":1579685763000,"date":"2020-01-22","time":"09:36:03","timezone":"UTC","user_id":3238448948,"username":"ct_bergstrom","name":"Carl T. Bergstrom","place":"","tweet":"2. The basic purpose of the paper is to lay out a proposed research program, centered around functionalist explanations associating the structure of scientific norms and institutions with the epistemic goals of the scientific enterprise.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":2,"likes_count":8,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1219916626830561280","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"3238448948","username":"CT_Bergstrom"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1217350984776568800,"conversation_id":"1217350984776568832","created_at":1579074066000,"date":"2020-01-15","time":"07:41:06","timezone":"UTC","user_id":3238448948,"username":"ct_bergstrom","name":"Carl T. Bergstrom","place":"","tweet":"Damn the Russian troll farms are BUSY tonight.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":0,"retweets_count":3,"likes_count":9,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1217350984776568832","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"3238448948","username":"CT_Bergstrom"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1217151571387011000,"conversation_id":"1217150916085764096","created_at":1579026522000,"date":"2020-01-14","time":"18:28:42","timezone":"UTC","user_id":3238448948,"username":"ct_bergstrom","name":"Carl T. Bergstrom","place":"","tweet":"Bonus: “our powerless voices are being silenced and we have no recourse, so our only option when someone tweeted something negative at us was to arrange to publish a Wall Street Journal editorial the next day”","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":0,"retweets_count":0,"likes_count":7,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1217151571387011072","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"3238448948","username":"CT_Bergstrom"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1216571290745593900,"conversation_id":"1216571290745593856","created_at":1578888173000,"date":"2020-01-13","time":"04:02:53","timezone":"UTC","user_id":3238448948,"username":"ct_bergstrom","name":"Carl T. Bergstrom","place":"","tweet":"Likewise! 🌨️","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":0,"retweets_count":0,"likes_count":1,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1216571290745593856","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"3238448948","username":"CT_Bergstrom"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1215427908199563300,"conversation_id":"1215427115975229440","created_at":1578615569000,"date":"2020-01-10","time":"00:19:29","timezone":"UTC","user_id":3238448948,"username":"ct_bergstrom","name":"Carl T. Bergstrom","place":"","tweet":"* without having to read Ewens","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":0,"likes_count":1,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1215427908199563265","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"3238448948","username":"CT_Bergstrom"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1215427115975229400,"conversation_id":"1215427115975229440","created_at":1578615380000,"date":"2020-01-10","time":"00:16:20","timezone":"UTC","user_id":3238448948,"username":"ct_bergstrom","name":"Carl T. Bergstrom","place":"","tweet":"A question for popgen twitter: why did substitutional load fall out of favor and were there particular papers that sealed its demise?","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":3,"retweets_count":5,"likes_count":18,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1215427115975229440","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"3238448948","username":"CT_Bergstrom"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1267533934172278800,"conversation_id":"1267533929097158662","created_at":1591038614000,"date":"2020-06-01","time":"19:10:14","timezone":"UTC","user_id":776025992,"username":"caroline_of_b","name":"Caroline Buckee","place":"","tweet":"Covid19 has led to an outpouring of data that often fails to adhere to these principles. There is a great risk that the public health crisis will create an excuse to increase targeting and surveillance of marginalized groups during the protests. \n\nWe must not let that happen. 7/7","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":0,"retweets_count":0,"likes_count":7,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/Caroline_OF_B/status/1267533934172278786","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"776025992","username":"Caroline_OF_B"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1267533933337550800,"conversation_id":"1267533929097158662","created_at":1591038614000,"date":"2020-06-01","time":"19:10:14","timezone":"UTC","user_id":776025992,"username":"caroline_of_b","name":"Caroline Buckee","place":"","tweet":"We feel it is important to be clear at this moment that affiliated researchers will not work with any party requesting data or analysis which threatens to link public health efforts to state surveillance. These same standards apply globally.\" 6/7","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":0,"likes_count":6,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/Caroline_OF_B/status/1267533933337550849","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"776025992","username":"Caroline_OF_B"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1267533932523860000,"conversation_id":"1267533929097158662","created_at":1591038613000,"date":"2020-06-01","time":"19:10:13","timezone":"UTC","user_id":776025992,"username":"caroline_of_b","name":"Caroline Buckee","place":"","tweet":"In accordance with existing DUAs and the data use policy of the Network, we will not share, nor analyze, aggregated data to which we have access in order to monitor any aspect of human mobility other than physical distancing for the purpose of public health. 5/7","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":0,"likes_count":4,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/Caroline_OF_B/status/1267533932523859975","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"776025992","username":"Caroline_OF_B"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1267533931676663800,"conversation_id":"1267533929097158662","created_at":1591038613000,"date":"2020-06-01","time":"19:10:13","timezone":"UTC","user_id":776025992,"username":"caroline_of_b","name":"Caroline Buckee","place":"","tweet":"we only work with aggregated anonymized data analyzed at a temporal or spatial resolution that minimizes harm; and do not promote the use of data at a resolution that cannot be scientifically justified for the interventions proposed. 4/7","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":0,"likes_count":4,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/Caroline_OF_B/status/1267533931676663808","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"776025992","username":"Caroline_OF_B"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1267533930816774100,"conversation_id":"1267533929097158662","created_at":1591038613000,"date":"2020-06-01","time":"19:10:13","timezone":"UTC","user_id":776025992,"username":"caroline_of_b","name":"Caroline Buckee","place":"","tweet":"the misinterpretation of such data can result in misdirected policies; the misuse of such data can result in harm to individuals and groups. \n\nNetwork members adhere to the following data use policy published on our website; 3/7","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":0,"likes_count":3,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/Caroline_OF_B/status/1267533930816774155","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"776025992","username":"Caroline_OF_B"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1267533929936027600,"conversation_id":"1267533929097158662","created_at":1591038613000,"date":"2020-06-01","time":"19:10:13","timezone":"UTC","user_id":776025992,"username":"caroline_of_b","name":"Caroline Buckee","place":"","tweet":"\"The response to COVID-19 has demonstrated the extent of human mobility data available to technology companies, data aggregators and governments around the world. It is critical to proceed with caution 2/7","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":0,"likes_count":3,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/Caroline_OF_B/status/1267533929936027648","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"776025992","username":"Caroline_OF_B"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1263138056841957400,"conversation_id":"1263138056044974081","created_at":1589990555000,"date":"2020-05-20","time":"16:02:35","timezone":"UTC","user_id":776025992,"username":"caroline_of_b","name":"Caroline Buckee","place":"","tweet":"If we react to deaths, we will always be behind the curve and may lurch between open and shut - a disaster for the economy and health. People will stop complying and lose faith in the policies. \n\nInvesting in surveillance now makes sense economically as well as for health. 2/2","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":7,"retweets_count":29,"likes_count":124,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/Caroline_OF_B/status/1263138056841957377","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"776025992","username":"Caroline_OF_B"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1263138056044974000,"conversation_id":"1263138056044974081","created_at":1589990555000,"date":"2020-05-20","time":"16:02:35","timezone":"UTC","user_id":776025992,"username":"caroline_of_b","name":"Caroline Buckee","place":"","tweet":"As we re-open, we need discussion about epi triggers to change course and even lock down again. \n\nMost important: it should not be based on surging deaths, which are lagged by ~3 weeks compared to infections. It must be based on cases, which requires surveillance. 1/2","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":16,"retweets_count":113,"likes_count":389,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/Caroline_OF_B/status/1263138056044974081","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"776025992","username":"Caroline_OF_B"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1256777401461280800,"conversation_id":"1256774148032024576","created_at":1588474056000,"date":"2020-05-03","time":"02:47:36","timezone":"UTC","user_id":776025992,"username":"caroline_of_b","name":"Caroline Buckee","place":"","tweet":"Also surreal that I suddenly find a twitter thread about meat processing factories fascinating.... these are weird times...","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":0,"retweets_count":0,"likes_count":11,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/Caroline_OF_B/status/1256777401461280769","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"776025992","username":"Caroline_OF_B"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1256303609945391000,"conversation_id":"1256303609945391104","created_at":1588361096000,"date":"2020-05-01","time":"19:24:56","timezone":"UTC","user_id":776025992,"username":"caroline_of_b","name":"Caroline Buckee","place":"","tweet":"Just feels like it's time to say it again: if you are trying to assess if a COVID-19 SEIR model is useful, check if the E/I compartments - the number of infections - are fit using confirmed cases (which relies on testing). \n\nIf so, it's probably not a good model of the epidemic.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":3,"retweets_count":27,"likes_count":118,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/Caroline_OF_B/status/1256303609945391104","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"776025992","username":"Caroline_OF_B"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1255866550457942000,"conversation_id":"1255866546334961665","created_at":1588256893000,"date":"2020-04-30","time":"14:28:13","timezone":"UTC","user_id":776025992,"username":"caroline_of_b","name":"Caroline Buckee","place":"","tweet":"And finally, his plea for the rational use of mathematics to enhance our understanding of complex biological systems, including epidemics: \"Here mathematics is seen in its quintessence: no more, but no less, than a way of thinking clearly.\"\n\nWe will miss him and his wisdom. 6/6","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":2,"retweets_count":10,"likes_count":59,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/Caroline_OF_B/status/1255866550457942016","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"776025992","username":"Caroline_OF_B"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1255866549640052700,"conversation_id":"1255866546334961665","created_at":1588256892000,"date":"2020-04-30","time":"14:28:12","timezone":"UTC","user_id":776025992,"username":"caroline_of_b","name":"Caroline Buckee","place":"","tweet":"“It makes no sense to convey a beguiling sense of “reality” with irrelevant detail, when other equally important factors can only be guessed at. Above all, remember Einstein’s dictum: “models should be as simple as possible, but not more so.”” 5/6","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":2,"retweets_count":6,"likes_count":27,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/Caroline_OF_B/status/1255866549640052736","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"776025992","username":"Caroline_OF_B"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1255866548855734300,"conversation_id":"1255866546334961665","created_at":1588256892000,"date":"2020-04-30","time":"14:28:12","timezone":"UTC","user_id":776025992,"username":"caroline_of_b","name":"Caroline Buckee","place":"","tweet":"On model complexity & uncertainty: “Perhaps most common among abuses..are models constructed with an excruciating abundance of detail in some aspects, whilst other important facets.. are misty or a vital parameter is uncertain to within, at best, an order of magnitude.” 4/6","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":3,"retweets_count":10,"likes_count":35,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/Caroline_OF_B/status/1255866548855734273","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"776025992","username":"Caroline_OF_B"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1255866548058763300,"conversation_id":"1255866546334961665","created_at":1588256892000,"date":"2020-04-30","time":"14:28:12","timezone":"UTC","user_id":776025992,"username":"caroline_of_b","name":"Caroline Buckee","place":"","tweet":"He cautions against reliance on statistical frameworks in the absence of mechanistic underpinnings (ahem, IHME): “Particularly tricky are instances in which conventional statistical packages are applied to situations involving highly nonlinear dynamical processes” 3/6","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":2,"retweets_count":10,"likes_count":57,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/Caroline_OF_B/status/1255866548058763265","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"776025992","username":"Caroline_OF_B"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1255866547085742000,"conversation_id":"1255866546334961665","created_at":1588256892000,"date":"2020-04-30","time":"14:28:12","timezone":"UTC","user_id":776025992,"username":"caroline_of_b","name":"Caroline Buckee","place":"","tweet":"So much of it is prescient. On the use of models in biology: \"The virtue of mathematics in such a context is .. it forces clarity and precision upon conjecture, thus enabling meaningful comparison between the consequences of basic assumptions and the empirical facts.\" 2/6","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":10,"likes_count":30,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/Caroline_OF_B/status/1255866547085742087","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"776025992","username":"Caroline_OF_B"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1255866546334961700,"conversation_id":"1255866546334961665","created_at":1588256892000,"date":"2020-04-30","time":"14:28:12","timezone":"UTC","user_id":776025992,"username":"caroline_of_b","name":"Caroline Buckee","place":"","tweet":"Our field of ID epidemiology owes much to Bob May's towering intellect, and his death is a great loss. He was always so supportive of me and many others. \n\nMy favourite paper of Bob's was \"The Uses and Abuses of Mathematics in Biology\" (2004, Science, paywalled). A thread: 1/6","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":4,"retweets_count":72,"likes_count":279,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/Caroline_OF_B/status/1255866546334961665","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"776025992","username":"Caroline_OF_B"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1254462759246475300,"conversation_id":"1254462753185677316","created_at":1587922203000,"date":"2020-04-26","time":"17:30:03","timezone":"UTC","user_id":776025992,"username":"caroline_of_b","name":"Caroline Buckee","place":"","tweet":"It's sad to see my brilliant female colleagues so beaten down, especially when they are doing so much to fight this pandemic. \n\nI wish we could use this crisis to build a new kind of collaborative science, and a society that supports women to do it.\n\nBut I'm not that hopeful.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":14,"retweets_count":36,"likes_count":381,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/Caroline_OF_B/status/1254462759246475264","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"776025992","username":"Caroline_OF_B"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1254462758327922700,"conversation_id":"1254462753185677316","created_at":1587922203000,"date":"2020-04-26","time":"17:30:03","timezone":"UTC","user_id":776025992,"username":"caroline_of_b","name":"Caroline Buckee","place":"","tweet":"There are amazing men doing operational work and supporting their female colleagues. But just as the pandemic has confirmed/exposed social inequalities and health system weaknesses, the entrenched sexism that pervades society and science is being exposed as well. 7/","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":28,"likes_count":237,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/Caroline_OF_B/status/1254462758327922688","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"776025992","username":"Caroline_OF_B"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1254462757493256200,"conversation_id":"1254462753185677316","created_at":1587922202000,"date":"2020-04-26","time":"17:30:02","timezone":"UTC","user_id":776025992,"username":"caroline_of_b","name":"Caroline Buckee","place":"","tweet":"5. feel utterly demoralized. I have had several women tell me that after COVID19, they will leave science, and I have wondered the same. No doubt men are tired too, we will all be exhausted by the time this is over, but women feel it in a different way. 6/","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":4,"retweets_count":17,"likes_count":223,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/Caroline_OF_B/status/1254462757493256200","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"776025992","username":"Caroline_OF_B"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1254462756666908700,"conversation_id":"1254462753185677316","created_at":1587922202000,"date":"2020-04-26","time":"17:30:02","timezone":"UTC","user_id":776025992,"username":"caroline_of_b","name":"Caroline Buckee","place":"","tweet":"4. deal with the same sexism we have always dealt with, but now from more/different (often unqualified) people, plus the public and media. We are used to being spoken over, underestimated, taken for granted, dismissed. But this pandemic seems to have exacerbated these issues. 5/","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":20,"likes_count":242,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/Caroline_OF_B/status/1254462756666908672","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"776025992","username":"Caroline_OF_B"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1254462755828117500,"conversation_id":"1254462753185677316","created_at":1587922202000,"date":"2020-04-26","time":"17:30:02","timezone":"UTC","user_id":776025992,"username":"caroline_of_b","name":"Caroline Buckee","place":"","tweet":"3. see ourselves misrepresented or not represented at all in the press and in our institutions, and instead see unqualified men amplified and heralded as heroes. 4/","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":15,"likes_count":282,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/Caroline_OF_B/status/1254462755828117511","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"776025992","username":"Caroline_OF_B"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1254462755047956500,"conversation_id":"1254462753185677316","created_at":1587922202000,"date":"2020-04-26","time":"17:30:02","timezone":"UTC","user_id":776025992,"username":"caroline_of_b","name":"Caroline Buckee","place":"","tweet":"2. prioritize operational support that does not lead to accolades or recognition over writing scientific papers/grants or op eds, in contrast to men (among the women I know at least, I have heard this repeatedly) 3/","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":3,"retweets_count":15,"likes_count":289,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/Caroline_OF_B/status/1254462755047956481","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"776025992","username":"Caroline_OF_B"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1254462754041274400,"conversation_id":"1254462753185677316","created_at":1587922202000,"date":"2020-04-26","time":"17:30:02","timezone":"UTC","user_id":776025992,"username":"caroline_of_b","name":"Caroline Buckee","place":"","tweet":"1. have more domestic and childcare responsibilities than men because of inequality in the home, limiting our working hours and adding enormous stress 2/","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":4,"retweets_count":15,"likes_count":243,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/Caroline_OF_B/status/1254462754041274370","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"776025992","username":"Caroline_OF_B"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1254462753185677300,"conversation_id":"1254462753185677316","created_at":1587922201000,"date":"2020-04-26","time":"17:30:01","timezone":"UTC","user_id":776025992,"username":"caroline_of_b","name":"Caroline Buckee","place":"","tweet":"I know I have been tweeting a lot about this, but it's really getting to me. So here's a thread outlining the main issues that I have heard over and over again from women scientists during this pandemic.\n\nConsistently, we: 1/","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":17,"retweets_count":399,"likes_count":1108,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/Caroline_OF_B/status/1254462753185677316","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"776025992","username":"Caroline_OF_B"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1242526579978272800,"conversation_id":"1242526579978272773","created_at":1585076396000,"date":"2020-03-24","time":"18:59:56","timezone":"UTC","user_id":776025992,"username":"caroline_of_b","name":"Caroline Buckee","place":"","tweet":"I have now been verified by Twitter. I have no idea what this means. Yay!","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":7,"retweets_count":0,"likes_count":91,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/Caroline_OF_B/status/1242526579978272773","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"776025992","username":"Caroline_OF_B"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1242432350828535800,"conversation_id":"1242432350828535809","created_at":1585053930000,"date":"2020-03-24","time":"12:45:30","timezone":"UTC","user_id":776025992,"username":"caroline_of_b","name":"Caroline Buckee","place":"","tweet":"I feel like the researchers who have time to write grants in response to all the new funding for #COVID19 work may not be the right researchers to fund. Just saying.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":9,"retweets_count":7,"likes_count":79,"hashtags":["#covid19"],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/Caroline_OF_B/status/1242432350828535809","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"776025992","username":"Caroline_OF_B"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1242173236307255300,"conversation_id":"1242173234306580482","created_at":1584992152000,"date":"2020-03-23","time":"19:35:52","timezone":"UTC","user_id":776025992,"username":"caroline_of_b","name":"Caroline Buckee","place":"","tweet":"If we don't get messaging right, a lot of people will die. And we also need to quantify how interventions like closing schools actually change mixing patterns, so we can relax social distancing later. \n3/3","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":2,"retweets_count":6,"likes_count":12,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/Caroline_OF_B/status/1242173236307255300","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"776025992","username":"Caroline_OF_B"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1242173235246108700,"conversation_id":"1242173234306580482","created_at":1584992152000,"date":"2020-03-23","time":"19:35:52","timezone":"UTC","user_id":776025992,"username":"caroline_of_b","name":"Caroline Buckee","place":"","tweet":"Note this is very different from contact tracing based on individual proximity data. Rather, we want to know whether people as a group (eg. on a county level) have responded to social distancing messages. Robust regulatory and privacy protocols exist to do this. 2/3","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":3,"likes_count":11,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/Caroline_OF_B/status/1242173235246108674","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"776025992","username":"Caroline_OF_B"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1241379790642466800,"conversation_id":"1241379786867556355","created_at":1584802980000,"date":"2020-03-21","time":"15:03:00","timezone":"UTC","user_id":776025992,"username":"caroline_of_b","name":"Caroline Buckee","place":"","tweet":"The most annoying thing to me is that this is framed as a brave statement against dogma, as opposed to a layperson (with predictable demographics) wading in without expertise. Partly I think it's funny, but it's irritating as well, because it adds to the noise and confusion. 5/5","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":2,"retweets_count":5,"likes_count":51,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/Caroline_OF_B/status/1241379790642466818","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"776025992","username":"Caroline_OF_B"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1241379789791002600,"conversation_id":"1241379786867556355","created_at":1584802980000,"date":"2020-03-21","time":"15:03:00","timezone":"UTC","user_id":776025992,"username":"caroline_of_b","name":"Caroline Buckee","place":"","tweet":"3. Claim: \"they\" say let the epidemic burn through. No. No good epidemiologist is saying this. We want to flatten the curve as much as possible. Saying we should \"stop\" transmission - which of course we all want - just demonstrates a lack of understanding of disease dynamics. 4/5","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":4,"likes_count":24,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/Caroline_OF_B/status/1241379789791002625","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"776025992","username":"Caroline_OF_B"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1241379788822102000,"conversation_id":"1241379786867556355","created_at":1584802980000,"date":"2020-03-21","time":"15:03:00","timezone":"UTC","user_id":776025992,"username":"caroline_of_b","name":"Caroline Buckee","place":"","tweet":"2. Claim: it overestimates capacity. Er what now? See point 1 above. These figures convey the idea that we want to slow transmission to minimize the area above capacity, with \"squashing\" transmission being the exact goal here. This is realistic, not nihilistic. 3/5","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":5,"likes_count":21,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/Caroline_OF_B/status/1241379788822102016","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"776025992","username":"Caroline_OF_B"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1241379787970678800,"conversation_id":"1241379786867556355","created_at":1584802979000,"date":"2020-03-21","time":"15:02:59","timezone":"UTC","user_id":776025992,"username":"caroline_of_b","name":"Caroline Buckee","place":"","tweet":"All 3 point to a misunderstanding of how epidemiologists use models.\n\n1. Claim: No y-axis. Yep, because this is a generalizable, conceptual framework based on a mechanistic model of how diseases spread, not a model of a particular place. It conveys ideas, not numbers. 2/5","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":2,"retweets_count":3,"likes_count":30,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/Caroline_OF_B/status/1241379787970678785","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"776025992","username":"Caroline_OF_B"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1240373773653639200,"conversation_id":"1240373773653639174","created_at":1584563127000,"date":"2020-03-18","time":"20:25:27","timezone":"UTC","user_id":776025992,"username":"caroline_of_b","name":"Caroline Buckee","place":"","tweet":"People are complaining that they're bored in quarantine. \n\nWhy not use the time to connect w a retirement community and figure out how to start group online chats, book clubs, shared \"Coronadiaries\", slide shows, online games? Our vulnerable people need social contacts!","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":2,"retweets_count":3,"likes_count":24,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/Caroline_OF_B/status/1240373773653639174","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"776025992","username":"Caroline_OF_B"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1240322958352167000,"conversation_id":"1240322958352166915","created_at":1584551012000,"date":"2020-03-18","time":"17:03:32","timezone":"UTC","user_id":776025992,"username":"caroline_of_b","name":"Caroline Buckee","place":"","tweet":"New York reported >1,000 new cases of #COVID19 in a day: very important to remember that rapid jumps in reported cases reflect rates of testing, not the true epidemic curve.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":4,"retweets_count":18,"likes_count":82,"hashtags":["#covid19"],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/Caroline_OF_B/status/1240322958352166915","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"776025992","username":"Caroline_OF_B"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1239997878967337000,"conversation_id":"1239997878967336960","created_at":1584473507000,"date":"2020-03-17","time":"19:31:47","timezone":"UTC","user_id":776025992,"username":"caroline_of_b","name":"Caroline Buckee","place":"","tweet":"There is a local outbreak of new google doc tabs on my browser that is stressing me out.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":0,"retweets_count":1,"likes_count":25,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/Caroline_OF_B/status/1239997878967336960","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"776025992","username":"Caroline_OF_B"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1237847617276530700,"conversation_id":"1237847607621201920","created_at":1583960844000,"date":"2020-03-11","time":"21:07:24","timezone":"UTC","user_id":776025992,"username":"caroline_of_b","name":"Caroline Buckee","place":"","tweet":"I wish there was a public sense of we're-all-in-this-together (bc in fact we are). Ppl I know in healthcare/academia are working tirelessly & it is amazing. But we need everyone on board with social distancing - this will take widespread community engagement. \n\nSigh.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":2,"retweets_count":15,"likes_count":57,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/Caroline_OF_B/status/1237847617276530689","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"776025992","username":"Caroline_OF_B"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1237847615858864000,"conversation_id":"1237847607621201920","created_at":1583960844000,"date":"2020-03-11","time":"21:07:24","timezone":"UTC","user_id":776025992,"username":"caroline_of_b","name":"Caroline Buckee","place":"","tweet":"8. Long-term impact: this outbreak may last a while, with uncertain economic and social consequences. Pandemics are a fact of life in our dense, connected world, and this won’t be the last one: maybe it’s time to rethink how we structure our society and priorities.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":9,"likes_count":29,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/Caroline_OF_B/status/1237847615858864131","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"776025992","username":"Caroline_OF_B"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1237847614701187000,"conversation_id":"1237847607621201920","created_at":1583960844000,"date":"2020-03-11","time":"21:07:24","timezone":"UTC","user_id":776025992,"username":"caroline_of_b","name":"Caroline Buckee","place":"","tweet":"7. Impact: Vulnerable groups are disproportionately impacted. I worry about homeless people, incarcerated people, those in nursing homes. We should be making plans for how we manage those populations and keep them as safe as possible.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":7,"likes_count":21,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/Caroline_OF_B/status/1237847614701187073","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"776025992","username":"Caroline_OF_B"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1237847613598122000,"conversation_id":"1237847607621201920","created_at":1583960843000,"date":"2020-03-11","time":"21:07:23","timezone":"UTC","user_id":776025992,"username":"caroline_of_b","name":"Caroline Buckee","place":"","tweet":"6. Impact: elderly people and those with issues like hypertension, diabetes, heart disease, and cancer are most likely to die from COVID-19. Deaths will also happen due to redirection of health system focus bc of the outbreak. Given how things are going, a lot of people may die.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":5,"likes_count":16,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/Caroline_OF_B/status/1237847613598121989","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"776025992","username":"Caroline_OF_B"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1237847612444700700,"conversation_id":"1237847607621201920","created_at":1583960843000,"date":"2020-03-11","time":"21:07:23","timezone":"UTC","user_id":776025992,"username":"caroline_of_b","name":"Caroline Buckee","place":"","tweet":"5. Social distancing: workers with no paid sick leave won’t stop working easily, even if they get sick. Once sick, they face serious financial consequences; we must provide economic support - both to encourage self-isolat'n but also to protect from the consequences of not working","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":3,"retweets_count":7,"likes_count":24,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/Caroline_OF_B/status/1237847612444700675","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"776025992","username":"Caroline_OF_B"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1237847611266089000,"conversation_id":"1237847607621201920","created_at":1583960843000,"date":"2020-03-11","time":"21:07:23","timezone":"UTC","user_id":776025992,"username":"caroline_of_b","name":"Caroline Buckee","place":"","tweet":"4. Social distancing: those who can work from home/ manage if their kids aren't at school are generally affluent. In places where a high fraction of people are poor, social distancing measures including working from home and closing schools are going to be difficult.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":5,"likes_count":25,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/Caroline_OF_B/status/1237847611266088960","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"776025992","username":"Caroline_OF_B"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1237847610037158000,"conversation_id":"1237847607621201920","created_at":1583960842000,"date":"2020-03-11","time":"21:07:22","timezone":"UTC","user_id":776025992,"username":"caroline_of_b","name":"Caroline Buckee","place":"","tweet":"3. Preparedness: hospital capacity will be severely tested, bc quite a high prop'n of COVID-19 pts require hospitalization, for quite a long time. Many require ventilation. With a steep epidemic, capacity will quickly be insufficient; this is why we want to #FlattenTheCurve.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":5,"likes_count":20,"hashtags":["#flattenthecurve"],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/Caroline_OF_B/status/1237847610037157888","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"776025992","username":"Caroline_OF_B"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1237847608841789400,"conversation_id":"1237847607621201920","created_at":1583960842000,"date":"2020-03-11","time":"21:07:22","timezone":"UTC","user_id":776025992,"username":"caroline_of_b","name":"Caroline Buckee","place":"","tweet":"2. Preparedness: hospitals are on the front lines. There is a global shortage of the personal protective equipment (PPE) that we will need to protect our health professionals. If they get sick, we lose our ability to care for patients - not just COVID-19 patients; all patients.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":2,"retweets_count":4,"likes_count":20,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/Caroline_OF_B/status/1237847608841789446","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"776025992","username":"Caroline_OF_B"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1237847607621202000,"conversation_id":"1237847607621201920","created_at":1583960842000,"date":"2020-03-11","time":"21:07:22","timezone":"UTC","user_id":776025992,"username":"caroline_of_b","name":"Caroline Buckee","place":"","tweet":"A list of my biggest COVID-19 worries right now for the US context. \n\n1. Surveillance: we are way behind. Shortages in parts of the test kit must be fixed quickly so we can expand testing, everywhere. We don't know how many people are infected (a lot, probably).","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":4,"retweets_count":62,"likes_count":93,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/Caroline_OF_B/status/1237847607621201920","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"776025992","username":"Caroline_OF_B"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1236832509335343000,"conversation_id":"1236832509335343104","created_at":1583718824000,"date":"2020-03-09","time":"01:53:44","timezone":"UTC","user_id":776025992,"username":"caroline_of_b","name":"Caroline Buckee","place":"","tweet":"I am going to start working from home every day from tomorrow. Not everyone has that luxury, but those of us who can, should. It will reduce the risk of #COVID19 for everyone. Let’s see how broadband holds up...","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":3,"likes_count":54,"hashtags":["#covid19"],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/Caroline_OF_B/status/1236832509335343104","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"776025992","username":"Caroline_OF_B"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1235594480323084300,"conversation_id":"1235594480323084289","created_at":1583423655000,"date":"2020-03-05","time":"15:54:15","timezone":"UTC","user_id":776025992,"username":"caroline_of_b","name":"Caroline Buckee","place":"","tweet":"People wondering why women drop out of academia need look no further than Elizabeth Warren’s campaign. Every woman in academic science recognizes the pattern of the mediocre but well-connected white man being chosen over the obviously more qualified woman.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":7,"retweets_count":55,"likes_count":381,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/Caroline_OF_B/status/1235594480323084289","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"776025992","username":"Caroline_OF_B"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1235216322042060800,"conversation_id":"1235216322042060800","created_at":1583333495000,"date":"2020-03-04","time":"14:51:35","timezone":"UTC","user_id":776025992,"username":"caroline_of_b","name":"Caroline Buckee","place":"","tweet":"Important for everyone to push their communities, workplaces and schools to make COVID-19 preparedness plans. What is the plan for working remotely? How can we help kids keep up with school work if there are closures? What will happen to workers without sick leave?","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":4,"retweets_count":17,"likes_count":31,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/Caroline_OF_B/status/1235216322042060800","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"776025992","username":"Caroline_OF_B"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1234316830069731300,"conversation_id":"1234316830069731328","created_at":1583119039000,"date":"2020-03-02","time":"03:17:19","timezone":"UTC","user_id":776025992,"username":"caroline_of_b","name":"Caroline Buckee","place":"","tweet":"More cases of #COVID19 will be reported soon. On my street, we're identifying the vulnerable; esp elderly people living alone. We can help them by i) protecting ourselves, ii) checking in/keeping them informed, iii) helping them prepare (groceries, meds) and make a plan if sick.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":30,"likes_count":64,"hashtags":["#covid19"],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/Caroline_OF_B/status/1234316830069731328","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"776025992","username":"Caroline_OF_B"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1233551629510729700,"conversation_id":"1233551629510729728","created_at":1582936601000,"date":"2020-02-29","time":"00:36:41","timezone":"UTC","user_id":776025992,"username":"caroline_of_b","name":"Caroline Buckee","place":"","tweet":"My habitual British discomfort with American greeting styles is finally going to pay off. #socialdistancing","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":5,"retweets_count":3,"likes_count":62,"hashtags":["#socialdistancing"],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/Caroline_OF_B/status/1233551629510729728","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"776025992","username":"Caroline_OF_B"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1233383663976448000,"conversation_id":"1233373630702268417","created_at":1582896555000,"date":"2020-02-28","time":"13:29:15","timezone":"UTC","user_id":776025992,"username":"caroline_of_b","name":"Caroline Buckee","place":"","tweet":"Tbf: I have received media requests. Mostly bc of family commitments, I often can’t respond in time. I wonder if this is a factor for other women in the field who have kids/domestic responsibilities - it has been shown women do more of this than their male peers.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":2,"retweets_count":0,"likes_count":11,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/Caroline_OF_B/status/1233383663976448000","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"776025992","username":"Caroline_OF_B"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1221642741127446500,"conversation_id":"1221628145406742528","created_at":1580097301000,"date":"2020-01-27","time":"03:55:01","timezone":"UTC","user_id":776025992,"username":"caroline_of_b","name":"Caroline Buckee","place":"","tweet":"In fact, unreliable reporting can also inflate cases, depending on context (e.g. if relying on suspected as well as lab-confirmed cases, given symptoms overlap w flu & general worry). Here I suspect under-reporting (cases in community or not diagnosed) more likely initially.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":0,"retweets_count":0,"likes_count":2,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/Caroline_OF_B/status/1221642741127446528","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"776025992","username":"Caroline_OF_B"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1221628159755505700,"conversation_id":"1221628145406742528","created_at":1580093824000,"date":"2020-01-27","time":"02:57:04","timezone":"UTC","user_id":776025992,"username":"caroline_of_b","name":"Caroline Buckee","place":"","tweet":"17/x The nCoV2019 epidemic has been unprecedented wrt openness/data sharing (genomic & epi). Good to see scientists translating discussions for non-academics. It's not rocket science, it's just \"a way of thinking clearly\" (quoting Bob May). \n\nSorry, this was longer than intended.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":4,"retweets_count":9,"likes_count":79,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/Caroline_OF_B/status/1221628159755505664","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"776025992","username":"Caroline_OF_B"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1221628158916595700,"conversation_id":"1221628145406742528","created_at":1580093824000,"date":"2020-01-27","time":"02:57:04","timezone":"UTC","user_id":776025992,"username":"caroline_of_b","name":"Caroline Buckee","place":"","tweet":"16/x Overall, because so many unknowns, these simple models make sense during an outbreak vs very complex ones. They are easily reproducible and transparent in their assumptions, creating a framework for collaborative oversight and open discussion of results.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":4,"likes_count":27,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/Caroline_OF_B/status/1221628158916595713","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"776025992","username":"Caroline_OF_B"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1221628156416864300,"conversation_id":"1221628145406742528","created_at":1580093823000,"date":"2020-01-27","time":"02:57:03","timezone":"UTC","user_id":776025992,"username":"caroline_of_b","name":"Caroline Buckee","place":"","tweet":"13/x or we can use the mechanistic models, with epidemics modeled separately (as SEIR) in each place/city, connected by travel. The chances of importation of the virus to a new city then depends on volume of incoming travelers, and % infected in the travelers' places of origin.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":1,"likes_count":16,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/Caroline_OF_B/status/1221628156416864257","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"776025992","username":"Caroline_OF_B"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1221628155460489200,"conversation_id":"1221628145406742528","created_at":1580093823000,"date":"2020-01-27","time":"02:57:03","timezone":"UTC","user_id":776025992,"username":"caroline_of_b","name":"Caroline Buckee","place":"","tweet":"12/x Spatial spread: SEIR models assume '1 population' with same infection risk for everyone. Defining a pop'n is difficult, but a city is a logical unit. To model spread out of Wuhan, for eg, can do a back-of-envelope calc (e.g. combine <% infected> with <# travelers leaving>)","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":1,"likes_count":16,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/Caroline_OF_B/status/1221628155460489216","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"776025992","username":"Caroline_OF_B"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1221628152390340600,"conversation_id":"1221628145406742528","created_at":1580093822000,"date":"2020-01-27","time":"02:57:02","timezone":"UTC","user_id":776025992,"username":"caroline_of_b","name":"Caroline Buckee","place":"","tweet":"9/x As the epidemic progresses and less people are susceptible (S<1), RE (effective reproduction num) may become more relevant. It is just R0 multiplied by the fraction of the population that is still susceptible (ie. not infected or immune).","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":2,"likes_count":18,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/Caroline_OF_B/status/1221628152390340609","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"776025992","username":"Caroline_OF_B"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1221628151568179200,"conversation_id":"1221628145406742528","created_at":1580093822000,"date":"2020-01-27","time":"02:57:02","timezone":"UTC","user_id":776025992,"username":"caroline_of_b","name":"Caroline Buckee","place":"","tweet":"8/x New infections will also depend on:\n\na) the number of infectious people (I)\nb) the number of susceptible people (S)\n\nLike a forest fire, if susceptibles (trees) run out, the epidemic will burn out. S is hard to estimate but can model in fractions: at start of an epidemic S~1.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":2,"likes_count":22,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/Caroline_OF_B/status/1221628151568179200","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"776025992","username":"Caroline_OF_B"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1221628150750290000,"conversation_id":"1221628145406742528","created_at":1580093822000,"date":"2020-01-27","time":"02:57:02","timezone":"UTC","user_id":776025992,"username":"caroline_of_b","name":"Caroline Buckee","place":"","tweet":"7/x With heterogeneous k you get “bursts” of cases that happen around superspreaders (true for SARS and likely for nCoV2019). R0 is heterogeneous as a result (b and d arguably less likely to be as skewed). \n\nNote that this tells you nothing about how many people are infected.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":2,"retweets_count":3,"likes_count":23,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/Caroline_OF_B/status/1221628150750289920","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"776025992","username":"Caroline_OF_B"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1221628149974360000,"conversation_id":"1221628145406742528","created_at":1580093822000,"date":"2020-01-27","time":"02:57:02","timezone":"UTC","user_id":776025992,"username":"caroline_of_b","name":"Caroline Buckee","place":"","tweet":"6/x So R0=bkd. \n\nContact rate k is notoriously difficult to estimate (try counting how many people you have close contact with each week). Simple models basically assume it’s the same for everyone, but if some contact many more people than others the contact rate is heterogeneous","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":2,"likes_count":27,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/Caroline_OF_B/status/1221628149974360064","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"776025992","username":"Caroline_OF_B"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1221628149127094300,"conversation_id":"1221628145406742528","created_at":1580093822000,"date":"2020-01-27","time":"02:57:02","timezone":"UTC","user_id":776025992,"username":"caroline_of_b","name":"Caroline Buckee","place":"","tweet":"5/x In simple SEIR models R0 is:\n\n- probability of infection given contact w infectious person (b)\n\nmultiplied by \n\n- contact rate (k)\n\nmultiplied by\n\n- infectious duration (d)\n\nCan assume nCoV2019 params like SARS, or estimate from model fit to epi curve, & seeing which fit best","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":4,"likes_count":27,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/Caroline_OF_B/status/1221628149127094272","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"776025992","username":"Caroline_OF_B"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1221628147227144200,"conversation_id":"1221628145406742528","created_at":1580093821000,"date":"2020-01-27","time":"02:57:01","timezone":"UTC","user_id":776025992,"username":"caroline_of_b","name":"Caroline Buckee","place":"","tweet":"3/x Challenges for this approach: \n\na) unreliable reporting (missing cases), \nb) asymptomatic cases (also missing, in effect), \nc) uncertain serial interval (time step over which to calculate the rate). \n\nBoth a) and b) lead to underestimate of R0.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":3,"retweets_count":6,"likes_count":39,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/Caroline_OF_B/status/1221628147227144193","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"776025992","username":"Caroline_OF_B"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1221628146228908000,"conversation_id":"1221628145406742528","created_at":1580093821000,"date":"2020-01-27","time":"02:57:01","timezone":"UTC","user_id":776025992,"username":"caroline_of_b","name":"Caroline Buckee","place":"","tweet":"2/x At the start of an epidemic, reported cases grow exponentially. We can estimate R0 statistically using this growth rate, as:\n\nR0 = 1+ growth rate * serial interval\n\nSerial interval is the time between one infection and the next in a transmission chain.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":5,"likes_count":30,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/Caroline_OF_B/status/1221628146228908034","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"776025992","username":"Caroline_OF_B"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1221628145406742500,"conversation_id":"1221628145406742528","created_at":1580093821000,"date":"2020-01-27","time":"02:57:01","timezone":"UTC","user_id":776025992,"username":"caroline_of_b","name":"Caroline Buckee","place":"","tweet":"Lots of discussion of R0 (basic reproduction number) for #nCov2019, but maybe useful to explain how to calculate it and where uncertainties come from. R0 is context-specific, and can vary in different populations. It is not a measure of virulence (which is disease severity). 1/x","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":8,"retweets_count":260,"likes_count":526,"hashtags":["#ncov2019"],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/Caroline_OF_B/status/1221628145406742528","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"776025992","username":"Caroline_OF_B"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1266712035989115000,"conversation_id":"1266712025239085061","created_at":1590842658000,"date":"2020-05-30","time":"12:44:18","timezone":"UTC","user_id":2409592178,"username":"christophraser","name":"Christophe Fraser","place":"","tweet":"Until the test, trace and isolate control measures are up and running and effective, easing the lockdown quickly risks the rate of new infection starting to increase again (R>1) leading to a second surge in infections. 8/n","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":2,"retweets_count":4,"likes_count":10,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/ChristoPhraser/status/1266712035989114881","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"2409592178","username":"ChristoPhraser"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1259086134531035100,"conversation_id":"1259079830441771010","created_at":1589024501000,"date":"2020-05-09","time":"11:41:41","timezone":"UTC","user_id":2409592178,"username":"christophraser","name":"Christophe Fraser","place":"","tweet":"In this noisy debate, there is a real risk of adopting a system that is ‘perfect engineering' but contributes less to epidemic control than it could. We needs tools for the virus we face, not the virus we wish we faced. 15/n","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":9,"likes_count":18,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/ChristoPhraser/status/1259086134531035137","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"2409592178","username":"ChristoPhraser"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1259079853392957400,"conversation_id":"1259079830441771010","created_at":1589023004000,"date":"2020-05-09","time":"11:16:44","timezone":"UTC","user_id":2409592178,"username":"christophraser","name":"Christophe Fraser","place":"","tweet":"Those first simulations show that the effect of digital tracing in reducing R can be substantial, but also there are drawbacks, mostly too many people getting notifications. Improved self-diagnosis, risk scoring, rapid testing, and controlling the epidemicall improve this 12/n","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":2,"retweets_count":4,"likes_count":11,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/ChristoPhraser/status/1259079853392957440","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"2409592178","username":"ChristoPhraser"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1259079846401052700,"conversation_id":"1259079830441771010","created_at":1589023002000,"date":"2020-05-09","time":"11:16:42","timezone":"UTC","user_id":2409592178,"username":"christophraser","name":"Christophe Fraser","place":"","tweet":"There are difficult trade-offs. My plea: let's not pretend this debate is easy.  We just don’t know enough about COVID transmission to be sure that we can set up the perfect contact tracing system now. If this was an easy task, we wouldn't need these tools at all. 9/n","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":4,"likes_count":20,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/ChristoPhraser/status/1259079846401052672","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"2409592178","username":"ChristoPhraser"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1259079844278743000,"conversation_id":"1259079830441771010","created_at":1589023002000,"date":"2020-05-09","time":"11:16:42","timezone":"UTC","user_id":2409592178,"username":"christophraser","name":"Christophe Fraser","place":"","tweet":"Centralised systems can gain trust with active governance and transparency, and by meeting privacy and security guarantees. 8/n","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":4,"retweets_count":4,"likes_count":10,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/ChristoPhraser/status/1259079844278743040","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"2409592178","username":"ChristoPhraser"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1259079842408079400,"conversation_id":"1259079830441771010","created_at":1589023001000,"date":"2020-05-09","time":"11:16:41","timezone":"UTC","user_id":2409592178,"username":"christophraser","name":"Christophe Fraser","place":"","tweet":"Third, any system will benefit from very high rates of adoption and use, which requires trust in the system, and high quality engineering. Here decentralised systems seem to be preferred, with support from Google/Apple. 7/n","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":4,"likes_count":15,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/ChristoPhraser/status/1259079842408079361","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"2409592178","username":"ChristoPhraser"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1259079840331948000,"conversation_id":"1259079830441771010","created_at":1589023001000,"date":"2020-05-09","time":"11:16:41","timezone":"UTC","user_id":2409592178,"username":"christophraser","name":"Christophe Fraser","place":"","tweet":"Centralised systems can do this speed more safely. Efforts will be needed to minimise ‘boy who cries wolf’: ‘learning' will help us more quickly land on a good trade-off. The alternative with the decentralised system is very rapid testing, but is anyone ready? 6/n","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":5,"likes_count":12,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/ChristoPhraser/status/1259079840331948033","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"2409592178","username":"ChristoPhraser"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1259079835365843000,"conversation_id":"1259079830441771010","created_at":1589022999000,"date":"2020-05-09","time":"11:16:39","timezone":"UTC","user_id":2409592178,"username":"christophraser","name":"Christophe Fraser","place":"","tweet":"A tool that allows us to adapt and learn is likely to be more effective than a tool that doesn't. Decentralised systems can be adapted, but as yet, there is no good approach to learning. 4/n","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":2,"likes_count":9,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/ChristoPhraser/status/1259079835365842945","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"2409592178","username":"ChristoPhraser"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1259079833939779600,"conversation_id":"1259079830441771010","created_at":1589022999000,"date":"2020-05-09","time":"11:16:39","timezone":"UTC","user_id":2409592178,"username":"christophraser","name":"Christophe Fraser","place":"","tweet":"A clear assessment requires acknowledging that we don't know as much as we’d like about the details of how this virus spreads. And nor do we know enough about the context of how this intervention fits in broader public health measures that will get us safely out of lockdown. 3/n","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":2,"likes_count":8,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/ChristoPhraser/status/1259079833939779586","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"2409592178","username":"ChristoPhraser"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1259079832459149300,"conversation_id":"1259079830441771010","created_at":1589022999000,"date":"2020-05-09","time":"11:16:39","timezone":"UTC","user_id":2409592178,"username":"christophraser","name":"Christophe Fraser","place":"","tweet":"There are three broad aims to be optimised: prevention of infection and disease, minimisation of disruptive requests to isolate, and maximisation of privacy. 2/n","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":3,"likes_count":13,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/ChristoPhraser/status/1259079832459149312","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"2409592178","username":"ChristoPhraser"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1246452661953716200,"conversation_id":"1246452638004232193","created_at":1586012447000,"date":"2020-04-04","time":"15:00:47","timezone":"UTC","user_id":2409592178,"username":"christophraser","name":"Christophe Fraser","place":"","tweet":"The current lockdown is necessary and working, but we now have a third of the world’s population in effective quarantine. We urgently need to find ways to resume our livelihoods, and the need is the most urgent in the most vulnerable and in lower income countries. 15/","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":6,"retweets_count":14,"likes_count":33,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/ChristoPhraser/status/1246452661953716225","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"2409592178","username":"ChristoPhraser"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1246452658728325000,"conversation_id":"1246452638004232193","created_at":1586012446000,"date":"2020-04-04","time":"15:00:46","timezone":"UTC","user_id":2409592178,"username":"christophraser","name":"Christophe Fraser","place":"","tweet":"As a team we have received many offers from developers and collaborators, each welcomed with gratitude, few responded to properly, sorry. In our view, this is a job for national or international efforts. 13/","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":5,"likes_count":14,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/ChristoPhraser/status/1246452658728325121","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"2409592178","username":"ChristoPhraser"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1246452652772413400,"conversation_id":"1246452638004232193","created_at":1586012445000,"date":"2020-04-04","time":"15:00:45","timezone":"UTC","user_id":2409592178,"username":"christophraser","name":"Christophe Fraser","place":"","tweet":"These groups have converged on low-energy Bluetooth contacts as being the most reliable and the most privacy preserving whilst still having the desired effectiveness. 10/","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":3,"retweets_count":5,"likes_count":23,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/ChristoPhraser/status/1246452652772413440","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"2409592178","username":"ChristoPhraser"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1246452648406024200,"conversation_id":"1246452638004232193","created_at":1586012444000,"date":"2020-04-04","time":"15:00:44","timezone":"UTC","user_id":2409592178,"username":"christophraser","name":"Christophe Fraser","place":"","tweet":"NHSX in UK, who lead an amazing portfolio of work in digital solutions in the NHS are in advanced feasibility study. Though the concept is simple, there are very many facets to consider in exploring this as a policy option.  7/","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":3,"likes_count":14,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/ChristoPhraser/status/1246452648406024192","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"2409592178","username":"ChristoPhraser"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1246452646497726500,"conversation_id":"1246452638004232193","created_at":1586012443000,"date":"2020-04-04","time":"15:00:43","timezone":"UTC","user_id":2409592178,"username":"christophraser","name":"Christophe Fraser","place":"","tweet":"Other groups reached similar conclusions at similar time, notably Singapore with TraceTogether, and Thomas Wiegand and team at Fraunhofer Institute. 6/","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":3,"likes_count":18,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/ChristoPhraser/status/1246452646497726465","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"2409592178","username":"ChristoPhraser"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1246452642940891100,"conversation_id":"1246452638004232193","created_at":1586012442000,"date":"2020-04-04","time":"15:00:42","timezone":"UTC","user_id":2409592178,"username":"christophraser","name":"Christophe Fraser","place":"","tweet":"Our modelling suggested that digital contact tracing with a middling effectiveness could be really effective, even reversing epidemic spread. 4/","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":13,"likes_count":27,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/ChristoPhraser/status/1246452642940891137","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"2409592178","username":"ChristoPhraser"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1246452641569411000,"conversation_id":"1246452638004232193","created_at":1586012442000,"date":"2020-04-04","time":"15:00:42","timezone":"UTC","user_id":2409592178,"username":"christophraser","name":"Christophe Fraser","place":"","tweet":"Because it is near instantaneous, digital contact tracing changes that: if people install an app that ‘remembers’ contacts for them, and those contacts are instantly notified on diagnosis, this cuts a week of the whole process of contact tracing. 3/","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":2,"retweets_count":17,"likes_count":37,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/ChristoPhraser/status/1246452641569411072","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"2409592178","username":"ChristoPhraser"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1246452639602225200,"conversation_id":"1246452638004232193","created_at":1586012441000,"date":"2020-04-04","time":"15:00:41","timezone":"UTC","user_id":2409592178,"username":"christophraser","name":"Christophe Fraser","place":"","tweet":"Isolation, contact tracing, and quarantine are proven methods of infection control, but for COVID-19 conventional tracing is too slow. 50% of transmissions happen before symptoms, so the epidemic is always a step ahead. 2/","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":2,"retweets_count":18,"likes_count":46,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/ChristoPhraser/status/1246452639602225157","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"2409592178","username":"ChristoPhraser"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1239671212218949600,"conversation_id":"1239551690661126146","created_at":1584395623000,"date":"2020-03-16","time":"21:53:43","timezone":"UTC","user_id":2409592178,"username":"christophraser","name":"Christophe Fraser","place":"","tweet":"16/ Important note: the data findings are not peer reviewed. Released early because a/ It's now good practice in outbreak analysis & a requirement b/ It seems appropriate to have a wider debate given general question of app-based approaches and ongoing feasibility studies.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":2,"retweets_count":2,"likes_count":6,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/ChristoPhraser/status/1239671212218949635","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"2409592178","username":"ChristoPhraser"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1239670517684154400,"conversation_id":"1239551690661126146","created_at":1584395458000,"date":"2020-03-16","time":"21:50:58","timezone":"UTC","user_id":2409592178,"username":"christophraser","name":"Christophe Fraser","place":"","tweet":"(not peer reviewed.)","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":0,"retweets_count":0,"likes_count":0,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/ChristoPhraser/status/1239670517684154370","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"2409592178","username":"ChristoPhraser"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1239668961437986800,"conversation_id":"1239551690661126146","created_at":1584395086000,"date":"2020-03-16","time":"21:44:46","timezone":"UTC","user_id":2409592178,"username":"christophraser","name":"Christophe Fraser","place":"","tweet":"15/ The WHO has been compiling information and comparing approaches from countries that have, for now, managed epidemic containment. Much inspiration there.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":3,"likes_count":4,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/ChristoPhraser/status/1239668961437986817","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"2409592178","username":"ChristoPhraser"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1239668286629036000,"conversation_id":"1239551690661126146","created_at":1584394926000,"date":"2020-03-16","time":"21:42:06","timezone":"UTC","user_id":2409592178,"username":"christophraser","name":"Christophe Fraser","place":"","tweet":"14/ Remember, there is no one approach, or combination of approaches. There isn't much time, this is a scientific feasibility study; many things need to be prioritised, preparing and protecting hospitals and people, achieving rapid social distancing, maintaining social cohesion.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":3,"likes_count":4,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/ChristoPhraser/status/1239668286629036032","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"2409592178","username":"ChristoPhraser"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1239667020788007000,"conversation_id":"1239551690661126146","created_at":1584394624000,"date":"2020-03-16","time":"21:37:04","timezone":"UTC","user_id":2409592178,"username":"christophraser","name":"Christophe Fraser","place":"","tweet":"12/ There is no one approach to get us to 'herd protection', any public health system that is adaptive can get us there.  ('Herd protection' is not 'herd immunity', the latter is used to describe the population effect of vaccination.)","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":3,"likes_count":12,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/ChristoPhraser/status/1239667020788006915","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"2409592178","username":"ChristoPhraser"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1239666070895636500,"conversation_id":"1239551690661126146","created_at":1584394397000,"date":"2020-03-16","time":"21:33:17","timezone":"UTC","user_id":2409592178,"username":"christophraser","name":"Christophe Fraser","place":"","tweet":"11/ This feels like useful moment to recall Ronald Ross's great discovery: you don't need to stop all infections to stop an epidemic, you need to get and keep  R<1. A population that has a system of public health that does that has 'herd protection'. Not easy, but not impossible.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":9,"likes_count":18,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/ChristoPhraser/status/1239666070895636488","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"2409592178","username":"ChristoPhraser"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1239665303145058300,"conversation_id":"1239551690661126146","created_at":1584394214000,"date":"2020-03-16","time":"21:30:14","timezone":"UTC","user_id":2409592178,"username":"christophraser","name":"Christophe Fraser","place":"","tweet":"10/ There are implementation issues that could complicate this approach. Public health is about linking things that work, and getting public trust. Too early to tell if app based-tracing is ingredient of \"epidemic control\", but the science increases policy options.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":2,"likes_count":8,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/ChristoPhraser/status/1239665303145058307","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"2409592178","username":"ChristoPhraser"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1239664366494105600,"conversation_id":"1239551690661126146","created_at":1584393991000,"date":"2020-03-16","time":"21:26:31","timezone":"UTC","user_id":2409592178,"username":"christophraser","name":"Christophe Fraser","place":"","tweet":"9/ However, the maths potentially under-estimate the impact of the intervention, which is recursive. Also, they force dependencies between delays. Next step will be simulation.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":1,"likes_count":2,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/ChristoPhraser/status/1239664366494105600","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"2409592178","username":"ChristoPhraser"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1239661652653588500,"conversation_id":"1239551690661126146","created_at":1584393344000,"date":"2020-03-16","time":"21:15:44","timezone":"UTC","user_id":2409592178,"username":"christophraser","name":"Christophe Fraser","place":"","tweet":"5/ As is usual in modelling, we explored uncertainties in all the assumptions and parameters. Across the range, we found that because of pre-symptomatic transmission, isolation of patients alone would not stop the epidemic. Nor would classical contact tracing: too slow.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":3,"likes_count":5,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/ChristoPhraser/status/1239661652653588483","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"2409592178","username":"ChristoPhraser"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
