{"id":1237915231763878000,"conversation_id":"1237915231763877890","created_at":1583976965000,"date":"2020-03-12","time":"01:36:05","timezone":"UTC","user_id":3238448948,"username":"ct_bergstrom","name":"Carl T. Bergstrom","place":"","tweet":"Watching Trump's address.\n\n\"Taking early, intense action [to prevent any and all #COVID19 testing in the United States] we have seen dramatically fewer cases in the United States than in Europe [because we did not test for them].\"","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":5,"retweets_count":63,"likes_count":200,"hashtags":["#covid19"],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1237915231763877890","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"3238448948","username":"CT_Bergstrom"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1237831220869750800,"conversation_id":"1237831220869750784","created_at":1583956935000,"date":"2020-03-11","time":"20:02:15","timezone":"UTC","user_id":3238448948,"username":"ct_bergstrom","name":"Carl T. Bergstrom","place":"","tweet":"Seattle Public Schools are now closing due to #COVID19 #coronavirus. While we don't know a lot about the role of children in spreading #SARSCoV2, this strikes me as the only reasonable course of action given what we do know.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":5,"retweets_count":54,"likes_count":217,"hashtags":["#covid19","#coronavirus","#sarscov2"],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1237831220869750784","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"3238448948","username":"CT_Bergstrom"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1237678200517361700,"conversation_id":"1237675202315599872","created_at":1583920452000,"date":"2020-03-11","time":"09:54:12","timezone":"UTC","user_id":3238448948,"username":"ct_bergstrom","name":"Carl T. Bergstrom","place":"","tweet":"In the upper left corner panel, mild and moderate cases have been combined and called “mild.” This is a bad misrepresentation of the original data.\n\nWith the tagline and this many mistakes all in the same direction, one has to wonder about the underlying agenda.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":4,"retweets_count":6,"likes_count":78,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1237678200517361664","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"3238448948","username":"CT_Bergstrom"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1237676904536100900,"conversation_id":"1237675202315599872","created_at":1583920143000,"date":"2020-03-11","time":"09:49:03","timezone":"UTC","user_id":3238448948,"username":"ct_bergstrom","name":"Carl T. Bergstrom","place":"","tweet":"Hundred percent agree, but I was just echoing the inappropriate nomenclature on the graph to make it clear what I was talking about.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":0,"retweets_count":0,"likes_count":5,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1237676904536100864","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"3238448948","username":"CT_Bergstrom"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1237676653343457300,"conversation_id":"1237675202315599872","created_at":1583920083000,"date":"2020-03-11","time":"09:48:03","timezone":"UTC","user_id":3238448948,"username":"ct_bergstrom","name":"Carl T. Bergstrom","place":"","tweet":"The case fatality rate for polio shown here is absurdly high. Contemporary case far rates are far lower, because  most cases occur in children with CFR<5%. \n\nAnd what’s with the abrupt change from a linear to a logarithmic scale on that Y axis?","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":3,"retweets_count":6,"likes_count":78,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1237676653343457281","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"3238448948","username":"CT_Bergstrom"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1237675361715937300,"conversation_id":"1237675202315599872","created_at":1583919775000,"date":"2020-03-11","time":"09:42:55","timezone":"UTC","user_id":3238448948,"username":"ct_bergstrom","name":"Carl T. Bergstrom","place":"","tweet":"Comparing #COVID19 at the very start of an emerging epidemic with steady state mortalities of endemic diseases is apples and oranges. \n\nThe CFR of Spanish flu is generally thought to be about 2.5% and only one extreme outlier estimate puts it near 10%.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":3,"retweets_count":34,"likes_count":141,"hashtags":["#covid19"],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1237675361715937283","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"3238448948","username":"CT_Bergstrom"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1237623517702574000,"conversation_id":"1237609001489072129","created_at":1583907415000,"date":"2020-03-11","time":"06:16:55","timezone":"UTC","user_id":3238448948,"username":"ct_bergstrom","name":"Carl T. Bergstrom","place":"","tweet":"Yes. The only reason we haven't seen the schools close yet, I think, is because the scientific uncertainty around whether kids transmit the virus at an appreciable rate offers plausible cover to those who don't want to make the hard call of closing them.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":0,"retweets_count":1,"likes_count":1,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1237623517702574081","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"3238448948","username":"CT_Bergstrom"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1237622294454743000,"conversation_id":"1237622294454743041","created_at":1583907123000,"date":"2020-03-11","time":"06:12:03","timezone":"UTC","user_id":3238448948,"username":"ct_bergstrom","name":"Carl T. Bergstrom","place":"","tweet":"I'm not a social outcast, I'm just social distancing.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":5,"retweets_count":7,"likes_count":82,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1237622294454743041","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"3238448948","username":"CT_Bergstrom"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1237611915867635700,"conversation_id":"1237609001489072129","created_at":1583904649000,"date":"2020-03-11","time":"05:30:49","timezone":"UTC","user_id":3238448948,"username":"ct_bergstrom","name":"Carl T. Bergstrom","place":"","tweet":"7. Of all parties involved in an epidemic response, I'd expect the White House and federal agencies to take a public health perspective rather than an individual-based perspective. \n\nTheir failure to do so, perhaps to minimize economic disruption, puts everyone at risk. \n\n/fin","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":18,"retweets_count":120,"likes_count":498,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1237611915867635717","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"3238448948","username":"CT_Bergstrom"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1237611460982784000,"conversation_id":"1237609001489072129","created_at":1583904540000,"date":"2020-03-11","time":"05:29:00","timezone":"UTC","user_id":3238448948,"username":"ct_bergstrom","name":"Carl T. Bergstrom","place":"","tweet":"6. If we want to protect high-risk individuals, it's not enough to tell them to stay home. We need to #SlowTheSpread of disease and #FlattenTheCruve. We can't do that without aggressive mitigation efforts by everyone, especially low-risk individuals with frequent social contacts.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":11,"retweets_count":301,"likes_count":750,"hashtags":["#slowthespread","#flattenthecruve"],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1237611460982784000","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"3238448948","username":"CT_Bergstrom"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1237611084334284800,"conversation_id":"1237609001489072129","created_at":1583904450000,"date":"2020-03-11","time":"05:27:30","timezone":"UTC","user_id":3238448948,"username":"ct_bergstrom","name":"Carl T. Bergstrom","place":"","tweet":"5. This may be true in terms of individual risk, but it utterly ignores the *public health* consequences of the behavior of low-risk individuals. \n\nWhat low risk individuals do right now will determine the scale and time-course of the epidemic.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":8,"retweets_count":304,"likes_count":1041,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1237611084334284802","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"3238448948","username":"CT_Bergstrom"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1237610744440475600,"conversation_id":"1237609001489072129","created_at":1583904369000,"date":"2020-03-11","time":"05:26:09","timezone":"UTC","user_id":3238448948,"username":"ct_bergstrom","name":"Carl T. Bergstrom","place":"","tweet":"4. I consider this misguided.\n\nLimiting the recommendations to older/high-risk individuals creates the impression that younger, healthy individuals need not take serious precautions or alter their behaviors in ways that disrupt everyday life.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":17,"retweets_count":242,"likes_count":823,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1237610744440475652","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"3238448948","username":"CT_Bergstrom"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1237609001489072000,"conversation_id":"1237609001489072129","created_at":1583903954000,"date":"2020-03-11","time":"05:19:14","timezone":"UTC","user_id":3238448948,"username":"ct_bergstrom","name":"Carl T. Bergstrom","place":"","tweet":"1. The White House and other federal agencies have repeatedly advised a small *subset* of the US population—the elderly and those with certain underling conditions—to restrict travel and employ social distancing to avoid #COVID19 #coronavirus exposure.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":25,"retweets_count":319,"likes_count":537,"hashtags":["#covid19","#coronavirus"],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1237609001489072129","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"3238448948","username":"CT_Bergstrom"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1237279111606755300,"conversation_id":"1237279111606755328","created_at":1583825302000,"date":"2020-03-10","time":"07:28:22","timezone":"UTC","user_id":3238448948,"username":"ct_bergstrom","name":"Carl T. Bergstrom","place":"","tweet":"It's remarkable how many people in the business / tech community are immediately able to see through a century of infectious disease epidemiology research and realize that we epidemiologists left out all of the crucial factors that any \"big thinker\" would immediately grasp.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":30,"retweets_count":125,"likes_count":788,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1237279111606755328","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"3238448948","username":"CT_Bergstrom"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1236904945028182000,"conversation_id":"1236904945028182017","created_at":1583736094000,"date":"2020-03-09","time":"06:41:34","timezone":"UTC","user_id":3238448948,"username":"ct_bergstrom","name":"Carl T. Bergstrom","place":"","tweet":"Why is it that every twitter persona that sees fit to patronizingly explain ID epidemiology to me mentions blockchain in his bio? \n\n/subtweet","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":6,"retweets_count":3,"likes_count":129,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1236904945028182017","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"3238448948","username":"CT_Bergstrom"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1236770946762936300,"conversation_id":"1236770519917064194","created_at":1583704146000,"date":"2020-03-08","time":"21:49:06","timezone":"UTC","user_id":3238448948,"username":"ct_bergstrom","name":"Carl T. Bergstrom","place":"","tweet":"Also, thoughts on what parameters to use for US? Pre-control estimates from the 25,000 case Hubei analysis? Or...?","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":2,"retweets_count":0,"likes_count":5,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1236770946762936320","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"3238448948","username":"CT_Bergstrom"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1236426969778016300,"conversation_id":"1236426965709500416","created_at":1583622135000,"date":"2020-03-07","time":"23:02:15","timezone":"UTC","user_id":3238448948,"username":"ct_bergstrom","name":"Carl T. Bergstrom","place":"","tweet":"5. The steps we take now, individually and as a community, will determine the trajectory of the #COVID19 epidemic. This in turn will determine how many lives are lost. It is not just a matter of protecting yourself; it is a matter of \nprotecting the most vulnerable among us.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":2,"retweets_count":105,"likes_count":310,"hashtags":["#covid19"],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1236426969778016256","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"3238448948","username":"CT_Bergstrom"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1236426967576010800,"conversation_id":"1236426965709500416","created_at":1583622135000,"date":"2020-03-07","time":"23:02:15","timezone":"UTC","user_id":3238448948,"username":"ct_bergstrom","name":"Carl T. Bergstrom","place":"","tweet":"3. Through aggressive sanitation efforts, diligent hand-washing, canceling large gatherings, minimizing travel, teleworking, and similar measures we can *flatten out the epidemic curve*, keeping the number of people simultaneously infected at a low enough level to be manageable.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":7,"retweets_count":151,"likes_count":424,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1236426967576010753","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"3238448948","username":"CT_Bergstrom"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1236426966598705200,"conversation_id":"1236426965709500416","created_at":1583622135000,"date":"2020-03-07","time":"23:02:15","timezone":"UTC","user_id":3238448948,"username":"ct_bergstrom","name":"Carl T. Bergstrom","place":"","tweet":"2. This is where community-level action matters. We all need to do everything we can to #slowthespread of the virus.\n\nWhy? \n\nBecause by slowing the epidemic, we keep our healthcare systems from being overwhelmed. That way, we can maintain the capacity to care for those in need.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":5,"retweets_count":107,"likes_count":332,"hashtags":["#slowthespread"],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1236426966598705152","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"3238448948","username":"CT_Bergstrom"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1236426965709500400,"conversation_id":"1236426965709500416","created_at":1583622134000,"date":"2020-03-07","time":"23:02:14","timezone":"UTC","user_id":3238448948,"username":"ct_bergstrom","name":"Carl T. Bergstrom","place":"","tweet":"1. A thread about the need to #SlowTheSpread of #COVID19 #coronavirus. \n\nThe virus is now spreading freely in communities around the US and around the world. Containment is no longer an option. We have to figure out how to minimize the impact of the coming pandemic.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":21,"retweets_count":581,"likes_count":932,"hashtags":["#slowthespread","#covid19","#coronavirus"],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1236426965709500416","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"3238448948","username":"CT_Bergstrom"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1236384621622743000,"conversation_id":"1236384205442961408","created_at":1583612039000,"date":"2020-03-07","time":"20:13:59","timezone":"UTC","user_id":3238448948,"username":"ct_bergstrom","name":"Carl T. Bergstrom","place":"","tweet":"Comparing the number of cases at the very start of a pandemic to the global load of an endemic disease seems disingenuous. Most public health experts expect a large #COVID19 epidemic with substantial social disruption and loss of life beyond what we see from seasonal flu.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":2,"retweets_count":20,"likes_count":49,"hashtags":["#covid19"],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1236384621622743040","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"3238448948","username":"CT_Bergstrom"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1236213456769921000,"conversation_id":"1236203915131019264","created_at":1583571230000,"date":"2020-03-07","time":"08:53:50","timezone":"UTC","user_id":3238448948,"username":"ct_bergstrom","name":"Carl T. Bergstrom","place":"","tweet":"I am particularly surprised by the very high estimate of R0=3.74-3.97 prior to interventions.\n\n I'd be eager to hear comments on this estimate and whether it seems consistent with #COVID19 spread elsewhere in the world.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":3,"retweets_count":7,"likes_count":49,"hashtags":["#covid19"],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1236213456769921024","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"3238448948","username":"CT_Bergstrom"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1236211074023612400,"conversation_id":"1236203915131019264","created_at":1583570662000,"date":"2020-03-07","time":"08:44:22","timezone":"UTC","user_id":3238448948,"username":"ct_bergstrom","name":"Carl T. Bergstrom","place":"","tweet":"Note that this is a preprint that has not yet been through peer review, and I have not yet had time to work through the paper thoroughly myself. The scientific community will be looking closely over the next couple of days. But if it holds up (and I'm optimistic) it's a big deal.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":12,"likes_count":79,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1236211074023612416","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"3238448948","username":"CT_Bergstrom"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1236053129369510000,"conversation_id":"1235439375283970049","created_at":1583533005000,"date":"2020-03-06","time":"22:16:45","timezone":"UTC","user_id":3238448948,"username":"ct_bergstrom","name":"Carl T. Bergstrom","place":"","tweet":"8. One additional point: If the healthcare system is overburdened, it is not just those with #SARSCoV2 who will die. Once ERs and critical care facilities are full, people with other health conditions will be unable to access the care that they need and will be at grave risk.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":30,"likes_count":110,"hashtags":["#sarscov2"],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1236053129369509891","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"3238448948","username":"CT_Bergstrom"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1235943652926451700,"conversation_id":"1235865328074153986","created_at":1583506904000,"date":"2020-03-06","time":"15:01:44","timezone":"UTC","user_id":3238448948,"username":"ct_bergstrom","name":"Carl T. Bergstrom","place":"","tweet":"8. …this understanding with a few pen-strokes. Because of our communication technology, others view this simple diagram, realize its value, and share with millions—who change their behavior based on what they now understand as well, slowing a deadly virus. \n\nLives are saved.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":3,"retweets_count":106,"likes_count":936,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1235943652926451712","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"3238448948","username":"CT_Bergstrom"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1235943651999539200,"conversation_id":"1235865328074153986","created_at":1583506904000,"date":"2020-03-06","time":"15:01:44","timezone":"UTC","user_id":3238448948,"username":"ct_bergstrom","name":"Carl T. Bergstrom","place":"","tweet":"7. As a disinformation researcher I see so many downsides of tech. But this is the best of humanity.\n\nMany have worked hard over decades to figure out how diseases spread and what we can do about it. Their work allows one person to understand, synthesize, and see how to convey…","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":4,"retweets_count":116,"likes_count":1237,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1235943651999539201","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"3238448948","username":"CT_Bergstrom"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1235868177713660000,"conversation_id":"1235865328074153986","created_at":1583488909000,"date":"2020-03-06","time":"10:01:49","timezone":"UTC","user_id":3238448948,"username":"ct_bergstrom","name":"Carl T. Bergstrom","place":"","tweet":"6. So to the designer of the graph, I apologize for not attributing your work. \n\nStill I hope you feel great pride that by sitting down for a few minutes or hours, and using your skills as a communicator to get this message across, you have literally saved lives. \n\nThank you.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":15,"retweets_count":154,"likes_count":1857,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1235868177713659908","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"3238448948","username":"CT_Bergstrom"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1235867362538041300,"conversation_id":"1235865328074153986","created_at":1583488715000,"date":"2020-03-06","time":"09:58:35","timezone":"UTC","user_id":3238448948,"username":"ct_bergstrom","name":"Carl T. Bergstrom","place":"","tweet":"5. This graph provides the answer, powerfully and concisely. \n\nAnd because of that, it has exploded across twitter and other media. I've used it myself a number of times. This graph is changing minds, and by changing minds, it is saving lives.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":6,"retweets_count":194,"likes_count":1530,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1235867362538041345","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"3238448948","username":"CT_Bergstrom"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1235867072782983200,"conversation_id":"1235865328074153986","created_at":1583488646000,"date":"2020-03-06","time":"09:57:26","timezone":"UTC","user_id":3238448948,"username":"ct_bergstrom","name":"Carl T. Bergstrom","place":"","tweet":"4. I've seldom seen a piece of sci-comm matter so much. We have an opportunity to flatten the #COVID19 #coronavirus epidemic curve by aggressive social distancing and other measures. \n\nBut people don't understand what the point is, if the virus is going to circulate broadly.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":8,"retweets_count":312,"likes_count":2032,"hashtags":["#covid19","#coronavirus"],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1235867072782983169","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"3238448948","username":"CT_Bergstrom"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1235866521068392400,"conversation_id":"1235865328074153986","created_at":1583488514000,"date":"2020-03-06","time":"09:55:14","timezone":"UTC","user_id":3238448948,"username":"ct_bergstrom","name":"Carl T. Bergstrom","place":"","tweet":"3. There is a lot of complicated epidemiological modeling behind this idea, but this graphic strips all of that away, and discards irrelevant details to provide a straightforward story that people find easy to grasp at a glance. \n\nIt *simplifies* and *highlights* what matters.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":6,"retweets_count":197,"likes_count":1880,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1235866521068392450","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"3238448948","username":"CT_Bergstrom"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1235865644874137600,"conversation_id":"1235865328074153986","created_at":1583488305000,"date":"2020-03-06","time":"09:51:45","timezone":"UTC","user_id":3238448948,"username":"ct_bergstrom","name":"Carl T. Bergstrom","place":"","tweet":"2. This single picture explains the concept of *flattening the epidemic curve* to non-specialists without requiring any additional text. Looking at the picture, you can see that even if you don't reduce total cases, slowing down the rate of an epidemic can be critical.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":12,"retweets_count":370,"likes_count":2435,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1235865644874137600","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"3238448948","username":"CT_Bergstrom"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1235858864043470800,"conversation_id":"1232389084162580480","created_at":1583486688000,"date":"2020-03-06","time":"09:24:48","timezone":"UTC","user_id":3238448948,"username":"ct_bergstrom","name":"Carl T. Bergstrom","place":"","tweet":"35. As a disinformation researcher and American citizen it is heartbreaking to point to \"us\" instead of \"them\" as culprits. \n\nBut at this point there is no question that the willfully ignorant conduct of the White House is accelerating the epidemic and costing numerous US lives.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":3,"retweets_count":18,"likes_count":63,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1235858864043470848","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"3238448948","username":"CT_Bergstrom"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1235857038497861600,"conversation_id":"1232389084162580480","created_at":1583486253000,"date":"2020-03-06","time":"09:17:33","timezone":"UTC","user_id":3238448948,"username":"ct_bergstrom","name":"Carl T. Bergstrom","place":"","tweet":"33. The White House is treating the #coronavirus outbreak as a public relations crisis, not a public health crisis. This has already had disastrous consequences. Testing delays prevented local authorities from contact tracing and stamping out transmission chains.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":21,"likes_count":44,"hashtags":["#coronavirus"],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1235857038497861634","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"3238448948","username":"CT_Bergstrom"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1235830862102417400,"conversation_id":"1235830280314687489","created_at":1583480012000,"date":"2020-03-06","time":"07:33:32","timezone":"UTC","user_id":3238448948,"username":"ct_bergstrom","name":"Carl T. Bergstrom","place":"","tweet":"Vote:","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":0,"likes_count":0,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1235830862102417409","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"3238448948","username":"CT_Bergstrom"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1235801479035752400,"conversation_id":"1235797950451703809","created_at":1583473007000,"date":"2020-03-06","time":"05:36:47","timezone":"UTC","user_id":3238448948,"username":"ct_bergstrom","name":"Carl T. Bergstrom","place":"","tweet":"5. What we've got is a perfect storm for misinformation. A scary, dramatic claim backed at several degrees of remove by a source that few English-language readers can verify directly.\n\nThere is enough deliberate disinformation out there. We \"good guys\" need to be more careful.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":7,"retweets_count":66,"likes_count":254,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1235801479035752449","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"3238448948","username":"CT_Bergstrom"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1235801006450983000,"conversation_id":"1235797950451703809","created_at":1583472894000,"date":"2020-03-06","time":"05:34:54","timezone":"UTC","user_id":3238448948,"username":"ct_bergstrom","name":"Carl T. Bergstrom","place":"","tweet":"4. Could the Chinese doctor's remark, as quoted in the newspaper story, nonetheless be correct? I suppose in principle it could. But I am unaware of any scientific literature supporting this.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":3,"retweets_count":36,"likes_count":119,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1235801006450982915","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"3238448948","username":"CT_Bergstrom"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1235629471643779000,"conversation_id":"1235627732014256128","created_at":1583431997000,"date":"2020-03-05","time":"18:13:17","timezone":"UTC","user_id":3238448948,"username":"ct_bergstrom","name":"Carl T. Bergstrom","place":"","tweet":"*residents\n\ndictating messages onto a cell phone because of the pace of things synergizes poorly with the lack of an edit function on Twitter.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":0,"retweets_count":0,"likes_count":6,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1235629471643779073","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"3238448948","username":"CT_Bergstrom"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1235444883453669400,"conversation_id":"1235439375283970049","created_at":1583387988000,"date":"2020-03-05","time":"05:59:48","timezone":"UTC","user_id":3238448948,"username":"ct_bergstrom","name":"Carl T. Bergstrom","place":"","tweet":"7. For all of these reasons, I am cancelled all planned travel from Seattle for the foreseeable future. I'm fortunate to be in a financial position to eat the losses on plane tickets etc., but I realize not everyone is in that position. Try working w/ airlines if necessary.\n\n/fin","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":7,"retweets_count":46,"likes_count":376,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1235444883453669377","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"3238448948","username":"CT_Bergstrom"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1235444452065308700,"conversation_id":"1235439375283970049","created_at":1583387885000,"date":"2020-03-05","time":"05:58:05","timezone":"UTC","user_id":3238448948,"username":"ct_bergstrom","name":"Carl T. Bergstrom","place":"","tweet":"6. This leaves excess capacity (or at least ample capacity) to handle patients with complications. This will also buy time for us to develop theraputics for use on later cases, and maybe even develop a vaccine in time to protect some of the population.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":43,"likes_count":274,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1235444452065308672","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"3238448948","username":"CT_Bergstrom"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1235444141313495000,"conversation_id":"1235439375283970049","created_at":1583387811000,"date":"2020-03-05","time":"05:56:51","timezone":"UTC","user_id":3238448948,"username":"ct_bergstrom","name":"Carl T. Bergstrom","place":"","tweet":"5. But second of all, and critically, anything we can to do *flatten the epidemic curve* helps everyone out. What does this mean? It means that if we can slow down the rate of spread so that our health system is not overwhelmed, we will be much better off.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":8,"retweets_count":220,"likes_count":786,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1235444141313495042","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"3238448948","username":"CT_Bergstrom"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1235443904985489400,"conversation_id":"1235439375283970049","created_at":1583387755000,"date":"2020-03-05","time":"05:55:55","timezone":"UTC","user_id":3238448948,"username":"ct_bergstrom","name":"Carl T. Bergstrom","place":"","tweet":"4. One might object \"Who cares? We're all going to get #COVID19 #coronavirus eventually anyway.\"\n\nFirst of all, I don't think that's a foregone conclusion. Containment at a nationwide scale is not beyond the realm of possibility, though it's looking less and less likely.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":4,"retweets_count":53,"likes_count":260,"hashtags":["#covid19","#coronavirus"],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1235443904985489408","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"3238448948","username":"CT_Bergstrom"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1235439375283970000,"conversation_id":"1235439375283970049","created_at":1583386675000,"date":"2020-03-05","time":"05:37:55","timezone":"UTC","user_id":3238448948,"username":"ct_bergstrom","name":"Carl T. Bergstrom","place":"","tweet":"1. A short #seattlecoronavirus #Covid19Seattle thread.  \n\nI would like to encourage my friends, colleagues, and neighbors in Seattle to seriously avoiding non-essential travel at this juncture, so as to slow spread to the rest of the country.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":26,"retweets_count":392,"likes_count":1008,"hashtags":["#seattlecoronavirus","#covid19seattle"],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1235439375283970049","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"3238448948","username":"CT_Bergstrom"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1235353060169269200,"conversation_id":"1235335271408979969","created_at":1583366095000,"date":"2020-03-04","time":"23:54:55","timezone":"UTC","user_id":3238448948,"username":"ct_bergstrom","name":"Carl T. Bergstrom","place":"","tweet":"To be clear, I am not claiming that the change was inappropriate. There is a key balance to strike between strong social distancing, and keeping everything running. I continue to have confidence in King County public health officials and urge others to do the same.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":1,"likes_count":10,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1235353060169269248","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"3238448948","username":"CT_Bergstrom"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1235351070555205600,"conversation_id":"1235335271408979969","created_at":1583365621000,"date":"2020-03-04","time":"23:47:01","timezone":"UTC","user_id":3238448948,"username":"ct_bergstrom","name":"Carl T. Bergstrom","place":"","tweet":"It appears that they removed the leading sentence \"All employees should work from home if they are able.\"\n\nIn doing so, the communication goes from a very strong message to a more tempered one.  I hope the reason for this change will be addressed publicly.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":2,"retweets_count":3,"likes_count":19,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1235351070555205634","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"3238448948","username":"CT_Bergstrom"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1235102729384558600,"conversation_id":"1234348381830410240","created_at":1583306412000,"date":"2020-03-04","time":"07:20:12","timezone":"UTC","user_id":3238448948,"username":"ct_bergstrom","name":"Carl T. Bergstrom","place":"","tweet":"16. Again, this is just one account out of many. Please, use trusted and verified sources when assessing the #COVID19 #coronavirus situation. It's hard for medical personnel and public planners to grasp the level of malicious misinformation that is being injected into our comms.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":1,"likes_count":15,"hashtags":["#covid19","#coronavirus"],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1235102729384558592","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"3238448948","username":"CT_Bergstrom"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1235097426668601300,"conversation_id":"1232389084162580480","created_at":1583305148000,"date":"2020-03-04","time":"06:59:08","timezone":"UTC","user_id":3238448948,"username":"ct_bergstrom","name":"Carl T. Bergstrom","place":"","tweet":"31. This unreliable messaging has real consequences for public health efforts. \n\nThe communications coming out of DC are such a mess that I've been struggling this week to persuade people that they can trust the exceptional state and local health authorities here in WA.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":2,"retweets_count":2,"likes_count":28,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1235097426668601344","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"3238448948","username":"CT_Bergstrom"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1234667183495467000,"conversation_id":"1234663431313088512","created_at":1583202570000,"date":"2020-03-03","time":"02:29:30","timezone":"UTC","user_id":3238448948,"username":"ct_bergstrom","name":"Carl T. Bergstrom","place":"","tweet":"6. Of course the batch size, number of rounds, number of tests per batch, etc., could be optimized given what is known about prevalence, error rates as a function of batch size, etc.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":5,"retweets_count":0,"likes_count":16,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1234667183495467008","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"3238448948","username":"CT_Bergstrom"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1234666421327560700,"conversation_id":"1234663431313088512","created_at":1583202388000,"date":"2020-03-03","time":"02:26:28","timezone":"UTC","user_id":3238448948,"username":"ct_bergstrom","name":"Carl T. Bergstrom","place":"","tweet":"5. So my question to those public health / virology / epidemiology experts out there, is this approach feasible and would it be a helpful way to stretch our testing capacity here in the US in the short term?\n\n#COVIDー19 #COVID19 #COVID #COVID_19 #coronavirus","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":3,"retweets_count":2,"likes_count":20,"hashtags":["#covidー19","#covid19","#covid","#covid_19","#coronavirus"],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1234666421327560704","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"3238448948","username":"CT_Bergstrom"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1234665964005773300,"conversation_id":"1234663431313088512","created_at":1583202279000,"date":"2020-03-03","time":"02:24:39","timezone":"UTC","user_id":3238448948,"username":"ct_bergstrom","name":"Carl T. Bergstrom","place":"","tweet":"4. Of course this assumes \n\ni) low prevalence among suspected cases\nii) low false positive rate\niii) samples can be combined without major increase in false negative rate\niv) can run multiple tests from a given sample","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":3,"retweets_count":0,"likes_count":27,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1234665964005773314","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"3238448948","username":"CT_Bergstrom"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1234665530549649400,"conversation_id":"1234663431313088512","created_at":1583202176000,"date":"2020-03-03","time":"02:22:56","timezone":"UTC","user_id":3238448948,"username":"ct_bergstrom","name":"Carl T. Bergstrom","place":"","tweet":"3. Then separately test each sample within the positive batch sample. One would come back positive. \n\nYou've now found the positive case out of 1000 patients using only 62 tests instead of 1000.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":3,"retweets_count":1,"likes_count":31,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1234665530549649409","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"3238448948","username":"CT_Bergstrom"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1234665318422761500,"conversation_id":"1234663431313088512","created_at":1583202125000,"date":"2020-03-03","time":"02:22:05","timezone":"UTC","user_id":3238448948,"username":"ct_bergstrom","name":"Carl T. Bergstrom","place":"","tweet":"2. Suppose, as in a recent Seattle sample, 1 in 1000 flu-like illness patients are positive for #COVID19. \n\nYou could run 1000 separate tests. \n\nOr you could create 32 batch-sample tests each with 31-32  samples. \n\nOf these, you'd get one positive result.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":4,"retweets_count":2,"likes_count":28,"hashtags":["#covid19"],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1234665318422761475","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"3238448948","username":"CT_Bergstrom"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1234663431313088500,"conversation_id":"1234663431313088512","created_at":1583201675000,"date":"2020-03-03","time":"02:14:35","timezone":"UTC","user_id":3238448948,"username":"ct_bergstrom","name":"Carl T. Bergstrom","place":"","tweet":"1. A query to the #COVID_19 community: Could we extend #COVID19 #coronavirus testing capacity by testing combined samples? \n\nBackground: My understanding is that we are sorely limited in testing capacity here in the US. WA state can test a few hundred samples a day, for example","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":21,"retweets_count":22,"likes_count":126,"hashtags":["#covid_19","#covid19","#coronavirus"],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1234663431313088512","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"3238448948","username":"CT_Bergstrom"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1234544951351861200,"conversation_id":"1234544951351861248","created_at":1583173427000,"date":"2020-03-02","time":"18:23:47","timezone":"UTC","user_id":3238448948,"username":"ct_bergstrom","name":"Carl T. Bergstrom","place":"","tweet":"#COVID19 #coronavirus cases are being reported in a number of US states now. It is worth understanding that this is not an abrupt burst of domestic spread. The disease has been here for a while. This is a consequence of finally starting to test people for it.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":5,"retweets_count":41,"likes_count":116,"hashtags":["#covid19","#coronavirus"],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1234544951351861248","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"3238448948","username":"CT_Bergstrom"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1234348381830410200,"conversation_id":"1234348381830410240","created_at":1583126561000,"date":"2020-03-02","time":"05:22:41","timezone":"UTC","user_id":3238448948,"username":"ct_bergstrom","name":"Carl T. Bergstrom","place":"","tweet":"1. Many of my public health colleagues seem to be taking twitter comments about #COVID19 #coronavirus in good faith. That can be dangerous with the amount of disinformation flying around right now.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":4,"retweets_count":43,"likes_count":97,"hashtags":["#covid19","#coronavirus"],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1234348381830410240","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"3238448948","username":"CT_Bergstrom"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1233954523124646000,"conversation_id":"1233954276147249152","created_at":1583032658000,"date":"2020-03-01","time":"03:17:38","timezone":"UTC","user_id":3238448948,"username":"ct_bergstrom","name":"Carl T. Bergstrom","place":"","tweet":"(On the positive side, now Mexico has a legitimate motivation to build and pay for a wall.)","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":8,"likes_count":30,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1233954523124645888","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"3238448948","username":"CT_Bergstrom"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1233915767449510000,"conversation_id":"1233875348917370881","created_at":1583023418000,"date":"2020-03-01","time":"00:43:38","timezone":"UTC","user_id":3238448948,"username":"ct_bergstrom","name":"Carl T. Bergstrom","place":"","tweet":"8. I'd like to add one personal detail: I'm writing from experience. I've dealt with anxiety for my whole life, almost debilitating at times. I've largely learned how to manage it, and I'm doing well now. \n\nBut I know what a struggle it can be, and it's nothing to be ashamed of.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":36,"retweets_count":38,"likes_count":594,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1233915767449509888","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"3238448948","username":"CT_Bergstrom"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1233884359393833000,"conversation_id":"1233875348917370881","created_at":1583015930000,"date":"2020-02-29","time":"22:38:50","timezone":"UTC","user_id":3238448948,"username":"ct_bergstrom","name":"Carl T. Bergstrom","place":"","tweet":"7. tl;dr summary:\n\nThe 24-hour news cycle is exhausting in a slow-motion crisis like the #COVID19 epidemic. You don’t need this hour’s update. For the sake of your mental and emotional health, be intentional about your media consumption.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":10,"retweets_count":191,"likes_count":604,"hashtags":["#covid19"],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1233884359393832961","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"3238448948","username":"CT_Bergstrom"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1233877840690438100,"conversation_id":"1233875348917370881","created_at":1583014376000,"date":"2020-02-29","time":"22:12:56","timezone":"UTC","user_id":3238448948,"username":"ct_bergstrom","name":"Carl T. Bergstrom","place":"","tweet":"6. This all can feel very scary. But it's something that we can manage as a community. It's not going to go away quickly, so think now about how you can stay happy as well as healthy over the coming months. That means carefully managing your own interactions with the news.\n\n/fin","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":9,"retweets_count":50,"likes_count":365,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1233877840690438144","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"3238448948","username":"CT_Bergstrom"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1233877554819301400,"conversation_id":"1233875348917370881","created_at":1583014308000,"date":"2020-02-29","time":"22:11:48","timezone":"UTC","user_id":3238448948,"username":"ct_bergstrom","name":"Carl T. Bergstrom","place":"","tweet":"5. This also improves the quality of information that you are receiving. Day-old information from trusted fact-based news sources is far more valuable than the latest rumor on social media. Case and point, the false claim that the WA fatality was a 19-year-old.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":5,"retweets_count":56,"likes_count":358,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1233877554819301377","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"3238448948","username":"CT_Bergstrom"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1233877004073627600,"conversation_id":"1233875348917370881","created_at":1583014176000,"date":"2020-02-29","time":"22:09:36","timezone":"UTC","user_id":3238448948,"username":"ct_bergstrom","name":"Carl T. Bergstrom","place":"","tweet":"4. Pick a time to get your updates. I'd suggest once a day, maybe before work or maybe after dinner. For the rest of the day, don't get drawn in. You don't need to. Block the #COVID19-related hashtags if you have to. \n\nOtherwise it can easily become an obsession.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":11,"retweets_count":68,"likes_count":465,"hashtags":["#covid19"],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1233877004073627649","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"3238448948","username":"CT_Bergstrom"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1233876622232572000,"conversation_id":"1233875348917370881","created_at":1583014085000,"date":"2020-02-29","time":"22:08:05","timezone":"UTC","user_id":3238448948,"username":"ct_bergstrom","name":"Carl T. Bergstrom","place":"","tweet":"3. No matter how many press conferences may be taking place, there is nothing that you are going to learn this afternoon will make you safer than you would be if you learned it tomorrow morning. \n\nTo control #COVID19 anxiety, try to avoid being pulled into the rapid news cycle.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":4,"retweets_count":103,"likes_count":508,"hashtags":["#covid19"],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1233876622232571904","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"3238448948","username":"CT_Bergstrom"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1233876115615125500,"conversation_id":"1233875348917370881","created_at":1583013964000,"date":"2020-02-29","time":"22:06:04","timezone":"UTC","user_id":3238448948,"username":"ct_bergstrom","name":"Carl T. Bergstrom","place":"","tweet":"2. Fast as news may be breaking, the #COVID19 epidemic is not like a natural disaster, act of war, or terrorist incident. Nothing major changes over any 12 or even 24 hour period. Today's news was unsurprising to professionals monitoring the situation.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":6,"retweets_count":55,"likes_count":406,"hashtags":["#covid19"],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1233876115615125504","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"3238448948","username":"CT_Bergstrom"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1233875348917371000,"conversation_id":"1233875348917370881","created_at":1583013782000,"date":"2020-02-29","time":"22:03:02","timezone":"UTC","user_id":3238448948,"username":"ct_bergstrom","name":"Carl T. Bergstrom","place":"","tweet":"1. The novel #coronavirus #COVID19 is here in the US and circulating in the community. It can feel scary, and the pace of breaking news can feel overwhelming. \n\nFor your own mental wellbeing, if you are not tracking the disease in a professional capacity, consider the following.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":64,"retweets_count":921,"likes_count":2121,"hashtags":["#coronavirus","#covid19"],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1233875348917370881","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"3238448948","username":"CT_Bergstrom"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1233872490897670100,"conversation_id":"1233872490897670144","created_at":1583013100000,"date":"2020-02-29","time":"21:51:40","timezone":"UTC","user_id":3238448948,"username":"ct_bergstrom","name":"Carl T. Bergstrom","place":"","tweet":"A plea to my followers. A false rumor has been spreading rapidly that the first US #COVID19 casualty was a 19-year-old man in WA (it was man in his 50s with underlying conditions). \n\nCan you help me find the origin of this rumor?","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":11,"retweets_count":23,"likes_count":53,"hashtags":["#covid19"],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1233872490897670144","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"3238448948","username":"CT_Bergstrom"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1233383838258061300,"conversation_id":"1232389084162580480","created_at":1582896596000,"date":"2020-02-28","time":"13:29:56","timezone":"UTC","user_id":3238448948,"username":"ct_bergstrom","name":"Carl T. Bergstrom","place":"","tweet":"17. I began this thread by alluding to the large scale disinformation campaigns waged by foreign adversaries.  \n\nThe last 48 hours have made it clear that their efforts pale in comparison to the politically motivated disinformation coming from the current US administration.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":10,"likes_count":74,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1233383838258061313","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"3238448948","username":"CT_Bergstrom"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1232872490092777500,"conversation_id":"1232389084162580480","created_at":1582774681000,"date":"2020-02-27","time":"03:38:01","timezone":"UTC","user_id":3238448948,"username":"ct_bergstrom","name":"Carl T. Bergstrom","place":"","tweet":"13. While Trump did not go on the offensive against the CDC's warnings of a likely domestic epidemic, he went off script during the questions and increasingly contradicted statements from his own team from just moments before. Again a missed opportunity for crisis communication.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":4,"likes_count":53,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1232872490092777479","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"3238448948","username":"CT_Bergstrom"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1232715101959946200,"conversation_id":"1232712376475979776","created_at":1582737157000,"date":"2020-02-26","time":"17:12:37","timezone":"UTC","user_id":3238448948,"username":"ct_bergstrom","name":"Carl T. Bergstrom","place":"","tweet":"This is just straight-up mental illness. Trump can't even view the threat of #coronavirus other than through the lens of his own narcissism and persecution complex. As far as he is concerned, today's lies don't have consequences tomorrow—even when putting the country at risk.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":4,"retweets_count":8,"likes_count":22,"hashtags":["#coronavirus"],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1232715101959946240","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"3238448948","username":"CT_Bergstrom"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1232395571769380900,"conversation_id":"1232389084162580480","created_at":1582660975000,"date":"2020-02-25","time":"20:02:55","timezone":"UTC","user_id":3238448948,"username":"ct_bergstrom","name":"Carl T. Bergstrom","place":"","tweet":"9. In short, the whole thing is a master class in how to screw up communications during a crisis and utterly undermine trust in the agencies that will be essential for public health and safety as the epidemic spreads.\n\nWith friends like these, who needs the Russian trolls?\n\n/fin","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":10,"retweets_count":72,"likes_count":336,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1232395571769380864","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"3238448948","username":"CT_Bergstrom"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1232389084162580500,"conversation_id":"1232389084162580480","created_at":1582659429000,"date":"2020-02-25","time":"19:37:09","timezone":"UTC","user_id":3238448948,"username":"ct_bergstrom","name":"Carl T. Bergstrom","place":"","tweet":"1. We are seeing large scale disinformation campaigns from foreign adversaries aimed at undermining trust in the US government and its agencies during the #COVID19 #coronavirus epidemic.\n\nThe Trump administration is helping them immeasurably with its bungled communications.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":32,"retweets_count":353,"likes_count":659,"hashtags":["#covid19","#coronavirus"],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1232389084162580480","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"3238448948","username":"CT_Bergstrom"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1232369013818159000,"conversation_id":"1232337624787894272","created_at":1582654643000,"date":"2020-02-25","time":"18:17:23","timezone":"UTC","user_id":3238448948,"username":"ct_bergstrom","name":"Carl T. Bergstrom","place":"","tweet":"For the record, my prediction is that there’s not anything surprising that they’re hiding. I bet they just agree with most epidemiologists that the virus is coming here—and don’t want to talk about how they’ve spent the last three years gutting our public health infrastructure.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":3,"retweets_count":6,"likes_count":30,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1232369013818159105","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"3238448948","username":"CT_Bergstrom"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1232339414581334000,"conversation_id":"1232337624787894272","created_at":1582647586000,"date":"2020-02-25","time":"16:19:46","timezone":"UTC","user_id":3238448948,"username":"ct_bergstrom","name":"Carl T. Bergstrom","place":"","tweet":"We are seeing large scale disinformation campaigns, presumably from foreign adversaries, aimed at undermining trust in the US government and its agencies during this epidemic.\n\nBy acting as if they are covering something up, the administration is playing right into their hands.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":5,"retweets_count":7,"likes_count":28,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1232339414581334017","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"3238448948","username":"CT_Bergstrom"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1231242634838073300,"conversation_id":"1231236703354003456","created_at":1582386094000,"date":"2020-02-22","time":"15:41:34","timezone":"UTC","user_id":3238448948,"username":"ct_bergstrom","name":"Carl T. Bergstrom","place":"","tweet":"...and attended a marvelous performance on Broadway. So no need to change daily life right now here in the US. Once transmission is widespread in the US, we may need to take additional precautions.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":1,"likes_count":6,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1231242634838073344","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"3238448948","username":"CT_Bergstrom"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1231241942228492300,"conversation_id":"1231236703354003456","created_at":1582385929000,"date":"2020-02-22","time":"15:38:49","timezone":"UTC","user_id":3238448948,"username":"ct_bergstrom","name":"Carl T. Bergstrom","place":"","tweet":"At some point we may see social distancing measures in the US: school closures, cancellation of large events, that sort of thing.\n\nFor now, nothing special to do other than careful handwashing which will help with flu too. Yesterday I happily explored Chinatown in New York City.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":2,"retweets_count":1,"likes_count":10,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1231241942228492289","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"3238448948","username":"CT_Bergstrom"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1229323472993767400,"conversation_id":"1229320829806219266","created_at":1581928530000,"date":"2020-02-17","time":"08:35:30","timezone":"UTC","user_id":3238448948,"username":"ct_bergstrom","name":"Carl T. Bergstrom","place":"","tweet":"Astonishing.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":0,"retweets_count":0,"likes_count":1,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1229323472993767425","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"3238448948","username":"CT_Bergstrom"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1229320829806219300,"conversation_id":"1229320829806219266","created_at":1581927900000,"date":"2020-02-17","time":"08:25:00","timezone":"UTC","user_id":3238448948,"username":"ct_bergstrom","name":"Carl T. Bergstrom","place":"","tweet":"We give Neil DeGrasse Tyson grief for the stupid things he says about philosophy. But what if he was equally ignorant of physics?\n\n#Dawkins","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":7,"retweets_count":2,"likes_count":51,"hashtags":["#dawkins"],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1229320829806219266","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"3238448948","username":"CT_Bergstrom"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1228546008499376000,"conversation_id":"1228546008499376129","created_at":1581743168000,"date":"2020-02-15","time":"05:06:08","timezone":"UTC","user_id":3238448948,"username":"ct_bergstrom","name":"Carl T. Bergstrom","place":"","tweet":"Why do so many of the <10 follower troll accounts attacking me have that string of numbers in the name? There's a person there typing the messages in many cases, not just a bot. Like why not at least pretend to try, and call yourself @JohnLovesBrocolli instead of @John73135212?","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":23,"retweets_count":0,"likes_count":77,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1228546008499376129","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"3238448948","username":"CT_Bergstrom"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1228522505112969200,"conversation_id":"1228519603787055105","created_at":1581737564000,"date":"2020-02-15","time":"03:32:44","timezone":"UTC","user_id":3238448948,"username":"ct_bergstrom","name":"Carl T. Bergstrom","place":"","tweet":"Given that, the eight-digit user name was probably not the very best of choices so far as your credibility is concerned.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":2,"retweets_count":0,"likes_count":0,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1228522505112969216","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"3238448948","username":"CT_Bergstrom"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1228522151809929200,"conversation_id":"1228519603787055105","created_at":1581737480000,"date":"2020-02-15","time":"03:31:20","timezone":"UTC","user_id":3238448948,"username":"ct_bergstrom","name":"Carl T. Bergstrom","place":"","tweet":"The best of them are clearly humans rather than bots, who have read today's news and know quite a bit about the epidemic, and yet for some reason are posting from zero-follower accounts.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":4,"retweets_count":2,"likes_count":24,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1228522151809929216","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"3238448948","username":"CT_Bergstrom"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1227533902090141700,"conversation_id":"1227533902090141696","created_at":1581501863000,"date":"2020-02-12","time":"10:04:23","timezone":"UTC","user_id":3238448948,"username":"ct_bergstrom","name":"Carl T. Bergstrom","place":"","tweet":"Epidemiology folks and misinformation folks: I was surprised to discover extensive use of the #2019nC0V (a zero between C and V) as well as the #2019nCoV tag. \n\nIs there a systematic difference? Does #2019nC0V favor alarmist and conspiracy material?","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":1,"likes_count":2,"hashtags":["#2019nc0v","#2019ncov","#2019nc0v"],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1227533902090141696","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"3238448948","username":"CT_Bergstrom"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1226301793421820000,"conversation_id":"1226301172304109568","created_at":1581208105000,"date":"2020-02-09","time":"00:28:25","timezone":"UTC","user_id":3238448948,"username":"ct_bergstrom","name":"Carl T. Bergstrom","place":"","tweet":"What your story says is that there have been more deaths due to #2019nCoV,  not that it’s deadlier.\n\nBy your logic, carbon dioxide is deadlier than sarin gas because it has killed more people.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":0,"retweets_count":6,"likes_count":26,"hashtags":["#2019ncov"],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1226301793421819909","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"3238448948","username":"CT_Bergstrom"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1224001343645290500,"conversation_id":"1224001343645290498","created_at":1580659635000,"date":"2020-02-02","time":"16:07:15","timezone":"UTC","user_id":3238448948,"username":"ct_bergstrom","name":"Carl T. Bergstrom","place":"","tweet":"It is challenging to make sense of what is happening during the early stages of an outbreak such as #2019nCov because good actors don't yet have certainty about what is going on, bad actors spread disinformation, and well-meaning people amplify it on social media.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":8,"retweets_count":60,"likes_count":179,"hashtags":["#2019ncov"],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1224001343645290498","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"3238448948","username":"CT_Bergstrom"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1223853022368784400,"conversation_id":"1223853022368784390","created_at":1580624273000,"date":"2020-02-02","time":"06:17:53","timezone":"UTC","user_id":3238448948,"username":"ct_bergstrom","name":"Carl T. Bergstrom","place":"","tweet":"As a disinformation researcher, I should know better than to be surprised at the deluge of account with <25 followers attacking me for trying tamp down conspiracy theories around #2019nCoV.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":11,"retweets_count":39,"likes_count":253,"hashtags":["#2019ncov"],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1223853022368784390","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"3238448948","username":"CT_Bergstrom"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1223825915525755000,"conversation_id":"1223824847496564737","created_at":1580617810000,"date":"2020-02-02","time":"04:30:10","timezone":"UTC","user_id":3238448948,"username":"ct_bergstrom","name":"Carl T. Bergstrom","place":"","tweet":"(To be fair, I am sure this depends on the natural and severity of these mistakes.)","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":0,"retweets_count":0,"likes_count":7,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1223825915525754888","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"3238448948","username":"CT_Bergstrom"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1223445590970785800,"conversation_id":"1223445046701125635","created_at":1580527134000,"date":"2020-02-01","time":"03:18:54","timezone":"UTC","user_id":3238448948,"username":"ct_bergstrom","name":"Carl T. Bergstrom","place":"","tweet":"In other news, there is an uncanny similarity between Obama's inaugural speech and the English translation of Mein Kampf: both use the words \"the\", \"a\", \"and\", \"that\", \"is\".","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":3,"retweets_count":19,"likes_count":65,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1223445590970785798","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"3238448948","username":"CT_Bergstrom"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1222805710364299300,"conversation_id":"1222803694518853632","created_at":1580374574000,"date":"2020-01-30","time":"08:56:14","timezone":"UTC","user_id":3238448948,"username":"ct_bergstrom","name":"Carl T. Bergstrom","place":"","tweet":"IMO we need more editorial training. It seems that many editors fail to realize either their rights or their responsibilities. \n\nI've had people tell me \"I knew the paper was fundamentally flawed, but the reviewers didn't catch it, so I had to publish it.\" \n\nNO! Absolutely not!","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":2,"retweets_count":4,"likes_count":23,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1222805710364299264","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"3238448948","username":"CT_Bergstrom"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1222636747730800600,"conversation_id":"1222635814342938624","created_at":1580334290000,"date":"2020-01-29","time":"21:44:50","timezone":"UTC","user_id":3238448948,"username":"ct_bergstrom","name":"Carl T. Bergstrom","place":"","tweet":"*Some* of this could be sampling bias; the cases are selected from an adult hospital (ages 14+). Still the paucity of cases 15-39 years in age is remarkable.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":3,"retweets_count":0,"likes_count":9,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1222636747730800642","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"3238448948","username":"CT_Bergstrom"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1220251622472704000,"conversation_id":"1219916625375219712","created_at":1579765632000,"date":"2020-01-23","time":"07:47:12","timezone":"UTC","user_id":3238448948,"username":"ct_bergstrom","name":"Carl T. Bergstrom","place":"","tweet":"24. (Variants on the priority rule: I believe Merton somewhere suggested that the true priority rule is that all the credit goes to the most famous person to claim credit for the discovery within a year or so of the actual discovery. Anyone know the citation?)","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":2,"retweets_count":0,"likes_count":1,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1220251622472704000","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"3238448948","username":"CT_Bergstrom"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1220250546893774800,"conversation_id":"1219916625375219712","created_at":1579765376000,"date":"2020-01-23","time":"07:42:56","timezone":"UTC","user_id":3238448948,"username":"ct_bergstrom","name":"Carl T. Bergstrom","place":"","tweet":"23. Second, \"it is often difficult to determine how far behind the winner the losers of a scientific race are when the winner announces his discover. (Those who were left behind can merely copy the winner's results and claim they were nearly there.)\"","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":0,"likes_count":1,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1220250546893774848","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"3238448948","username":"CT_Bergstrom"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1220250238620860400,"conversation_id":"1219916625375219712","created_at":1579765302000,"date":"2020-01-23","time":"07:41:42","timezone":"UTC","user_id":3238448948,"username":"ct_bergstrom","name":"Carl T. Bergstrom","place":"","tweet":"22. D&D ask why science, unlike tennis tournaments, does not pay sizable rewards to the runner-up. Their answer comes back to information asymmetries. \n\nFirst, recall that there is no way to monitor effort or ability directly. Results are all that can be observed.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":0,"likes_count":2,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1220250238620860416","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"3238448948","username":"CT_Bergstrom"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1220246528813482000,"conversation_id":"1219916625375219712","created_at":1579764418000,"date":"2020-01-23","time":"07:26:58","timezone":"UTC","user_id":3238448948,"username":"ct_bergstrom","name":"Carl T. Bergstrom","place":"","tweet":"20. This does something powerful. It provides academic scientists with strong incentives to broadcast their ideas instead of hoarding them in secrecy, because this is how credit is obtained. Compare industrial R&D.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":1,"likes_count":4,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1220246528813481985","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"3238448948","username":"CT_Bergstrom"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1220246174403190800,"conversation_id":"1219916625375219712","created_at":1579764333000,"date":"2020-01-23","time":"07:25:33","timezone":"UTC","user_id":3238448948,"username":"ct_bergstrom","name":"Carl T. Bergstrom","place":"","tweet":"19. D&D weave together a number of ideas, perhaps none entirely novel but together extremely important. \n\nFirst, academic scientists are rewarded not in property rights (patents, etc) but in credit/prestige which can be converted into employment, raises, and other desirables.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":1,"likes_count":4,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1220246174403190784","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"3238448948","username":"CT_Bergstrom"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1220146811265929200,"conversation_id":"1219916625375219712","created_at":1579740643000,"date":"2020-01-23","time":"00:50:43","timezone":"UTC","user_id":3238448948,"username":"ct_bergstrom","name":"Carl T. Bergstrom","place":"","tweet":"16. Society needs both domains and, D&D hypothesize, each is organized into a structure that facilitates its own aims by providing appropriate rewards and incentives to those working therein. These will be the subject of much of the remaining paper.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":0,"likes_count":0,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1220146811265929216","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"3238448948","username":"CT_Bergstrom"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1220146229889253400,"conversation_id":"1219916625375219712","created_at":1579740505000,"date":"2020-01-23","time":"00:48:25","timezone":"UTC","user_id":3238448948,"username":"ct_bergstrom","name":"Carl T. Bergstrom","place":"","tweet":"15. In other words, \"the community of Science is concerned with additions to the stock of public knowledge, whereas the\ncommunity of Technology is concerned with adding to the stream of rents that may be derived from possession of (rights to use) private knowledge.\"","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":2,"likes_count":6,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1220146229889253378","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"3238448948","username":"CT_Bergstrom"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1220145195280302000,"conversation_id":"1219916625375219712","created_at":1579740258000,"date":"2020-01-23","time":"00:44:18","timezone":"UTC","user_id":3238448948,"username":"ct_bergstrom","name":"Carl T. Bergstrom","place":"","tweet":"14. They also address the distinction between Science and Technology. This is not so much a matter of subject material or methods as it is of aims: \"Research undertaken with the intention of selling the fruits into secrecy belongs unambiguously to the realm of Technology.\"","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":1,"likes_count":3,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1220145195280302080","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"3238448948","username":"CT_Bergstrom"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1220137098629378000,"conversation_id":"1219916625375219712","created_at":1579738328000,"date":"2020-01-23","time":"00:12:08","timezone":"UTC","user_id":3238448948,"username":"ct_bergstrom","name":"Carl T. Bergstrom","place":"","tweet":"13. D&D note the division of knowledge into tacit and codified need not be due to exogenous epistemic considerations, but may be a strategic response to  incentives. Scientists can claim priority by codifying some knowledge in publication yet retain an edge by keeping some tacit.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":1,"likes_count":4,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1220137098629378049","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"3238448948","username":"CT_Bergstrom"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1220137096939069400,"conversation_id":"1219916625375219712","created_at":1579738327000,"date":"2020-01-23","time":"00:12:07","timezone":"UTC","user_id":3238448948,"username":"ct_bergstrom","name":"Carl T. Bergstrom","place":"","tweet":"11. D&D first turn to Michael Polyani's distinction between explicit (or \"codified\") and tacit knowledge. Both are important in science. Codified knowledge is what appears in journal articles; tacit knowledge is the rest of what one needs to make a protocol or technique work.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":0,"likes_count":2,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1220137096939069441","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"3238448948","username":"CT_Bergstrom"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1219916632656511000,"conversation_id":"1219916625375219712","created_at":1579685764000,"date":"2020-01-22","time":"09:36:04","timezone":"UTC","user_id":3238448948,"username":"ct_bergstrom","name":"Carl T. Bergstrom","place":"","tweet":"10. A second source is strategic on the part of researchers. They can choose when and to what degree they disclose their findings, and these choices are guided by the incentives that scientific institutions provide. \n\nSo that's the basics. Next, some examples. \n\n(to be continued)","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":0,"likes_count":6,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1219916632656510976","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"3238448948","username":"CT_Bergstrom"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1219916631905669000,"conversation_id":"1219916625375219712","created_at":1579685764000,"date":"2020-01-22","time":"09:36:04","timezone":"UTC","user_id":3238448948,"username":"ct_bergstrom","name":"Carl T. Bergstrom","place":"","tweet":"9. Critically, the NES acknowledges the crucial role that information asymmetries plays in structuring science. \n\nOne source of asymmetry involves monitoring. It is difficult or impossible for a principal (funding body, employer etc) to measure a scholar's effort or ability.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":0,"likes_count":6,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1219916631905669120","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"3238448948","username":"CT_Bergstrom"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1219916631113003000,"conversation_id":"1219916625375219712","created_at":1579685764000,"date":"2020-01-22","time":"09:36:04","timezone":"UTC","user_id":3238448948,"username":"ct_bergstrom","name":"Carl T. Bergstrom","place":"","tweet":"8. The \"new economics of science\" (NES) aims to explain on functionalist grounds why the norms and institutions of science are as they are, and to explore the efficiency of these institutions in allocating human capital and other resources to appropriate research problems.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":0,"likes_count":7,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1219916631113003008","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"3238448948","username":"CT_Bergstrom"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
{"id":1219916630379004000,"conversation_id":"1219916625375219712","created_at":1579685764000,"date":"2020-01-22","time":"09:36:04","timezone":"UTC","user_id":3238448948,"username":"ct_bergstrom","name":"Carl T. Bergstrom","place":"","tweet":"7. D&D see two major things missing from this approach. First, the complexities of research findings as information goods are underexplored. Second, the structure of scientific norms and institutions taken as exogenous if considered at all.","mentions":[],"urls":[],"photos":[],"replies_count":1,"retweets_count":1,"likes_count":4,"hashtags":[],"cashtags":[],"link":"https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1219916630379003905","retweet":false,"quote_url":"","video":0,"near":"","geo":"","source":"","user_rt_id":"","user_rt":"","retweet_id":"","reply_to":[{"user_id":"3238448948","username":"CT_Bergstrom"}],"retweet_date":"","translate":"","trans_src":"","trans_dest":""}
