---
title: Predictions
categories:
- culture
content-tags:
- politics
---

The [Iowa Election Markets][1] tend to be one of the more accurate predictors of election results.  For almost a month now, the simulations have predicted that the GOP will [hold the US Senate][2] but [lose the House][3].  Interestingly, the last-minute uptick in Republican poll standings have not been reflected there.

![Senate prediction market](/media/2006-11-07-predictions/senate06.thumbnail.png) ![House prediction market](/media/2006-11-07-predictions/house06.thumbnail.png)

   [1]: http://www.biz.uiowa.edu/iem/
   [2]: http://iemweb.biz.uiowa.edu/graphs/graph_senate06.cfm
   [3]: http://iemweb.biz.uiowa.edu/graphs/graph_house06.cfm
