---
title: 置信水平最高的统计推断
date: '2008-07-09'
slug: alpha-equals-to-0
---

收拾电脑桌面，看见了这张图片，没地方放，发上来供大家乐乐，看看人家的统计推断艺术到了什么境界：

![](https://db.yihui.org/imgur/XbsWY.jpg)

想起上回在[首经贸演讲](/en/2007/10/jokes-in-statistics/)中提到的一则笑话：

> A statistician is someone who is skilled at drawing a precise line from an unwarranted assumption to a foregone conclusion.

这块天气预报石和这则Joke颇有异曲同工之处。
